Investment Rating - The report rates the automotive industry as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The magnesium alloy market is projected to reach a potential market size of 39.758 billion yuan, with a significant increase in usage in the automotive sector [11][26][30] - The total weight of magnesium alloy components currently used, being replaced, or in trial in domestic vehicles is approximately 106.47 kg per vehicle, indicating a market space of 1.37 million tons per year starting in 2024, which is seven times the production of magnesium alloy die-cast parts in 2023 [11][26] - The cost advantage of magnesium alloys over aluminum alloys is expected to become more pronounced after magnesium prices fall below aluminum prices in 2024 [11] - Breakthroughs in corrosion resistance of magnesium alloys are opening new opportunities for their application in automotive parts, expanding from closed areas to open areas [11][26] Summary by Sections 1. Magnesium Alloy Corrosion Resistance Improvement - The application of magnesium in vehicles is expanding from closed areas to non-closed areas due to improved corrosion resistance [11] - The cost advantage of magnesium alloy components is becoming more evident as magnesium prices drop below aluminum prices [11] 2. Market Space for Trial Magnesium Alloy Components - Magnesium alloys are currently in the experimental verification stage for parts like shock towers and integrated die-cast floors [13] - The market space for magnesium alloy integrated die-cast floors is estimated at 9.667 billion yuan per year based on 2024 projections [15] 3. Market Space for Replacement Magnesium Alloy Components - Magnesium alloy electric drive housings are entering mass replacement applications, with significant weight reduction and cost savings [18][20] 4. Mature Applications of Magnesium Alloy Components - Established applications include parts like instrument panel beams and steering wheel frames, with a market size of approximately 2.169 billion yuan per year [21] 5. Planned Magnesium Alloy Components - Ongoing trials for complex-shaped components such as battery pack housings and control arms are underway, with significant potential market sizes projected [22][24][25] 6. Potential Market Size for Magnesium Alloys in Automotive Applications - The overall potential market size for magnesium alloy components in the automotive sector is estimated at 39.758 billion yuan, with a total potential usage of approximately 2.1165 million tons [26][30] 7. Magnesium Alloy Component Manufacturing Industry Chain - The industry chain includes upstream raw magnesium and magnesium alloy smelting, midstream magnesium alloy component manufacturing, and downstream users such as automotive companies [32][33]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Baowu Magnesium Industry [3][45]. Core Viewpoints - The improvement in the corrosion resistance of magnesium alloys is crucial for their application in the automotive sector, with a potential market growth of 5 times due to enhanced economic viability as magnesium prices decline [1][2]. - Baowu Magnesium has launched corrosion-resistant magnesium alloy components, indicating progress in applications requiring high corrosion resistance, such as electric motor housings [1][26]. - The company has a comprehensive layout in the magnesium alloy manufacturing sector, with significant reserves and production capacities planned for the future [1][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Magnesium Alloy Corrosion Resistance - Enhancing corrosion resistance is key to unlocking the market for automotive magnesium alloy components [10]. - Magnesium alloys have shown better weight reduction compared to aluminum alloys, making them economically viable as magnesium prices have decreased [12][13]. - The current application of magnesium alloys in vehicles is limited, with potential usage significantly higher than current levels [18][19]. 2. Baowu Magnesium's Capabilities - Baowu Magnesium has successfully developed a magnesium alloy electric drive assembly that meets industry corrosion resistance requirements [26]. - The company has invested in R&D and established various innovation platforms to enhance product development [28]. 3. Industry Layout and Production Capacity - Baowu Magnesium has a well-structured layout in magnesium resources, production, and customer development, ensuring a competitive edge in the market [29]. - The company holds substantial magnesium ore reserves, with a total of 175,359.38 million tons available for extraction [32]. - Planned production capacities include 50,000 tons of raw magnesium and 60,000 tons of magnesium alloys by the end of 2024 [34][41]. 4. Profitability and Valuation Forecast - The forecasted EPS for Baowu Magnesium for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.241, 0.374, and 0.606 respectively, with dynamic PE ratios indicating a favorable investment outlook [2][45]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in the automotive magnesium alloy market due to improvements in corrosion resistance [45].