Core Points - The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is facing funding challenges that may hinder its ability to quickly formulate an open banking rule [2][3] - The CFPB has indicated it can operate with current funds until the end of the year, but future funding remains uncertain [2] - The bureau is working on a new open banking rule, with plans for an accelerated rulemaking process to address deficiencies in the previous rule [5][6] Funding and Operations - The CFPB cannot lawfully draw funds from the Federal Reserve System, which is its designated funding source, as concluded by the Justice Department [2] - The acting director of the CFPB has previously criticized the agency and mentioned the possibility of its closure within months [2][4] Rulemaking Process - The CFPB is revising the open banking rule, which was initially enacted under the Biden administration, and has been granted a litigation stay [3][5] - The bureau plans to potentially skip parts of the rulemaking process to issue a rule by the end of the year, which may include a public comment period [7] - Significant changes to the proposed rule, such as allowing fees for data access, would require an assessment of impacts on small businesses [6][8]

Economic Growth Projections - India's economic growth is projected to remain strong at 7.2% for the July-September quarter, down from 7.8% in the previous quarter, driven by improvements in rural activity and low inflation effects [1] - Economists forecast GDP growth in the range of 7% to 7.7% for the September quarter, with official data to be released soon [1] Inflation and Statistical Effects - The high projected growth is partly attributed to a low base effect, as GDP growth was only 5.6% in the same period last year [2] - Retail inflation decreased to 1.7% in Q2 from 2.7% in Q1, while wholesale inflation fell to 0.02% from 0.26%, positively impacting real GDP growth [2] Rural Demand and Economic Activity - High-frequency indicators indicate improved growth momentum, particularly in rural demand, supported by rising rural wages and favorable monsoon conditions [2] - Softer inflation, earlier monetary policy easing, and inventory build-up in anticipation of festive demand contributed to increased economic activity [3] Government Expenditure and Urban Indicators - Government capital expenditure growth slowed to 37% compared to 52% in the previous quarter, which may negatively impact overall growth [5] - Urban indicators, such as passenger vehicle sales and air travel, remained weak during the quarter [5] Export Performance - Exports rose by 8.7% during the quarter, contrasting with a 2.2% contraction in the previous quarter, due to front-loading of shipments and trade diversification efforts [6] Monetary Policy Considerations - If GDP growth meets projections, it will slightly exceed the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) forecast of 7%, complicating potential rate cuts despite low inflation [8] - Weak nominal GDP growth, expected to be under 9%, may keep the door open for a rate cut by the RBI [8] - The rationale for monetary easing is not strong based on current growth trends, but a rate cut of 25-50 basis points may still be considered to prevent deeper economic sluggishness [9]

Core Insights - Trafigura Group faced significant financial losses, approximately $600 million, due to questionable nickel-financing deals with firms run by Prateek Gupta, which have been described as resembling a Ponzi scheme [1][4] - Concerns regarding the relationship with Gupta were raised as early as September 2020, indicating that senior management was aware of potential risks long before the eventual collapse of the trading arrangement [2][3][5] Group 1: Financial Impact and Allegations - The trading house revealed in early 2023 that it had been defrauded, discovering that over $500 million worth of metal it purchased contained no nickel but rather stainless steel, aluminum, and worthless iron briquettes [4] - By 2021, the business dealings with Gupta had escalated to nearly 70,000 tons, equating to $1.2 billion in annual trading, despite earlier warnings from the trade finance department [5] - Gupta's firms engaged in "transit financing," where cargoes were sold and then bought back at a premium, raising questions about the legitimacy of the transactions [6] Group 2: Internal Concerns and Management Awareness - Emails from Trafigura's trade finance desk highlighted alarm over the business strategy with Gupta, noting long voyage times, high interest costs, and irregular sales, which led to concerns from major banks like Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank about processing payments to Gupta's companies [8] - Senior figures within Trafigura, including the co-heads of metals, expressed disapproval of the dealings with Gupta, indicating a mixed reception among the company's leadership [9]

Market Overview - The local share market started strong but quickly traded flat with minor losses throughout the session [1] - Gold prices rose above US$4,100 an ounce amid mixed responses to potential US Fed rate cuts, while major banks showed declines [2] Economic Indicators - Monthly CPI data from the ABS is expected, but significant market movement is unlikely unless there is a major shock [3] Sector Performance - Materials sector led with a gain of approximately 1.5%, while financials lagged down over 1% [3] Company Highlights - WEB Travel Group's stock increased nearly 10% after earnings met analyst expectations, focusing on B2B hotel room bookings [3] - Metallium Ltd's shares jumped over 15% intraday as it announced plans to list ADRs on NASDAQ, with a focus on extracting metals from e-waste [4] - Droneshield's stock rose following a $5 million contract announcement, alleviating concerns over recent director share sales [4] Company Declines - Bendigo Bank's shares fell after a Deloitte report indicated deficiencies in its money laundering risk assessment protocols, compounding recent cost concerns [4] - Bougainville Copper's stock plummeted 50% after a partner ceased contact, leading to a separate MOU with the Bougainville government that restricts Bougainville Copper's involvement [5]

ab 20 November 2025 Global Research Global Strategy 2026 Outlook: AI Debt Boom Meets Credit Risk Global: A US-led Correction, but the Credit Cycle Continues US: A Private Credit and AI Debt Financing Story EU: A J-curve Recovery and Dispersion Story Global Strategy Global Matthew Mish, CFA Strategist matthew.mish@ubs.com +1-203-719 1242 Julien Conzano Strategist julien.conzano@ubs.com +44-20-7567 2067 Bhanu Baweja Strategist bhanu.baweja@ubs.com +44-20-7568 6833 Global: A US-led Correction, but the Credit C ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus for 2026 in Asian markets will shift from AI-driven stocks to growth opportunities beyond AI, dividends, and previously overlooked stories in Asia [2][12][14] - Key themes include structural stories in energy self-sufficiency, new technology, financial deepening, and the growth of formal retail in ASEAN [12][14] Company-Specific Insights 1. Harbin Electric (1133 HK) - **Sector**: Electrical Equipment - **Market Cap**: USD 3.648 billion - **Current Price**: HKD 15.53; **Target Price**: HKD 22.00 - **PE Ratio**: 10.7; **PB Ratio**: 1.6; **ROE**: 16.2% - **Key Points**: - Benefiting from China's push for energy self-sufficiency, particularly in coal and nuclear power [16][18] - Expected earnings CAGR of 34% from 2024-2027 [19] - Potential inclusion in Stock Connect in 2026 [19] 2. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) - **Sector**: Auto Components - **Market Cap**: USD 14.901 billion - **Current Price**: CNY 8.44; **Target Price**: CNY 11.00 - **Key Points**: - Positioned to benefit from the growth of autonomous driving technology [23][25] - Expected revenue CAGR of 64% from 2025-2027 [27] 3. Goldwind Science & Tech (002202 CH) - **Sector**: Electric Utilities - **Market Cap**: USD 8.753 billion - **Current Price**: CNY 15.35; **Target Price**: CNY 20.40 - **Key Points**: - Leading manufacturer of wind turbines with strong demand in emerging markets [30][32] - Expected net profit growth of 58% in 2025 [32] 4. Trip.com Group (TCOM US) - **Sector**: Internet Software & Services - **Market Cap**: USD 48.707 billion - **Current Price**: USD 74.52; **Target Price**: USD 90.00 - **Key Points**: - Dominates China's online travel market with over 50% GTV [39] - Expected revenue growth of 15% CAGR from 2025-2027 [39] 5. BOCHK Holdings (2388 HK) - **Sector**: Commercial Banks - **Market Cap**: USD 54.013 billion - **Current Price**: HKD 39.70; **Target Price**: HKD 45.20 - **Key Points**: - Benefits from increased cross-border opportunities and offers a 5.5% dividend yield [44][46] 6. PB Fintech (POLICYBZ IN) - **Sector**: Internet Software & Services - **Market Cap**: USD 8.999 billion - **Current Price**: INR 1,734.70; **Target Price**: INR 2,250.00 - **Key Points**: - Operates India's largest online insurance marketplace [49] - Expected revenue CAGR of 30% from 2025-2028 [51] 7. Phoenix Mills (PHNX IN) - **Sector**: Real Estate Management & Development - **Market Cap**: USD 6.904 billion - **Current Price**: INR 1,714.80; **Target Price**: INR 2,110.00 - **Key Points**: - Largest mall operator in India, evolving into a mixed-use developer [54][56] 8. E-Mart (139480 KS) - **Sector**: Multiline Retail - **Market Cap**: USD 1.482 billion - **Current Price**: KRW 79,000.00; **Target Price**: KRW 120,000.00 - **Key Points**: - Trading at 0.2x PB, highlighting deep value [59] - Transformation into a multiline retailer with various catalysts for growth [60] 9. E Ink Holdings (8069 TT) - **Sector**: Technology - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: TWD 169.00; **Target Price**: TWD 305.00 - **Key Points**: - Holds over 90% of the global e-paper market and expanding capacity [62] 10. ICTSI (ICT PM) - **Sector**: Transport & Logistics - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: PHP 558.50; **Target Price**: PHP 630.00 - **Key Points**: - Offers growth and yield at attractive valuations [62] 11. City Developments (CIT SP) - **Sector**: Real Estate Management & Development - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: SGD 7.43; **Target Price**: SGD 11.00 - **Key Points**: - Positioned to benefit from a turnaround in Singapore's property sector [62] 12. Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - **Sector**: Retail - **Market Cap**: Not specified - **Current Price**: IDR 1,895.00; **Target Price**: IDR 2,900.00 - **Key Points**: - Expected to benefit from policies boosting consumption in Indonesia [62] Additional Insights - Asian dividends have doubled over the last 20 years, indicating potential for further increases in payout ratios [12] - The report emphasizes the importance of EPS growth for continued market gains, particularly in China [12][14]

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve faces a challenging decision at its upcoming policy meeting regarding whether to cut borrowing costs to support the job market or maintain rates to combat inflation, with the possibility of delaying the meeting altogether due to delayed economic data [1][3][6] Economic Implications - A delay in the December policy meeting could allow the Fed to make a more informed decision based on crucial employment data scheduled for release after the current meeting date [2][6] - The Fed's policy committee is reportedly divided on whether to prioritize inflation control or support the job market, with financial markets indicating an 83% probability of a rate cut in December [8] Data Availability and Decision-Making - The government shutdown has created a data blackout, complicating the Fed's ability to calibrate monetary policy effectively, leading to speculation about postponing the meeting to gather more information [3][4][8] - Without key economic data for October and November, the upcoming meeting may rely more on sentiment rather than concrete evidence, raising concerns about the decision-making process [9]

First they were dubbed "confusing." Then they were described as "susceptible to vulnerabilities."  Now, following the surge in interest in stablecoins, the European Central Bank reiterated its warning of the risks associated with the assets in a new report. The bank said that "broadening investor interest and global regulatory developments" has pushed the market cap of the tokens to a new high—and this could "pose financial stability risks." "Stablecoins' primary vulnerability is that investors lose confide ...

Nov 24, 2025 4:15 PM Eastern Standard Time JPMorgan Chase Financial Company LLC Declares Quarterly Coupon on Alerian MLP Index ETN Share NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--JPMorgan Chase Financial Company LLC announced today the quarterly coupon amount for the Alerian MLP Index ETN (NYSE Arca: AMJB). The table below summarizes the coupon amount for the Alerian MLP Index ETN due January 28, 2044 (the "Notes†). | NYSEArcaTicker | RegisteredIssue | DeclarationDate | Ex | RecordDate | PaymentDate | CouponAmountper | ...

Unemployment is an unsettling situation that, for many, means a lack of steady income. As of Aug. 2025, 4.3% of Americans — 7.4 million — were unemployed and actively looking for work, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. If you’re part of that demographic, here’s what to know about using a credit card vs. using your savings account to meet your expenses. Should I use my credit card while unemployed? While you may be able to get by with your savings in the short term, long stretches of unemployme ...