Good morning. When Victoria’s Secret reported stellar quarterly results last week, shares shot up 14% and likely gave Hillary Super some breathing room from the activist investors pushing the lingerie company to, among other things, consider whether the CEO of 16 months is up to the task of turning it around.Of course, the potential of having to deal with an activist investor’s campaign goes with the territory of being a CEO, especially at a company that has been struggling. But Super’s saga is a reminder t ...

And the market is saying it's a 90% chance we get a rate cut at tomorrow's Fed meeting. But what kind. We'll have to listen closely to Chair Powell's comments for clues on the future cuts and the balance sheet.Joining us now is fast money trader guy Adami, co-founder of Risk Reversal Media. Guy, good to see you. What are you listening for from Powell.Assuming I mean 90% hey that we get the cut. >> Well, it's amazing and thank you. Hello Morgan. Hello John.Thanks for having me as always. It's amazing that at ...

Market Overview - The current market action is heavily influenced by the Federal Reserve meeting, with particular attention on Fed Chair Powell's commentary and its impact on the bond market [2][3][4] CME Group - CME Group is identified as a long-term investment opportunity, driven by the increasing participation of retail traders in the derivatives and options markets, particularly in event contracts [5][6] - The company is positioned to standardize and centralize trading in these emerging markets, similar to historical developments in the options and futures markets [7][8] - Current technical analysis indicates a downward trend with potential support around 270, while resistance is noted between 281 to 286 [10][11][12] IBM - IBM's recent acquisition of Confluent for $11 billion enhances its capabilities in real-time data streaming, crucial for AI applications, thereby strengthening its enterprise solutions [15][18] - The acquisition aligns with IBM's strategy to partner with AI models rather than compete, positioning the company favorably in the enterprise AI modernization space [16][19] - Technical analysis shows IBM's stock is currently trading at 312.48, up 42% year-to-date, with notable support around 288 and resistance near 315 [25][21][20] Walmart - Walmart has reported strong earnings, reflecting a shift towards a diversified tech-enabled platform, with a focus on e-commerce and AI to enhance operational efficiency [26][28] - The company is evolving its business model to include high-margin growth engines such as digital ads and memberships, which are expected to improve long-term profitability [29] - Technical analysis indicates Walmart is trading at 113.91, up over 21% in the last 12 months, with key support levels around 109 and resistance near 116.27 [36][31][32]

Market Sentiment - The markets are experiencing jitters ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, with concerns about Jerome Powell's comments regarding interest rates and the labor market [2][3] - There is uncertainty whether the Fed will implement a hawkish cut or acknowledge labor market weaknesses alongside lower inflation [2][4] Federal Reserve Meeting - The Fed meeting is set to start today, with an announcement expected tomorrow, including a summary of economic projections [3] - The likelihood of a rate cut is estimated at 90%, but the market is wary of implications that this could be a one-time cut with no further reductions [4][6] Nvidia and Semiconductor Industry - The U.S. government has allowed Nvidia to sell its H200 AI chips to China, with a 25% revenue share going to the U.S. government, up from 15% for previous H20 chips [8][10] - Nvidia's stock has rallied following this announcement, indicating positive market sentiment towards the semiconductor sector [9][10] Economic Data - The NFIB small business optimism index rose to 99.0% from 98.2%, with the increase attributed to expectations of higher real sales [12] - The ADP reported a positive weekly jobs number of 4,750, reversing a previous negative trend, indicating a slight improvement in the labor market [14]

It's Jordan Jackson. Nice to have you here at Post9 as well. It's a pretty big week.Got the Fed, you got Oracle, Broadcom. What are you thinking about. >> Well, we're keeping an eye on the Fed.Obviously, we think the Fed's going to cut rates. Um I think you are going to see a number of dissensions. Obviously, uh Mir's likely going to favor more aggressive easing.We could see a couple descents uh for for no easing at all. It's funny when we were uh penning our outlook AI lift and economic drift, uh we titled ...

Hope you join me. Closing bell 3:00 Eastern. Rick Reer of Black Rockck will [music] be with me just ahead of this Fed meeting.He was said to be part of that final five. So we'll also talk to him about what's in store for the Fed going ahead. Stephanie Link, Michael Baptist, Dan Ies, Jeff Degraph.So [music] we'll round it out that way in just a couple hours time. Amy, final trade for you today is what. >> I'm going to use the Sendis which I just talked about biotech.>> Okay. Thank you, Shannonet Sakosha. >> ...

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Trends - Consumer discretionary sector is showing increased optimism due to growth expectations for the upcoming year [2] - Semiconductor equipment names, particularly Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR), have seen significant performance, with MPWR up over 60% in the last year [2] - The semiconductor index reached a record high, indicating strong outperformance of semiconductors compared to software [3] Group 2: Technical Movements - MPWR experienced a 3.5% increase today, attributed to technical factors and a general bounce in the semiconductor equipment sector [3] - GBIQ is selling calls against the NASDAQ, indicating a strategy to capitalize on market movements, with a 10.5% increase noted but only 30-50% coverage for further upside [2]

Market Overview - Approximately 50.8% of issues are declining, with 316 of the S&P 500's 503 components experiencing declines [1] - The Nasdaq, S&P 500, and Dow are all dipping from record highs, with declines of -0.07%, -0.30%, and -0.45% respectively [1] Sector Performance - The Russell 2000 is up by 0.25%, driven by expectations for an interest rate cut later this week [2] - Nvidia shares increased by 2.6% amid news that the U.S. Commerce Department may allow exports of its last-gen H200 chips [2] Company News - Alphabet's stock fell by 2.7% despite a nearly 12% increase over the last month due to the launch of its new Gemini 3 AI model [3] - Toll Brothers reported 2,598 signed contracts for the recent quarter, exceeding Bloomberg analysts' expectations of 2,475, although profit margins compressed [5] - Wave Life Sciences and Structure Therapeutics saw significant stock increases of 132% and 102% respectively after promising results from a weight loss treatment trial [7] Earnings and Forecasts - Oppenheimer issued a bullish forecast for the S&P 500, projecting a year-end target of 8,100, representing a 17% increase from current prices [15] - The NY Fed reported that households expect one-year inflation to rise by 3.2% [16] Mergers and Acquisitions - Paramount Skydance launched a $30 per share bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, valuing the company at over $108 billion, complicating an existing deal with Netflix [12][13] - Carvana, CRH, and Comfort Systems are set to join the S&P 500, replacing LKQ Corp., Solstice Advanced Materials, and Mohawk Industries [18][19]

Market Overview - Inflation is beginning to rise, influencing upcoming Federal Reserve actions [2] - Corporate earnings are projected to increase by 5% to 9%, potentially pushing the S&P 500 to the 7400 range by Q1 2026 [3] - Positive market sentiment is noted, although some signs of losing momentum are present [4] Company Analysis: Alphabet - Alphabet is highlighted as a strong investment opportunity, particularly in the chip sector, where competition with Nvidia is expected to drive innovation [5][6] - Projected growth for Alphabet is estimated at 12% to 14%, which is considered conservative [7] - The stock is currently trading at approximately $316.25, with an 80% increase over the last six months [15] Company Analysis: Critical Metals - Critical Metals has faced a decline of nearly 12% over the past month, attributed to geopolitical factors, particularly the US-China trade relationship [16][17] - The stock is viewed as undervalued, with potential for a 10% increase over the next 18 months [18] - The company is seen as a necessary supplier in the rare metals sector, which is critical for US needs [17] Company Analysis: SoFi - SoFi is identified as an undervalued stock within the financial sector, with expectations of a 10% to 14% increase over the next 18 months [27] - The stock has been under pressure due to a recent $1.5 billion stock offering, but it is viewed as a turnaround opportunity [26][28] - Year-to-date, SoFi has increased by 76%, indicating potential for further growth as the financial sector begins to recover [36]

want to uh get uh right into the broader markets ahead of this week's Fed meeting. Joining us right now is Jeremy Seagull, professor emeritus of finance at the University of Pennsylvania's Warden School of Business. Also, of course, chief economist at Wisdom Tree.Good morning to you. Uh what do you think we are going to hear from the Fed this week. And and what do you think we should hear from them. >> Uh I think we're going to hear a uh what I call a hawkish cut.I think they are cutting 25 basis points. I ...