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晶科能源(688223):2024年年报&2025年一季报点评:2024年组件销量维持行业第一,2025年出货目标85~100GW
EBSCN· 2025-05-05 15:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [3][6][15]. Core Insights - The company achieved a total shipment of 92.87GW in 2024, maintaining its position as the industry leader, with a year-on-year growth of 18.28%. However, the revenue from the solar module business decreased by 22.13% to 890.74 billion yuan due to a continuous decline in prices across the industry [1][2]. - The company plans to enhance its global investment strategy, targeting a shipment goal of 85-100GW for 2025, with significant expansions in production capacity in Saudi Arabia and the United States [2][3]. - The average mass production efficiency of N-type batteries is expected to reach around 27% by the end of 2025, with a target of approximately 6GWh for energy storage system shipments in 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported an operating income of 924.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.08% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.99 billion yuan, down 98.67% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the operating income was 138.43 billion yuan, a decline of 40.03%, with a net loss of 13.9 billion yuan [1][5]. - The company anticipates a significant drop in net profit for 2025, with projections of 4.43 million yuan, reflecting a downward adjustment of 89% [3][5]. Production and Capacity - The company aims to achieve a production capacity of 120GW for silicon wafers, 95GW for batteries, and 130GW for modules by the end of 2025, with over 40% of battery capacity undergoing upgrades [2][3]. Market Position - The company continues to lead in module shipments globally, with an overseas shipment ratio of nearly 57.8% in 2024, and is focused on enhancing its competitive edge in the Middle East and the U.S. markets [2][3].