- The report mentions the construction of an "industry crowding monitoring model" to track the crowding levels of Shenwan first-level industry indices on a daily basis. The model identifies industries with high crowding levels, such as utilities and building materials, and those with lower levels, like automobiles and food & beverage. It also highlights significant daily changes in crowding levels for industries like real estate and utilities[6] - Another model mentioned is the "premium rate Z-score model," which is used to screen ETF products for potential arbitrage opportunities. The model employs rolling calculations to identify ETFs with potential risks of price corrections[6] - The industry crowding monitoring model evaluates crowding levels based on daily fund flows and crowding metrics, providing insights into industry trends and fund allocation changes over recent trading days[6] - The premium rate Z-score model calculates Z-scores for ETF premium rates, identifying deviations from historical averages that may signal arbitrage opportunities or risks[6] - The industry crowding monitoring model is qualitatively assessed as effective for identifying industry trends and fund allocation shifts, aiding investors in decision-making[6] - The premium rate Z-score model is qualitatively evaluated as useful for detecting arbitrage opportunities and potential risks in ETF pricing[6] - The industry crowding monitoring model highlights utilities and building materials as having high crowding levels, while automobiles and food & beverage exhibit lower levels. Real estate and utilities show significant daily crowding level changes[6] - The premium rate Z-score model identifies ETFs with potential arbitrage opportunities based on deviations in premium rates, though specific Z-score values are not provided in the report[6]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, 14 new products were issued in the US. Innovator launched a "two - way" strategy product, which offers positive returns in both rising and falling markets, with certain return caps and losses beyond the buffer range in a downturn [2][6]. - US ETF funds are flowing from style - based products to broad - based ones, reflecting a shift towards neutrality in the face of high market uncertainty [2][11]. - Gold ETFs are leading the gains among commodity ETFs, with a year - to - date increase of over 25% and growing product sizes, while ordinary commodities have more moderate performance with gains of less than 10% [2][16]. - In May 2025, the total non - money public funds in the US increased by $0.85 trillion compared to April. From June 17th to 25th, domestic stock funds had an outflow of about $16.6 billion, and the outflow has been expanding, with nearly $250 billion flowing out in the first half of the year, while bond product inflows continued to narrow [2][20]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 US ETF Innovation Products: Innovator Issues "Two - Way" Strategy Product - Last week, 14 new products were issued in the US, with many Buffer - type products issued at the beginning of the month. First Trust issued a Bitcoin - linked product with a 15% annual loss cap and a 31.26% annual return cap. Allianz and PGIM issued S&P 500 - linked Buffer products [6]. - Innovator's "two - way" strategy product is linked to the S&P 500, with buffer ranges of 10% and 15%, providing positive returns in both rising and falling markets, each with a return cap and losses beyond the buffer range in a downturn [6][10]. - Anfield issued a S&P 500 index - enhanced product, using quantitative stock - picking and derivatives to obtain excess returns, with a focus on momentum indicators. Hedgeye issued a mixed - allocation ETF aiming to control the maximum drawdown within 15%, and its top five holdings are mainly in growth and technology stocks [10]. - REX issued the first US Solana staking ETF, and AOT Invest issued a 2x leveraged software platform index product [10]. 3.2 US ETF Dynamics 3.2.1 US ETF Funds: Funds Flow from Style - Based Products to Broad - Based Ones - Last week, US stock and bond ETFs continued the trend of simultaneous inflows for domestic and overseas products, and alternative products mainly including Bitcoin had obvious inflows. All S&P 500 ETFs had inflows, with BlackRock's smallest - scale product having the most inflows, while style - based products mainly had outflows [11][13]. - Focusing on large - scale ETFs in the US stock, bond, and commodity markets, iShares' S&P 500 ETF had continuous inflows in the past two weeks, while gold ETFs started to have outflows [15]. 3.2.2 US ETF Performance: Gold ETFs Lead the Gains among Commodity ETFs - Gold ETFs have a year - to - date increase of over 25%, and their product sizes have grown. State Street's product has exceeded $100 billion, and iShares' gold ETF is close to $50 billion. In contrast, ordinary commodities have gains of less than 10% [16]. 3.3 Recent US Ordinary Public Fund Fund Flows - In May 2025, the total non - money public funds in the US were $21.91 trillion, an increase of $0.85 trillion compared to April. The S&P 500 rose 6.15% in May, and the scale of domestic stock - type products increased by 5.49%, slightly lower than the stock increase [20]. - From June 17th to 25th, domestic stock funds in the US had an outflow of about $16.6 billion, and the outflow has been expanding, with nearly $250 billion flowing out in the first half of the year, while bond product inflows continued to narrow [20].

Market Performance - On July 1, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.39%, the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.11%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.24%[3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets approached 1.5 trillion yuan, slightly down from the previous trading day[1] - Over 2,600 stocks rose in the two markets, indicating a structural rotation of market hotspots[1] Sector Highlights - The pharmaceutical sector, particularly innovative drugs, immunotherapy, weight loss drugs, and vitamins, showed strong performance[1] - The semiconductor equipment industry within the technology sector also attracted significant market attention[2] Fund Flows - On July 1, net inflows into the Shanghai Stock Exchange were 5.69 billion yuan, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange saw net inflows of 290 million yuan[4] - The top three sectors for capital inflow were chemical pharmaceuticals, chemical products, and electricity[4] Policy Developments - The National Healthcare Security Administration and the National Health Commission issued measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, enhancing information sharing among healthcare, insurance, and pharmaceuticals[5] - The measures aim to expedite the entry of innovative drugs into designated medical institutions and ensure timely adjustments to drug supplies[5] Economic Indicators - The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI for June rose to 50.4, indicating a return to the expansion zone, up by 2.1 percentage points from May[6] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the development of the new energy vehicle industry and enhancing talent capabilities[7] Industry Trends - The GenAI IaaS market in China is projected to reach 8.74 billion yuan in the second half of 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 165%[8] - The film box office for the first half of 2025 reached 29.231 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.91%[9] - Heavy truck wholesale sales in June increased by approximately 29% year-on-year, with total sales around 92,000 units[11] Fund Management - Public REITs have surpassed a total market value of 200 billion yuan since their inception in 2020, following the implementation of new guidelines for registration and settlement[12] - Twelve public funds with over 100 billion yuan in management collectively manage 3.59 trillion yuan, accounting for 80% of the total ETF market[13]

Tom Lee, Fundstrat Capital’s CIO & Portfolio Manager and Dave Nadig, Independent ETF Expert, sit down with CNBC’s Dominic Chu to discuss how the idea of a “stock picker’s market” is now being placed by could be called a “theme picker’s market.” ...

Market Performance - The A-share market rebounded this week, driven by the financial and technology sectors, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 3400 points, closing at 3424.23, reflecting a weekly increase of 1.91% [1][2] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 3.73% for the week, while the ChiNext Index surged by 5.69%, marking the largest weekly gain this year [1][2] ETF Performance - According to Go-Goal ETF data, the financial technology ETF from Huaxia saw a significant increase of 14.33%, leading the gains, while both the Hong Kong Securities ETF and financial technology ETF also rose over 14% [1][2] - Software and ChiNext artificial intelligence-related ETFs showed strong performance, while oil and gas ETFs experienced declines due to falling international oil prices [1][2] Fund Flows - The overall ETF market experienced a net outflow of 622 million yuan, with stock ETFs seeing a net outflow of 19.851 billion yuan, while bond ETFs and cross-border ETFs recorded net inflows of 23.875 billion yuan and 6.752 billion yuan, respectively [1][2] Upcoming ETFs - Eight new ETFs are set to be issued next week, including the Sci-Tech Value ETF from Huaxia, Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF from Fuguo, and Hong Kong Stock Connect Medical ETF [1][2] - Nine ETFs, including the Large Cap Growth ETF, Hong Kong Consumption 50 ETF, and Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology 30 ETF, are scheduled to be listed next week [1][2]

ETF Industry News - The three major indices experienced fluctuations and declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.22%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.48%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.66%. Several computer sector ETFs saw increases, including the Cloud 50 ETF (560660.SH) which rose by 1.64% and the Cloud Computing Hong Kong-Shenzhen ETF (517390.SH) which increased by 1.05%. Conversely, multiple pharmaceutical and biotechnology ETFs declined, with the Tianhong Innovative Drug ETF (517380.SH) down by 2.11% and the Hong Kong-Shenzhen Innovative Drug ETF (159622.SZ) down by 2.03% [1][2]. - The total scale of stock ETFs has returned to over 3 trillion yuan, with the number of stock ETFs reaching 975 and a total net asset value of approximately 3.05 trillion yuan, accounting for 70.76% of the entire ETF market [1][2]. Market Overview - On June 26, the three major indices collectively fell, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3448.45 points, the Shenzhen Component Index at 10343.48 points, and the ChiNext Index at 2114.43 points. The highest intraday points were 3462.75, 10440.73, and 2142.21 respectively. The Nikkei 225, CSI 300, and CSI A500 ranked higher in performance, with daily changes of 1.65%, -0.35%, and -0.36% respectively [3]. Sector Performance - In the performance of various sectors, banking, telecommunications, and defense industries ranked higher with daily increases of 1.01%, 0.77%, and 0.55% respectively. In contrast, the automotive, non-bank financial, and pharmaceutical sectors lagged behind with declines of -1.37%, -1.2%, and -1.05% respectively. Over the past five trading days, non-bank financial, computer, and defense industries showed strong performance with increases of 7.69%, 6.15%, and 4.75% respectively [6]. ETF Market Performance - The overall performance of ETFs was analyzed based on their scale and daily changes. Commodity ETFs performed the best with an average increase of 0.11%, while cross-border ETFs had the worst performance with an average decrease of -0.72% [8]. - The top five performing ETFs today included the Communication Equipment ETF (159583.SZ), Cloud 50 ETF (560660.SH), and Gold Stock ETF (159322.SZ), with returns of 1.83%, 1.64%, and 1.44% respectively [10]. Trading Volume of Different ETF Categories - The trading volume of various ETF categories was reported, with the top three stock ETFs by trading volume being the CSI 300 ETF (510300.SH) at 3.746 billion yuan, A500 ETF (512050.SH) at 3.740 billion yuan, and A500 ETF by Harvest (159351.SZ) at 3.324 billion yuan [12].

Group 1: ETF Innovations and New Products - Roundhill launched a series of weekly dividend ETFs linked to stocks like Meta, Netflix, Amazon, Berkshire, and Robinhood, offering 1.2 times weekly returns [1] - Rainwater Equity introduced its first ETF focusing on companies with high customer loyalty, such as software providers and exchanges, which are expected to deliver stable earnings growth [2] - WisdomTree released an inflation-protected ETF utilizing a momentum-based long-short commodity strategy, covering 18 commodities and holding long positions in gold and silver [2] Group 2: ETF Fund Flows and Performance - U.S. stock ETFs saw significant inflows exceeding $30 billion last week, with international stock products also attracting over $10 billion [3] - Vanguard's S&P 500 ETF has seen substantial inflows, surpassing $680 billion in total assets, leading other products by nearly $80 billion [6][10] - Technology ETFs, particularly in the semiconductor and cybersecurity sectors, have rebounded significantly, with some products gaining over 20% since May [10] Group 3: Fund Flow Trends - For the week of June 4 to June 11, U.S. domestic equity funds experienced outflows of approximately $11.2 billion, while bond products continued to see inflows exceeding $8 billion [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant enhancement of support for technological innovation through the establishment of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board's growth layer and the expansion of the fifth set of listing standards [1] - The current development momentum in fields such as low-altitude economy, artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and commercial aerospace is strong, with the potential of new productive forces gradually emerging [1] - Over the six years since the establishment of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, 54 unprofitable companies have successfully gone public, with 22 of them achieving profitability, and the remaining 20 companies under the fifth set of standards having a research and development intensity of 70.6%, significantly higher than the average level of the board [1] Group 2 - The reform will focus on supporting the listing of companies in cutting-edge fields such as artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy, while also piloting a "pre-review mechanism" for IPOs and introducing seasoned professional institutional investors to optimize the listing process and enhance risk identification capabilities [1] - Accompanying mechanisms will clarify the standards for entering and exiting the market, strengthen risk warnings, and improve information disclosure requirements to further protect investors' rights [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation and Entrepreneurship ETF tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index, which is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd., selecting 50 stocks with larger market capitalization and better liquidity from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market to reflect the overall performance of listed companies in the field of technological innovation [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market opened with mixed performance on June 24, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Index showing a strong opening [1] - The Tianhong Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF (589860) rose by 0.86% as of the report, with constituent stocks like Zhongyou Technology increasing over 8% [1] - The Tianhong ETF has seen net inflows for two consecutive days, leading in net inflow days among similar products [1] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF closely tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation Index (000680.SH), covering approximately 97% of the market capitalization in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1] - The index includes small-cap hard technology companies, showcasing strong representativeness and growth attributes [1] - Minsheng Securities highlights that the software revolution led by AI agents is at a pivotal point, with AI applications being a core theme for the future [1] Group 3 - Citic Securities notes that the external environment remains turbulent, leading to a preference for higher certainty in market investments [2] - The market is currently experiencing high emotional fluctuations, with a focus on sectors with potential earnings surprises and those at lower levels [2] - Recommended sectors include consumer electronics and semiconductor materials, which are expected to show potential earnings exceeding expectations [2]

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