· 2025 年 11 月 27 日 国都港股操作导航 | 海外市场重要指数 | 收市 | 幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业指数 | 47427.12 | 0.67 | | 标普 500 指数 | 6812.61 | 0.69 | | 纳斯达克综合指数 | 23214.69 | 0.82 | | 英国富时 100 指数 | 9691.58 | 0.85 | | 德国 DAX 指数 | 23726.22 | 1.11 | | 日经 225 指数 | 49559.07 | 1.85 | | 台湾加权指数 | 27409.54 | 1.85 | | 内地股市 | | | | 上证指数 | 3864.18 | -0.15 | | 深证成指 | 12907.83 | 1.02 | | 香港股市 | | | | 恒生指数 | 25928.08 | 0.13 | | 国企指数 | 9162.37 | 0.04 | | 红筹指数 | 4215.34 | 0.06 | | 恒生科技指数 | 5618.36 | 0.11 | | AH 股溢价指数 | 120.65 | -0.18 | | 恒生期货 ...

恒生指数高开0.9%，恒生科技指数涨1.43%。科网股多数上涨，百度集团涨近4%，小米集团、阿里巴巴 涨近3%。文远知行涨超6%，公司第三季度总收入1.71亿元，同比增长144.3%。 广发证券表示，港股可能再次迎来布局良机。如果后续美国政府停摆结束、美联储12月降息表态重新转 鸽、美联储停止缩表甚至重启扩表，美元流动性得到缓解，港股可能会出现新一轮上涨。配置上，11月 基本面驱动效应强，仍然采用杠铃策略，以红利为底仓，科技成长博弹性。广发证券称，港股牛市的基 础并未破坏，但演进方式更可能呈现"震荡上行、重心缓升"的特征，而非单边快速上涨，港股的11月基 本面驱动效应强，仍然要重视高景气板块的价值。在配置上，仍然采用杠铃策略，港股稳定价值类资产 (尤其是AH溢价相对较高H股)作为底仓长期配置，港股景气成长类资产的产业逻辑依然坚实，震荡中孕 育机会。一旦上述Trigger出现，资金可能会流入中国最具备全球竞争优势的核心资产，例如恒生科技 (互联网、新能源车)等。 银河证券表示，临近年底，市场风险偏好趋于谨慎，港股或延续震荡走势。建议关注以下板块：(1)供 需格局变化下，下游商品价格上涨的周期股或持续反弹。(2) ...

来源：市场投研资讯 （来源：富国基金） Wind数据显示，10月以来，港股市场迎来了一波回调，尤其是恒生科技指数，一口气从6715点跌到 5395点，回调幅度达16%。 跌成这样，也是跟多重内外部因素相关： 从外部因素来看，10月美联储FOMC会议延续鹰派基调，使得市场对12月降息的预期出现大幅调整；其 二，美国财政部通过发债操作补充国库通用账户，导致银行体系过剩流动性降至低位，进而推动担保隔 夜融资利率与美联储准备金利率的利差明显走阔。叠加美国政府此前停摆风险、美联储缩表进程等因素 扰动，美元短期流动性趋于紧张，美元指数走强对港股市场表现形成显著压制。 从内部因素来看，一方面，前期在利好推动下，部分成长题材估值已升至高位。随着政策层面未出现超 预期刺激，市场进入叙事"空窗期"，使得港股更易受外部利空冲击，行情开始扩散并转入阶段性调整。 另一方面，相比A股科技股更聚焦于半导体、新能源、AI等制造领域，在海外映射下，上游算力环节已 积累超额收益，其业绩有序验证也支撑了一定估值。相较而言，港股中的互联网龙头更多代表"软创 新"，其估值逻辑正从消费属性转向科技属性，市场对其AI应用资产的定价或将是一个渐进式过程。 ...

恒生指数高开0.92%，恒生科技指数涨1.13%。科网股多数上涨，网易涨超3%，百度集团涨超2%，小米 集团涨超1%。零跑汽车涨超3%，公司被纳入恒生科技指数成份股，于2025年12月8日起生效。 广发证券表示，港股可能再次迎来布局良机。如果后续美国政府停摆结束、美联储12月降息表态重新转 鸽、美联储停止缩表甚至重启扩表，美元流动性得到缓解，港股可能会出现新一轮上涨。配置上，11月 基本面驱动效应强，仍然采用杠铃策略，以红利为底仓，科技成长博弹性。广发证券称，港股牛市的基 础并未破坏，但演进方式更可能呈现"震荡上行、重心缓升"的特征，而非单边快速上涨，港股的11月基 本面驱动效应强，仍然要重视高景气板块的价值。在配置上，仍然采用杠铃策略，港股稳定价值类资产 (尤其是AH溢价相对较高H股)作为底仓长期配置，港股景气成长类资产的产业逻辑依然坚实，震荡中孕 育机会。一旦上述Trigger出现，资金可能会流入中国最具备全球竞争优势的核心资产，例如恒生科技 (互联网、新能源车)等。 关于港股后市 华鑫证券表示，近期港股调整幅度相对较大，估值也相对更合理，进一步回调的空间有限。虽然年末风 险偏好不会过高，意味着没有全面行 ...

Group 1 - The recent global market turmoil is attributed to multiple factors, including the Federal Reserve's mixed signals on interest rate cuts, concerns over AI sector sustainability, and geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains [4][5][6]. - A-shares and H-shares are viewed as having long-term strategic opportunities despite recent adjustments, with expectations for policy support and foreign capital inflow remaining intact [8][9]. - The outlook for A-shares and H-shares is positive, with analysts suggesting that the current market environment presents a window for investment [8][9][10]. Group 2 - Gold is expected to remain a strong asset in the medium to long term, supported by global monetary expansion and increasing central bank purchases [11][12][13]. - Analysts predict that the global stock market will continue to trend upwards, driven by liquidity and risk appetite, although caution is advised regarding inflation and geopolitical risks [14][15][16]. - The oil market is anticipated to experience a range-bound trading pattern, influenced by geopolitical factors and supply-demand dynamics [17][18][19]. Group 3 - A-shares are considered to have superior investment value, with a focus on high-growth sectors such as technology and advanced manufacturing, while also incorporating defensive strategies [20][21]. - The investment landscape for 2026 is expected to favor A-shares, H-shares, gold, and short-term U.S. Treasuries, as global liquidity conditions remain favorable [21][22]. - Attention should be paid to liquidity and geopolitical risks, particularly in light of potential economic data releases and the Federal Reserve's policy decisions [23][24][25].

银河证券表示，临近年底，市场风险偏好趋于谨慎，港股或延续震荡走势。建议关注以下板块：(1)供 需格局变化下，下游商品价格上涨的周期股或持续反弹。(2)市场风险偏好下降，投资者或转向红利股 寻求防御。(3)中美贸易关系向好发展，中长期利好出海板块。 本文转载自"腾讯自选股"，智通财经编辑：李佛。 招商香港表示，港股在经历10月盘整后，悲观预期逐步出清。该机构认为，随着供需格局改善，中国经 济周期有望迎来景气拐点。科技产业的资本开支和研发投入将逐步转化为企业盈利，成为新的增长引 擎。而在美联储降息周期开启且结束QT缩表，中美政策"双宽松"共振，南向资金和外资将持续流入。 未来基本面改善，盈利预期上修叠加估值修复将驱动港股中长期上行，呈现慢牛趋势。 广发证券表示，港股可能再次迎来布局良机。如果后续美国政府停摆结束、美联储12月降息表态重新转 鸽、美联储停止缩表甚至重启扩表，美元流动性得到缓解，港股可能会出现新一轮上涨。配置上，11月 基本面驱动效应强，仍然采用杠铃策略，以红利为底仓，科技成长博弹性。广发证券称，港股牛市的基 础并未破坏，但演进方式更可能呈现"震荡上行、重心缓升"的特征，而非单边快速上涨，港股的11月 ...

11月20日，港股市场早盘高开后走弱整理，恒生中国（香港上市）30指数同步走低，成份股涨跌参半， 建设银行、中国银行、交通银行等高股息红利股逆市上行支撑指数，小米集团-W、阿里巴巴-W、腾讯 控股、比亚迪股份等科技股弱势表现。 | 恒生中国(香港上市) 30指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 4615 | 間称 | 权重 (%) | | 9988.HIK | 阿里巴巴-w | 18.07 | | 0700.HK | 腾讯 智股 | 15.44 | | 0939.HK | 建设银行 | 7.64 | | 1810.HK | 小米集团-W | 7.2 | | 3690.HK | 美团-W | 5.14 | | 0941.HK | 中国移动 | 4.86 | | 1398.HK | 工商银行 | 4.55 | | 2318.HK | 中国业安 | 3.45 | | 1211.HK | 比亚迪股份 | 3.4 | | 0981.HIK | 中村国际 | 3.09 | | 前十大重仓股权重(%) | | 72.84 | | 数据来源:恒生指数公司,截至2025.10.31 | | | 消息面上 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up by 0.65%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.7%. Brokerage stocks performed strongly, with China Galaxy, Orient Securities, and Everbright Securities all rising over 4%. However, new energy vehicle makers like Xpeng Motors saw a decline of 1.87% [1] - Huaxin Securities noted that the recent adjustment in the Hong Kong stock market has been relatively large, and valuations are more reasonable, indicating limited further downside. Although risk appetite may not be high towards year-end, sectors with high certainty for 2026 are expected to trend upwards [1] - According to招商香港, after the consolidation in October, pessimistic expectations for the Hong Kong market are gradually clearing. The firm believes that with improvements in supply-demand dynamics, the Chinese economic cycle may reach an inflection point [1] Group 2 - GF Securities suggested that the Hong Kong stock market may present a good opportunity for investment again, especially if the U.S. government shutdown ends and the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance in December [2] - The firm emphasized a "barbell strategy" for investment, focusing on dividend stocks as a base and technology growth stocks for potential upside. They believe the foundation for a bull market in Hong Kong remains intact, but the market may experience a "volatile upward trend" rather than a rapid increase [2] - Galaxy Securities indicated that as the year-end approaches, market risk appetite is becoming cautious, and the Hong Kong stock market may continue its volatile trend. They recommend focusing on sectors such as cyclical stocks benefiting from rising downstream commodity prices and dividend stocks for defensive positioning [2]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong stocks experienced a slight decline, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.38% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.69%, while the dividend sector showed resilience with gains in certain central enterprise stocks [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.38% and the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.69% on November 19 [1] - The Central Enterprise Dividend Index (931233.CSI) rose by 0.42%, with notable increases in stocks such as China People's Insurance Group (over 3%) and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (nearly 3%) [1] - The National Central Enterprise Dividend ETF (159281) recorded a trading volume of 52.05 million yuan with a real-time premium rate of 0.27% [1] Group 2: Fund Flows - As of November 18, the Central Enterprise Dividend ETF has seen net inflows for seven consecutive trading days, with a net inflow rate of 27.80% over the last five trading days, leading among similar products [1][2] - The Southbound funds have recorded net inflows in 19 out of the last 20 trading days, totaling over 120 billion HKD [2] Group 3: ETF Characteristics - The Central Enterprise Dividend ETF closely tracks the Central Enterprise Dividend Index, which selects stable dividend-paying central enterprises with high dividend yields [2] - The Tech ETF (159128) tracks the Tech Index and includes stocks eligible for trading under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, allowing for T+0 trading without QDII quota restrictions [2] Group 4: Analyst Insights - Dongwu Securities indicated that the Hong Kong market is likely to experience short-term fluctuations, but the current position presents long-term investment attractiveness [3]

Group 1 - Nvidia is set to release its Q3 earnings report, while Xiaomi and Pinduoduo have recently reported their financial results, with Xiaomi's stock dropping nearly 5% due to market concerns about ongoing negative sentiment affecting new orders [1] - Pinduoduo's management has cautioned that current profits should not be seen as a guide for future performance, indicating potential fluctuations in upcoming quarters, leading to a drop of over 7% in its stock price [1] - The article highlights the volatility of Pinduoduo's stock performance following earnings releases, noting significant declines in previous quarters, with the latest drop being relatively smaller compared to past performances [1] Group 2 - Despite facing short-term pressure, Hong Kong stocks have led global indices since the beginning of the year, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index showing returns of 25-30% [5] - The article discusses the sensitivity of Hong Kong stocks to changes in interest rate expectations, particularly in light of the global market downturn, which is attributed to a slower-than-expected interest rate cut process [10] - The article emphasizes that the recent declines in Hong Kong stocks are not indicative of systemic issues, as the high dividend yield sectors remain attractive for investment [17][19] Group 3 - The article points out that the current valuation of Hong Kong's large tech stocks is not considered expensive compared to US and A-share tech stocks, suggesting potential investment opportunities [15] - High dividend-paying stocks in Hong Kong are highlighted as a solid investment choice, with comparisons made to bond yields indicating significant investment potential [19] - The article mentions the recent increase in capital inflows into Hong Kong banks, suggesting a positive shift in market sentiment and investment strategies [21]