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CMOC GROUP LTD(3993.HK):3Q25EARNINGS WELL ABOVE FORECAST
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-29 03:46
Core Viewpoint - CMOC's net profit for 3Q25 increased by 19% QoQ to RMB5.6 billion, significantly exceeding forecasts by 62% due to higher copper sales volume and a lower effective tax rate [1] Financial Performance - The company's copper sales volume decreased by 1% QoQ to 197.7k tonnes, but this was still 32% above forecasts due to a deviation from last year's seasonal pattern [2] - The effective profit tax rate was recorded at 27.5%, which is 9.5 percentage points lower than anticipated [2] - Cobalt sales were still recorded despite an export ban in the DRC, and trading profit surged 3.2 times QoQ, contributing to the strong earnings performance [2] Production Metrics - Copper output grew by 4% QoQ, while cobalt output fell by 12% QoQ, with the company continuing cobalt production despite the export ban [3] Future Earnings Expectations - Earnings are expected to surge by 42% QoQ in 4Q25, driven by a projected 10% increase in average LME copper prices and a rise in cobalt sales volume due to a secured export quota of 6.5k tonnes, which is 35% higher than 3Q25 sales [4] - A one-time gain of RMB1.5 billion from the disposal of a subsidiary in Xinjiang is also anticipated [4] Capital Expenditure and Growth Plans - The company plans to commence construction of Phase 2 of the KFM Mine in the DRC, with a capital expenditure of US$1.08 billion, which is 27% above previous forecasts [5] - This project is expected to add new capacity of 100k tonnes per annum of copper, with completion anticipated in the first half of 2027, at least six months ahead of prior estimates [5] Valuation Adjustments - The DCF-based target price has been raised from HK$13.91 to HK$15.56, reflecting increased earnings forecasts, equating to a 14.8x core 2025E P/E ratio [5]
X @THE HUNTER ✴️
GEM HUNTER 💎· 2025-10-06 20:59
RT THE HUNTER ✴️ (@TrueGemHunter)Bitcoin believers i have a questionWhat’s your $BTC target by Christmas 2025? 🎅$100K? $150K? $200K?Or are you going full moon mode 🌕Reply below — let’s see who’s the real visionary 👇 ...
X @THE HUNTER ✴️
GEM HUNTER 💎· 2025-10-06 19:24
RT THE HUNTER ✴️ (@TrueGemHunter)Bitcoin believers i have a questionWhat’s your $BTC target by Christmas 2025? 🎅$100K? $150K? $200K?Or are you going full moon mode 🌕Reply below — let’s see who’s the real visionary 👇 ...
X @THE HUNTER ✴️
GEM HUNTER 💎· 2025-10-06 18:43
Bitcoin believers i have a questionWhat’s your $BTC target by Christmas 2025? 🎅$100K? $150K? $200K?Or are you going full moon mode 🌕Reply below — let’s see who’s the real visionary 👇 ...
X @Doctor Profit 🇨🇭
Doctor Profit 🇨🇭· 2025-08-19 18:02
First target because lower targets can followIts too early to tell if this is the first and last targetBut more than confident that this target will be hit https://t.co/sLljY5ECcd ...
X @CoinDesk
CoinDesk· 2025-08-13 13:58
🔥NEW: Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick lifted his ETH target to $7,500 by end-2025 and $25,000 by 2028. https://t.co/Dk13DSDUjS ...
X @TylerD 🧙♂️
TylerD 🧙♂️· 2025-07-08 19:13
He actually calls for a much more modest $6,500 target by end of 2025Clearly a misprint by Cointelegraph here ...