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研报掘金|中金:预计1月澳门总博彩收入将达202亿至217亿澳门元 最偏好美高梅中国
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-05 04:36
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that Macau's total gaming revenue reached 20.9 billion MOP in December last year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.8%, slightly below Bloomberg's consensus expectation of 18% growth, and recovering to 91.5% of the level seen in December 2019 [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - The performance of total gaming revenue in December was primarily driven by the continued rollout of new high-end property projects [1] - Various entertainment activities and promotional plans contributed to an increase in visitor numbers [1] - However, the low VIP win rate posed a certain drag on overall revenue [1] Group 2: Future Projections - CICC forecasts that total gaming revenue in January 2026 will reach between 20.2 billion to 21.7 billion MOP, with average daily gaming revenue expected to be between 650 million to 700 million MOP [1] - Year-on-year growth is projected to be between 10% to 19%, but this is expected to be a decline of 13% to 19% compared to January 2019 [1] Group 3: Stock Preferences - CICC's preference ranking for sector stocks remains unchanged, listed in order as MGM China, Sands China, Galaxy Entertainment, Melco International Development, Wynn Macau, Melco Resorts & Entertainment, and SJM Holdings [1]
澳博控股(00880.HK)全资附属公司拟议发行美元计价优先票据
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-05 04:36
Core Viewpoint - The company plans to issue international notes through its wholly-owned subsidiary, aimed at non-U.S. persons outside the United States, under Regulation S of the U.S. Securities Act [1] Group 1 - The company will hold a series of fixed-income investor meetings and conference calls starting on or around January 5, 2026 [1] - The notes, if issued, will be backed by an irrevocable and unconditional guarantee provided by the company [1] - The net proceeds from the proposed issuance are intended for refinancing existing debt and general corporate purposes [1]
港股异动丨濠赌股低迷,机构指去年12月澳门博彩收入逊预期
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-05 03:08
Group 1 - The Hong Kong gaming stocks experienced a collective decline, with New World Development and MGM China down by 3%, Galaxy Entertainment down by 2.85%, and Sands China, Wynn Macau, and SJM Holdings down nearly 2% [1] - Morgan Stanley's latest report indicated that Macau's gaming revenue in December last year was 20.9 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1%, which was below market expectations [1] - Citigroup projected that Macau's gaming revenue in December 2025 would reach 20.888 billion MOP, averaging about 674 million MOP per day, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15% and approximately 91% of the December 2019 level [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley expressed a preference for Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China, while downgrading MGM China's rating to "in line with the market" due to its significantly underperforming results in December [1] - Citigroup noted that the lower-than-expected revenue was primarily due to abnormally low win rates in VIP rooms, likely below 3% [1] - The report from Citigroup anticipates a year-on-year increase of 10.5% in combined gaming revenue for January and February this year [1]
大摩:澳门去年12月博彩收入逊预期较 偏好银河娱乐(00027)及金沙中国
智通财经网· 2026-01-05 03:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in December last year was 20.9 billion MOP, approximately 2.61 billion USD, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, but a quarterly decline of 1%, which was below market expectations [1] - In the fourth quarter, Macau's gaming revenue reached 66.1 billion MOP, about 8.26 billion USD, with a year-on-year growth of 15% and a quarterly increase of 5.6% [1] - The report forecasts that Macau's total gaming revenue for 2025 will be 247 billion MOP, around 31 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and reaching 85% of the 2019 levels [1] Group 2 - The report highlights that the mass market revenue has already exceeded 120% of the 2019 levels [1] - The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for Macau gaming stocks is currently at 8.5 times, compared to the 15-year average of 12.8 times, indicating that the sector remains attractive [1] - The report expresses a preference for Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and Sands China (01928), while downgrading MGM China (02282) to "in line with the market" and maintaining a sell rating on SJM Holdings (00880) [1]
大摩:澳门去年12月博彩收入逊预期较 偏好银河娱乐及金沙中国
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 02:51
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue in December last year was 20.9 billion MOP, approximately 2.61 billion USD, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, but a quarterly decline of 1%, which was below market expectations [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - Macau's gaming revenue for Q4 reached 66.1 billion MOP, about 8.26 billion USD, with a year-on-year growth of 15% and a quarterly increase of 5.6% [1] - The EBITDA for Q4 is expected to grow by over 10% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The total gaming revenue for Macau in 2025 is projected to be 247 billion MOP, around 31 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and reaching 85% of the 2019 levels [1] - The mass market revenue has already exceeded 120% of the 2019 levels [1] Group 3: Valuation and Preferences - The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for Macau gaming stocks is currently at 8.5 times, compared to the 15-year average of 12.8 times, indicating attractiveness [1] - Morgan Stanley prefers Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and Sands China (01928), while downgrading MGM China (02282) to "in line with the market" and maintaining a sell rating on SJM Holdings (00880) [1] - MGM China significantly underperformed in December but may have short-term rebound opportunities [1]
大行评级|大摩:澳门12月博彩收入低于市场预期 偏好银河娱乐及金沙中国
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-02 08:02
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reported that Macau's gaming revenue in December last year was 20.9 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 1%, which was below market expectations [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - For the full year of 2025, Macau's gaming revenue is projected to reach 247 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and achieving 85% of the 2019 levels [1] - The enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for Macau gaming stocks is currently at 8.5 times, compared to the 15-year average of 12.8 times, indicating that the sector remains attractive [1] Group 2: Company Preferences - Morgan Stanley has a preference for Silver Lake Entertainment and Sands China [1] - MGM China significantly underperformed in December but may have short-term rebound opportunities, with its rating downgraded to "in line with the market" [1] - The rating for SJM Holdings is maintained at "underweight" [1]
小摩:料2026年澳门博彩收入升5至6% 利润增长有望超越收入增长
智通财经网· 2026-01-02 07:51
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley forecasts that Macau's gaming revenue will grow by 15% year-on-year to MOP 20.9 billion by December 2025, reaching 91% of pre-pandemic levels, slightly below market expectations of 18% due to previous upward adjustments [1] Group 1: Revenue Projections - For Q4 2025, gaming revenue is expected to increase by 15% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter to MOP 66.1 billion, marking a six-year high and exceeding both the bank's and market's expectations of 9% year-on-year growth [1] - For the full year of 2025, gaming revenue is projected to grow by 9% to MOP 247.4 billion, surpassing the bank's previous expectation of 5% [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - For 2026, the bank maintains its forecast for Macau's gaming revenue to grow by 5% to 6%, driven by a 7% to 8% increase in mass market and slot machine revenues, while VIP room revenues are expected to decline by 5% [1] - The bank anticipates industry profits will grow by 6% to 7% year-on-year, finally expected to outpace revenue growth [1] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - In the short term, the bank remains optimistic about Sands China (01928), while in the long term, Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is preferred, with target prices set at HKD 24.5 and HKD 50 respectively, both rated as "Buy" [1]
里昂:澳门上月博彩收入逊市场预期 首选银河娱乐(00027)和美高梅中国
智通财经网· 2026-01-02 07:48
Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in December increased by 14.8% year-on-year to MOP 20.89 billion, aligning with the bank's forecast but falling short of market expectations by 3% [1] Group 1: December Gaming Revenue - Macau's gaming revenue for December reached MOP 20.89 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.8% [1] - The average daily gaming revenue for the last ten days of December was MOP 624 million, compared to MOP 698 million for the first 21 days of the month [1] - Despite potential negative investor sentiment regarding the data, the bank remains optimistic that the continued appreciation of the RMB against the USD will support gaming revenue performance [1] Group 2: January and Future Projections - For January, the bank forecasts a year-on-year increase in Macau's gaming revenue of 18% to MOP 21.48 billion, exceeding market expectations by 3% [1] - The bank maintains its preference for stocks in Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) [1] - The bank anticipates that total gaming revenue in Macau will grow by 5% year-on-year by 2026, slightly below the market's expected growth of 5.5%, implying an average daily gaming revenue of MOP 709 million [1]
里昂:澳门上月博彩收入逊市场预期 首选银河娱乐(00027)和美高梅中国(02282)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-02 07:43
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in December increased by 14.8% year-on-year to 20.89 billion MOP, aligning with the bank's forecast but falling short of market expectations by 3% [1] - The average daily gaming revenue for the last ten days of December was 624 million MOP, compared to 698 million MOP for the first 21 days of the month [1] - Despite potential negative sentiment from investors regarding the data, the bank remains optimistic that the continued appreciation of the RMB against the USD will support gaming revenue performance [1] Group 2 - For January, the bank forecasts a year-on-year increase in Macau's gaming revenue of 18% to 21.48 billion MOP, exceeding market expectations by 3% [1] - The bank maintains its preferred stocks as Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) [1] - The bank projects that Macau's total gaming revenue will grow by 5% year-on-year by 2026, slightly below the market expectation of 5.5%, implying an average daily gaming revenue of 709 million MOP [1]
里昂:澳门上月博彩收入逊市场预期 首选银河娱乐和美高梅中国
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-02 07:35
Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that Macau's gaming revenue in December increased by 14.8% year-on-year to MOP 20.89 billion, aligning with the bank's forecast but falling short of market expectations by 3% [1] Group 1: December Gaming Revenue - Macau's gaming revenue for December reached MOP 20.89 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.8% [1] - The average daily gaming revenue for the last ten days of December was MOP 624 million, compared to MOP 698 million for the first 21 days of the month [1] Group 2: January Forecast - For January, Credit Lyonnais projects a year-on-year increase in Macau's gaming revenue of 18% to MOP 21.48 billion, which is 3% higher than market forecasts [1] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The bank anticipates that Macau's total gaming revenue will grow by 5% year-on-year by 2026, slightly below the market expectation of 5.5%, indicating an average daily gaming revenue of MOP 709 million [1] - The continued appreciation of the Renminbi against the US dollar is expected to support gaming revenue performance [1] Group 4: Preferred Stocks - Credit Lyonnais maintains its preference for Galaxy Entertainment (00027) and MGM China (02282) as top stock picks in the sector [1]