Welcome back to Power Lunch with Disney set to report third quarter results on Wednesday before the bell. Investors will be keeping a close eye on theme park revenue and streaming subscriber growth. Disney shares have jumped nearly 30% over the past three months, but the stock's recent run has cooled off as of late.It's falling about 4% over the past month. Julia Borson joins us now to break it all down and give her predictions on what we may or may not hear tomorrow morning on the call. It's so good to hav ...

Core Insights - AT&T Inc. reported strong second-quarter 2025 results with adjusted earnings and revenues exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates [1][8] Financial Performance - Net income on a GAAP basis was $4.46 billion or 62 cents per share, up from $3.55 billion or 49 cents per share in the same quarter last year, primarily due to higher contributions from DIRECTV investments [3] - Quarterly GAAP operating revenues increased by 3.5% year over year to $30.85 billion, driven by higher Mobility service and equipment sales, as well as Consumer Wireline revenues [4] - Adjusted operating income rose to $6.49 billion from $6.28 billion, with adjusted operating income margins at 21% [4] - Adjusted EBITDA improved to $11.73 billion from $11.34 billion [4] Subscriber Growth - AT&T added 479,000 post-paid subscribers, including 401,000 postpaid wireless phone additions, with a postpaid churn rate of 1.02% [5] - Postpaid phone-only average revenue per user (ARPU) increased by 1.1% year over year to $57.04 [5] Segment Performance - Communications segment operating revenues were $29.7 billion, up from $28.58 billion, with Mobility business revenues increasing by 6.7% to $21.84 billion [6] - Service revenues from the Mobility unit improved by 3.5% to $16.85 billion, while equipment revenues rose by 18.8% year over year to $4.99 billion [7] - Revenues from the Consumer Wireline business increased due to fiber broadband gains, with net fiber additions of 243,000 [7] Cash Flow and Liquidity - For the first six months of 2025, AT&T generated $18.81 billion in cash from operations, compared to $16.64 billion a year ago [10] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $4.39 billion, up from $3.95 billion in the previous year [10] - As of June 30, 2025, AT&T had $10.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with long-term debt of $123.06 billion [10] Future Guidance - AT&T expects wireless service revenues to improve by 3% or more in 2025, with broadband revenues anticipated to grow in the mid to high-teens [11] - Adjusted earnings are projected to be between $1.97 and $2.07 per share, with free cash flow expected to exceed $16 billion [12]

Core Insights - Netflix reported Q2 2025 earnings of $7.19 per share, exceeding estimates by 1.7% and showing a 47.3% increase year-over-year [1][10] - Revenues reached $11.07 billion, a 16% year-over-year increase, driven by membership growth, higher subscription pricing, and increased ad revenues, although it slightly missed consensus estimates by 0.06% [1][10] Revenue and Membership Growth - All regions experienced double-digit revenue growth year-over-year, with UCAN revenue growth accelerating to 15% from 9% in Q1 2025 due to price changes [3] - Member growth surpassed company forecasts, although it occurred late in the quarter, limiting its impact on Q2 revenues [4] Content Performance - The second quarter featured successful content releases, including Squid Game S3 with 122 million views, making it Netflix's sixth biggest season ever [2][10] - Other notable series included Sirens (56M views), Ginny & Georgia S3 (53M views), and various international titles, showcasing a diverse content slate [5][8] Financial Metrics - Operating income totaled $3.8 billion, up 45% year-over-year, with an operating margin of 34%, compared to 27% in the previous year [12] - Marketing expenses increased by 10.7% to $713.3 million, while technology and development expenses rose by 15.9% to $824.7 million [11] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of June 30, 2025, Netflix had $8.17 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with total debt at $14.5 billion [13] - Free cash flow was reported at $2.3 billion, down from $2.66 billion in the previous quarter [13] Guidance and Future Outlook - Netflix raised its full-year 2025 revenue forecast to $44.8-$45.2 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 15%-16% [16] - The company expects Q3 2025 revenues of $11.526 billion, driven by member growth, pricing, and advertising revenues, with an operating margin projected at 31% [18] Upcoming Content Slate - The second half of 2025 will feature major franchise returns, including the final season of Stranger Things and new series like Billionaires' Bunker and Black Rabbit [20][21] - Upcoming films include sequels and original productions, with notable titles from acclaimed directors and a diverse international lineup [22]

Financial Performance - Netflix's revenue growth in the US is 15%, with faster constant currency growth in other markets [5][7] - Advertising revenue is doubling year-over-year [7] Subscriber Growth & Engagement - Netflix is experiencing solid subscriber growth, though they no longer report the specific numbers [7][8] - Overall time spent viewing increased by 1-2% in the first half of the year [9] - Engagement per member is down in the upper single digits [9] - The key driver for Netflix's stock in the next year will be increasing engagement among subscribers [10] Content Strategy - Netflix's content slate is heavily weighted towards the second half of the year [3] - The end of the quarter saw a subscriber spike led by Squid Game [3] - The final season of Stranger Things is expected to be released at the end of the year [4] - Historically, content has driven subscriber growth and overall growth for Netflix [4]

Financial Performance - Spotify has shown strong financial execution and stock performance, surprising analysts with its upside results [1] - The company has experienced an incredible rally over the past year, prompting a reevaluation of its current standing [1] Investment Analysis - The analysis emphasizes the importance of identifying opportunities where intrinsic value diverges from market price, particularly focusing on undervalued companies [1] - A specialized interest in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) is noted, highlighting the sector's potential for long-term growth and opportunities for investors [1] Investment Philosophy - The investment approach is rooted in rigorous analysis and a long-term perspective, prioritizing thorough due diligence on financial health, competitive positioning, and management quality [1] - The goal is to generate sustainable returns by maintaining a disciplined approach and staying attuned to market trends [1]

Core Viewpoint - Spotify Technology S.A. is expected to report strong earnings growth in Q1 2025, with earnings per share estimated at $2.32, reflecting a 121% year-over-year increase, and revenues projected at $4.5 billion, indicating a 13.3% growth compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 earnings has seen two upward revisions and one downward revision in the past 30 days, with a 1.3% increase in the 2024 earnings estimate during the same period [2]. - The current earnings estimates for Q1, Q2, E1, and F2 are $2.32, $2.44, $10.55, and $13.56 respectively, showing a positive trend in revisions over the last 60 days [3]. Earnings Surprise History - Spotify has a notable earnings surprise history, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average positive surprise of 22% [4]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current Earnings ESP for Spotify is -8.61%, and it holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating that the model does not predict a definitive earnings beat this time [5][6]. Subscriber Growth - The growth in subscribers and monthly active users (MAU) is expected to positively impact both revenue and earnings, with total MAUs estimated at 678.3 million (10.3% year-over-year growth), ad-supported MAUs at 426.4 million (10% growth), and premium subscribers at 265.41 million (11% growth) [8]. Stock Performance - Spotify's stock has experienced significant price increases, rallying 35% year-to-date, 58% over the past six months, and 109% in the past year, indicating a strong upward trend [9]. Investment Considerations - The company's strong performance metrics are attributed to price hikes, a loyal consumer base, and cost reductions, which have contributed to growth in both top and bottom lines [10]. - The expectation is for another robust quarterly performance driven by subscriber gains and increases in average revenue per user (ARPU), which will enhance the company's financial position [11]. Long-term Outlook - While current growth prospects for Spotify appear strong, there may be a potential correction in the stock price, suggesting that investors might consider waiting for a more opportune moment to invest [12]. - The long-term growth potential of the company remains strong, making it a stock to monitor for future investment opportunities [14].