Core Viewpoint - Zscaler Inc's stock has reached its lowest level since April, currently trading at $226.95, but is projected to see a 25.9% increase by 2025, with a supportive trendline potentially boosting its performance in 2026 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock is currently down 0.2% and is within 3% of its 24-month moving average, having closed above this trendline for the past five months [2] - Historical data indicates that when the stock has been within 3% of its 24-month moving average, it has increased one month later 69% of the time, with an average gain of 7.2% [2] - Three months following this signal, the stock has averaged a larger gain of 19.8%, with 67% of those returns being positive [2] Group 2: Options Market Sentiment - At major options exchanges, Zscaler's 50-day put/call volume is higher than 95% of readings from the past year, indicating a potential unwinding of pessimism that could benefit the stock [4] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for Zscaler is at 28%, which is at the lower end of annual readings, suggesting that options traders are currently pricing in low volatility expectations [4]

Market Performance - The S&P 500 reached a new record, climbing past 6,920 points with a year-to-date gain of 17% [1] - Other major indices also saw modest gains, indicating a potential fifth consecutive session of increases as the year ends [2] - The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell to 13.7, the lowest level since mid-December 2024, reflecting reduced market anxiety [2] Notable Stock Movements - Top gainers in the S&P 500 included Sandisk Corp. and Nike Inc., both rising approximately 5% [2] - Nike shares increased following Apple CEO Tim Cook's purchase of 50,000 shares at $58.97 each [3] - Micron Technology extended its post-earnings rally to 27% over the past five sessions, gaining an additional 4% [3] Banking Sector Highlights - Major banks like Citigroup, J.P. Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America reached record levels, with Citigroup marking its sixteenth gain in the past seventeen sessions [3][4] Precious Metals and Crypto Markets - Precious metals experienced a pause in their rally, with gold slipping 0.4% after reaching an intraday high of $4,525 per ounce, and silver falling 0.8% after hitting $72.69 [4] - In the crypto market, Bitcoin decreased by 0.9% to around $87,000, marking a 7% decline year-to-date [5] ETF Performance - The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF rose 0.2% to $633.80, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF gained 0.4% to $486.07 [7]

Market Analysis - Goldman Sachs strategists suggest the correlation between the US dollar and CBOE's Volatility Index is more significant than its correlation with US stock levels [1]

Company Performance - Carnival reported third quarter earnings that exceeded estimates, with adjusted EPS at $1.43 and revenue surpassing $8 billion [1] - Despite strong earnings, Carnival's stock is trading lower, reflecting market concerns despite a 23% year-to-date increase and a 64% rise over the past year [4][19] Market Trends - Booking trends for Carnival have strengthened since May, indicating robust demand for cruises, particularly for 2026 [2][6] - The cruise industry is experiencing a positive consumer sentiment, with customers willing to spend on future vacations [8][9] Competitive Landscape - Carnival's stock has underperformed compared to Royal Caribbean but has outperformed Norwegian Cruise Line [7] - Viking is noted as the only cruise line outperforming on the day following Carnival's earnings report [2][29] Financial Considerations - Carnival is facing concerns regarding external factors such as potential shutdowns and tariffs, which may impact future performance [5] - The company has significant debt due to expansion efforts, but it trades at a relatively low PE ratio of about 13 to 14, suggesting potential investment opportunities [10][11] Investment Strategies - Options strategies are being discussed to capitalize on the current lower implied volatility following earnings, with a focus on in-the-money calls for bullish trades [20][22] - A put butterfly strategy is being considered for Royal Caribbean, which has a strong balance sheet and is expected to perform well despite upcoming earnings [26][27]

Market Overview - The market has been experiencing a significant upward trend, reaching record levels for indices such as the S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq, with volatility decreasing [2][11] - There has been a notable increase in VIX options trading, with 60,000 contracts bought recently, indicating expectations of potential volatility spikes [3][9] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to announce a quarter-point interest rate hike, which is widely expected by the market [6][14] - Jerome Powell's communication style is highlighted as a potential risk for market sentiment, with a suggestion that he should limit his remarks to avoid miscommunication [5][6] Volatility and Options Trading - Large options trades in the VIX suggest that traders are positioning for potential volatility increases, with some buying spreads that could benefit from a rise above 20 [8][10] - The current VIX level is around 16.50, with traders looking for a possible spike, which could be a hedge against market downturns [3][10] Precious Metals Performance - Gold and silver have seen substantial gains, with both up over 40% year-to-date, driven by factors including currency fluctuations [13][14] - The GLD ETF has been a focal point for options activity, indicating strong investor interest in gold [13] Stock Recommendations - Companies such as Amazon, Oracle, Tesla, and Google are highlighted as having strong upside potential, with positive market activity noted for these stocks [16][17][18] - Google, in particular, is recognized for its unexpected investments and performance, suggesting continued growth potential [18]

Market Volatility - India's volatility index has declined to its lowest level since April 2024 [1] - Market concerns around Trump's tariff threats are waning [1]

Group 1 - Upstart Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:UPST) is experiencing a breakout above its June closing highs, surpassing its 200-day moving average and year-to-date anchored volume-weighted average price (AVWAP) [1] - The stock has bounced near peak put open interest at the 50-strike and is now breaking above the $55 pivot point from a November earnings gap, which has previously acted as both support and resistance [1] - The 65-strike call option is set to expire next week, potentially leading to higher prices as shorts begin to cover, with over 25% of UPST's total available float sold short [2] Group 2 - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for UPST is in the 10th percentile of its annual range, indicating that options traders can acquire premiums at a relative bargain [2] - A recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 3.7, suggesting it will double in value with a 29.1% move in the underlying equity [3]