Core Viewpoint - The company's performance is negatively impacted by declining magnesium prices, leading to a significant drop in net profit despite revenue growth in 2024 and Q1 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024 and Q1 2025, the company achieved revenues of 8.983 billion and 2.033 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 17.39% and 9.08% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 160 million and 28 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 47.91% and 53.58% respectively [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - As of March 31, 2025, the price of magnesium ingots was 18,210 yuan per ton, down 17.2% from the beginning of 2024 [1] - The magnesium-aluminum price ratio has remained below 1 for nearly 11 months, indicating a growing application space for lightweight materials in the automotive sector [1] Group 3: Industry Trends - Companies in the die-casting sector, such as Xusheng, Wencan, Aikedi, and Meilixin, are increasing their investments in magnesium die-casting [1] - Automotive manufacturers, including Seres, Geely, SAIC, FAW, and GAC, are enhancing the penetration of magnesium products, with Seres' Wanjie magnesium alloy products using over 20 kg of magnesium per vehicle [1] - Future projections suggest that the use of magnesium in vehicles could reach 50-100 kg as larger magnesium die-cast components are integrated [1] Group 4: Product Development - Magnesium alloys offer four key advantages: lightweight, speed, stability, and cost-effectiveness, providing new growth momentum in the robotics sector [2] - A new magnesium alloy robot product was launched in collaboration with Estun, featuring an 11% weight reduction compared to aluminum alloy versions, along with superior damping, electromagnetic shielding, and heat dissipation properties [2] Group 5: Supply Chain and Production Capacity - The company has established a complete industrial chain from "mining - primary magnesium smelting - magnesium alloy production," ensuring raw material supply and reducing production costs [3] - Current production capacities include 100,000 tons of primary magnesium and 200,000 tons of magnesium alloy, with additional capacities being developed by subsidiaries and affiliated companies [3] - The subsidiaries and affiliated companies hold significant reserves of limestone resources, ensuring a stable supply of raw materials [3]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Baowu Magnesium Industry [3][45]. Core Viewpoints - The improvement in the corrosion resistance of magnesium alloys is crucial for their application in the automotive sector, with a potential market growth of 5 times due to enhanced economic viability as magnesium prices decline [1][2]. - Baowu Magnesium has launched corrosion-resistant magnesium alloy components, indicating progress in applications requiring high corrosion resistance, such as electric motor housings [1][26]. - The company has a comprehensive layout in the magnesium alloy manufacturing sector, with significant reserves and production capacities planned for the future [1][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Magnesium Alloy Corrosion Resistance - Enhancing corrosion resistance is key to unlocking the market for automotive magnesium alloy components [10]. - Magnesium alloys have shown better weight reduction compared to aluminum alloys, making them economically viable as magnesium prices have decreased [12][13]. - The current application of magnesium alloys in vehicles is limited, with potential usage significantly higher than current levels [18][19]. 2. Baowu Magnesium's Capabilities - Baowu Magnesium has successfully developed a magnesium alloy electric drive assembly that meets industry corrosion resistance requirements [26]. - The company has invested in R&D and established various innovation platforms to enhance product development [28]. 3. Industry Layout and Production Capacity - Baowu Magnesium has a well-structured layout in magnesium resources, production, and customer development, ensuring a competitive edge in the market [29]. - The company holds substantial magnesium ore reserves, with a total of 175,359.38 million tons available for extraction [32]. - Planned production capacities include 50,000 tons of raw magnesium and 60,000 tons of magnesium alloys by the end of 2024 [34][41]. 4. Profitability and Valuation Forecast - The forecasted EPS for Baowu Magnesium for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.241, 0.374, and 0.606 respectively, with dynamic PE ratios indicating a favorable investment outlook [2][45]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the automotive magnesium alloy market due to improvements in corrosion resistance [45].