纯碱制造

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玻璃纯碱早报-20250421
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-04-21 07:53
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints - No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Glass - **Price Changes**: From April 11 to April 18, 2025, the price of FG09 contract dropped by 86.0 to 1122.0, FG05 contract decreased by 62.0 to 1084.0, and FG5 - 9 spread increased by 24.0 to -38.0. Some spot prices like that of 5mm large - board glass in certain regions remained stable, while others had minor changes, e.g., the price of 5mm large - board glass from Shahe Great Wall decreased by 26.0 to 1198.0 [1] - **Profit and Cost**: On April 18, 2025, the North China coal - fired profit was 266.8 with a weekly increase of 1.6 and daily increase of 2.5, and the North China coal - fired cost was 910.2 with a weekly decrease of 5.6 and daily decrease of 2.5. The South China natural gas profit remained at -154.3. The 09FG and 05FG contract natural gas profits decreased significantly [1] - **Spot and Sales**: Spot prices: Shahe traders' price dropped to around 1160, Hubei's factory low - price was around 1150. Sales ratios: Shahe was 66/58, Hubei was 77/84, East China was 81/70, and South China was 85/80 [1] Soda Ash - **Price Changes**: From April 11 to April 18, 2025, the SA05 contract price decreased by 41.0 to 1286.0, SA01 contract dropped by 53.0 to 1348.0, and SA09 contract decreased by 46.0 to 1324.0. Some spot prices of heavy and light soda ash in different regions changed, e.g., the price of heavy soda ash in Shahe decreased by 30.0 to 1310.0 [1] - **Profit and Cost**: On April 18, 2025, the North China ammonia - soda process profit was -131.7 with a weekly decrease of 23.7 and daily decrease of 9.4, and the North China ammonia - soda process cost was 1421.7 with a weekly decrease of 1.3 and daily decrease of 0.6. The North China combined - soda process profit decreased to -77.3 [1] - **Spot and Industry**: Spot prices: Heavy soda ash in Hebei's delivery warehouse was quoted around 1280 - 1290, and in Shahe warehouse around 1310. No information on the industry aspect was provided [1]
广发期货《特殊商品》日报-20250417
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-04-17 07:17
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings There is no information about industry investment ratings in the provided reports. 2. Core Views Glass and Soda Ash - Soda ash: Production is gradually recovering to a high level, and the weekly output has returned to around 73 - 740,000 tons. There has been a slight reduction in inventory, but with the increase in production, there is still expected to be inventory pressure. The market for soda ash remains under pressure due to the lag in photovoltaic resumption, and the futures market is expected to continue its weak oscillation in the future [1]. - Glass: The spot market is weak, and the macro - level is bearish, which jointly puts pressure on glass prices. The 05 contract is affected by the expansion of the delivery warehouse in Hubei and is showing a weak performance. The 09 contract has a relatively low price, and the market has expectations for stimulus policies, but there is currently no short - term driver [1]. Industrial Silicon The spot price of industrial silicon continues to decline, and the futures price has reached a new low. Supply has a slight increase, demand remains weak, and downstream prices are showing a downward trend, which drags down the price of industrial silicon. There are concerns about inventory accumulation, and the price fluctuation range is further adjusted to 8,500 - 10,500 yuan/ton [3]. Polysilicon The polysilicon futures price has fallen sharply, and the current spot price is at a significant premium to the futures price. There is support from downstream demand in April, but polysilicon inventory has not continued to decline, and downstream prices are starting to weaken. The futures price is expected to have limited room for further decline [4]. Natural Rubber Domestic rubber - producing areas are entering the new tapping season, and overseas areas are also gradually starting to tap after the Songkran Festival. The cost support for rubber prices has weakened. On the demand side, the inventory of semi - steel tires continues to increase, and enterprises are reducing production to control inventory. Short - term rubber prices are expected to face significant pressure [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Glass and Soda Ash Prices and Spreads - Glass: Spot prices in North China, East China, Central China, and South China remained unchanged. The 2505 contract decreased by 0.69% to 1144 yuan/ton, and the 2509 contract decreased by 2.07% to 1181 yuan/ton. The 05 basis increased by 8.16% [1]. - Soda ash: Spot prices in North China, East China, Central China, and Northwest China remained unchanged. The 2505 contract decreased by 0.60% to 1331 yuan/ton, and the 2509 contract decreased by 0.67% to 1368 yuan/ton. The 05 basis increased by 3.79% [1]. Supply and Demand - Soda ash: The operating rate increased from 82.38% to 88.05%, and the weekly output increased by 3.46% to 737,700 tons. The daily melting volume of float glass and photovoltaic glass remained unchanged [1]. - Glass: There is no significant change in the main supply - related data [1]. Inventory - Glass: The inventory in the market decreased by 0.84% to 65,203,000 weight boxes [1]. - Soda ash: The factory inventory decreased by 0.49% to 1.693 million tons, and the delivery warehouse inventory decreased by 3.08% to 402,700 tons [1]. Real Estate Data New construction area decreased by 2.88% year - on - year, construction area decreased by 20.51% year - on - year, completion area increased by 5.27% year - on - year, and sales area increased by 1.81% year - on - year [1]. Industrial Silicon Spot Prices and Basis The prices of East China oxygen - containing S15530 industrial silicon, East China SI4210 industrial silicon, and Xinjiang 99 silicon all decreased, while the basis increased [3]. Monthly Fundamental Data In March, the national industrial silicon output increased by 18.20% to 3.422 million tons, the output in Xinjiang increased by 26.57% to 2.108 million tons, the output in Yunnan decreased by 14.58% to 123,000 tons, and the output in Sichuan increased by 170.59% to 46,000 tons. The national operating rate increased by 13.29% to 57.80% [3]. Inventory Changes Xinjiang factory inventory increased by 4.42% to 226,700 tons, Yunnan factory inventory decreased by 11.40% to 24,100 tons, social inventory increased by 0.66% to 612,000 tons, and warehouse receipt inventory decreased by 0.55% to 349,000 tons [3]. Polysilicon Spot Prices and Basis The average prices of N - type re -投料, P - type cauliflower - like material, and granular silicon remained unchanged. The basis of N - type material and cauliflower - like material increased [4]. Futures Prices and Inter - month Spreads The PS2506 contract decreased by 0.54% to 40,265 yuan/ton. Some inter - month spreads changed significantly, such as the PS2506 - PS2507 spread increasing by 91.50% [4]. Weekly and Monthly Fundamental Data In March, the polysilicon output increased by 6.66% to 96,100 tons. In February, the import volume decreased by 29.29% to 23,000 tons, the export volume decreased by 72.88% to 16,000 tons, and the net export volume decreased by 130.20% to - 8,000 tons [4]. Inventory Changes Polysilicon inventory increased by 3.39% to 244,000 tons, and silicon wafer inventory decreased by 8.37% to 19.15 GW [4]. Natural Rubber Spot Prices and Basis The price of Yunnan state - owned whole - latex rubber decreased by 0.68% to 14,650 yuan/ton, and the whole - latex basis decreased by 62.50%. The price of Thai standard mixed rubber decreased by 0.69% to 14,350 yuan/ton [5]. Inter - month Spreads The 9 - 1 spread increased by 7.06%, the 1 - 5 spread decreased by 21.47%, and the 5 - 9 spread increased by 138.10% [5]. Fundamental Data In February, the production in Thailand decreased by 37.99% to 3.464 million tons, in Indonesia decreased by 0.50% to 1.976 million tons, and in India decreased by 31.48% to 740,000 tons. The operating rate of semi - steel tires decreased by 3.23% to 78.52%, and the operating rate of all - steel tires decreased by 0.37% to 66.15% [5]. Inventory Changes The bonded area inventory increased by 0.13% to 620,670 tons, and the natural rubber factory - warehouse futures inventory on the SHFE increased by 49.13% to 77,717 tons [5].
【图】2024年12月江苏省纯碱(碳酸钠)产量统计分析
Chan Ye Diao Yan Wang· 2025-04-06 02:47
Core Insights - The production of soda ash (sodium carbonate) in Jiangsu Province for the year 2024 reached 3.956 million tons, reflecting a 2.0% increase compared to the same period in 2023, but the growth rate has slowed down by 1.8 percentage points from the previous year and is 14.3 percentage points lower than the national average [1] - In December 2024, the production of soda ash in Jiangsu Province was 379,000 tons, which is a 6.3% increase year-on-year, but this growth rate is also down by 3.4 percentage points compared to December 2023 and is 4.6 percentage points lower than the national average [3] Summary by Category Production Data - The cumulative production of soda ash in Jiangsu Province for 2024 was 3.956 million tons, accounting for 10.4% of the national total production of 38.186 million tons [1] - In December 2024, the production reached 379,000 tons, representing 11.3% of the national production of 3.350 million tons for that month [3] Growth Rates - The year-on-year growth rate for the entire year of 2024 was 2.0%, which is a deceleration compared to the previous year's growth [1] - The December 2024 growth rate of 6.3% also indicates a slowdown compared to the same month in 2023 [3]
玻璃纯碱早报-2025-04-02
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-04-02 07:10
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Report's Core View - No core view explicitly stated in the provided content Group 3: Summary of Glass Price and Contract Information - On April 1, 2025, the price of 5mm large - plate glass from Shahe Anquan was 1257.0, with no weekly or daily change; FG09 contract was 1237.0, a weekly decrease of 52.0 and a daily increase of 14.0 [2] - Shahe Great Wall's 5mm large - plate glass was 1211.0 on April 1, a weekly decrease of 22.0 and a daily increase of 13.0; FG05 contract was 1235.0, a weekly decrease of 25.0 and a daily increase of 54.0 [2] - The low - price of 5mm large - plate glass in Shahe was 1211.0 on April 1, a weekly decrease of 22.0 and a daily increase of 30.0; FG 5 - 9 spread was - 2.0, a weekly increase of 27.0 and a daily increase of 40.0 [2] - Wuhan Changli's 5mm large - plate glass price remained 1160.0 from March 25 to April 1; 05 Hebei basis was - 24.0 on April 1, a weekly increase of 3.0 and a daily decrease of 24.0 [2] - The low - price of large - plate glass in Hubei was 1120.0 on April 1, a weekly increase of 20.0 and a daily increase of 10.0; 05 Hubei basis was - 115.0, a weekly increase of 45.0 and a daily decrease of 44.0 [2] - The low - price of 5mm large - plate glass in South China remained 1380.0 from March 25 to April 1 [2] - Shandong Jurun's 5mm large - plate glass price remained 1260.0 from March 25 to April 1 [2] Profit and Basis Information - North China coal - fired profit was 287.8 on April 1, a weekly decrease of 12.9 and a daily increase of 27.9; North China coal - fired cost was 923.2, a weekly decrease of 9.1 and a daily increase of 2.1 [2] - South China natural gas profit was - 174.3 on April 1, a weekly increase of 10.5 and no daily change; North China natural gas profit was - 177.8, a weekly decrease of 13.6 and a daily increase of 27.9 [2] - 09FG futures natural gas profit was - 169.0 on April 1, a weekly decrease of 42.1 and a daily increase of 11.5; 05FG futures natural gas profit was - 161.7, a weekly decrease of 14.3 and a daily increase of 50.8 [2] Spot and Sales Information - Spot: Shahe traders' prices increased to around 1210, with the 05 contract at around par; Hubei factories' low - price was around 1130, with fair sales and some manufacturers raising prices; Hubei's old 05 contract basis was between - 100 and - 140, with reported average sales [2] - Sales: Shahe's sales rate was 69, Hubei's was 112, East China's was 81, and South China's was 96 [2] Group 4: Summary of Soda Ash Contract and Spot Price Information - On April 1, 2025, the SA05 contract price of Shahe heavy soda ash was 1380.0, a weekly decrease of 50.0 and a daily increase of 10.0; the SA01 contract price of Central China heavy soda ash was 1350.0, a weekly decrease of 40.0 and no daily change; the SA09 contract price of South China heavy soda ash was 1570.0, a weekly decrease of 50.0 and no daily change [2] - SA05 Shahe basis of Qinghai heavy soda ash was 1080.0 on April 1, a weekly decrease of 30.0 and no daily change; SA month - spread 05 - 09 was - 44.0, a weekly decrease of 4.0 and a daily increase of 3.0 [2] Profit and Cost Information - North China ammonia - soda process profit was - 152.9 on April 1, a weekly decrease of 36.7 and a daily increase of 10.0; North China combined - soda process profit was - 195.2, a weekly decrease of 24.4 and a daily increase of 4.7 [2] - North China ammonia - soda process cost was 1502.9 on April 1, a weekly decrease of 3.3 and no daily change [2] Spot and Industry Information - Spot: The spot price of heavy soda ash at Hebei delivery warehouses was around 1350, Shahe warehouses was around 1380, and the terminal delivery price was around 1390; downstream restocking was nearly finished [2] - Industry: Yuanxing's production load increased, Jinshan restarted, and factory inventories accumulated [2]