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金山软件(03888):办公及游戏共进,收入稳健增长
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-23 06:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Software [3][5] Core Views - Kingsoft Software continues to experience steady revenue growth, with Q1 revenue reaching 2.34 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 9%. The office and gaming segments contribute 56% and 44% to the total revenue, respectively [1] - The company's gross margin for the quarter is approximately 82%, reflecting a 1 percentage point increase year-on-year [1] - R&D expenses for the quarter are around 830 million RMB, up 16% year-on-year, primarily due to investments in AI capabilities and new game categories [1] - The report forecasts revenue growth driven by both office and gaming segments, estimating revenues of 11.4 billion, 12.9 billion, and 14.6 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3] Summary by Sections Office Segment - Kingsoft Office recorded Q1 revenue of 1.301 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 6.22%. The personal business segment generated 857 million RMB, growing by 10.86% [2] - WPS 365 business revenue reached 151 million RMB, marking a significant year-on-year growth of 62.59% [2] - WPS software business revenue declined by 20.99% to 262 million RMB, mainly due to new procurement processes affecting sales [2] Gaming Segment - The gaming and other business revenue for Q1 was approximately 1.04 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 14%, driven by contributions from games like "Dust White Zone" and "Jian Wang 3" [2] - The new game "Limitless Machine" launched on July 2, has received positive feedback, ranking fifth on Steam's global wishlist [2] Financial Projections - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.88 billion, 2.46 billion, and 2.85 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 21%, 31%, and 16% [4][3] - The estimated P/E ratio for 2026 is 17.4, with a target valuation of approximately 49.1 billion RMB, corresponding to a target price of around 40 HKD [3]