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AGCO vs. DE: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-09-03 16:40
Core Viewpoint - The article compares Agco (AGCO) and Deere (DE) to determine which stock offers better value for investors, highlighting AGCO's stronger performance in key metrics and rankings [1]. Group 1: Zacks Rank and Earnings Outlook - AGCO has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings estimate revision trend, while DE has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [3]. - The Zacks Rank is a strategy that targets companies with improving earnings outlooks, suggesting that AGCO is currently favored by investors [2][3]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - AGCO's forward P/E ratio is 22.31, compared to DE's forward P/E of 25.60, indicating that AGCO may be undervalued relative to DE [5]. - AGCO has a PEG ratio of 1.71, while DE's PEG ratio is significantly higher at 3.06, suggesting AGCO offers better value considering expected earnings growth [5]. - AGCO's P/B ratio is 1.91, in contrast to DE's P/B of 5.12, further supporting the notion that AGCO is more attractively priced [6]. Group 3: Overall Value Assessment - Based on various valuation metrics, AGCO holds a Value grade of B, while DE has a Value grade of D, indicating AGCO is the superior choice for value investors [6].
Why Agco (AGCO) Might be Well Poised for a Surge
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 17:20
Core Viewpoint - Agco (AGCO) shows a significant improvement in earnings outlook, making it an attractive investment option as analysts continue to raise earnings estimates for the company [1][2]. Estimate Revisions - The upward trend in earnings estimate revisions indicates growing optimism among analysts regarding Agco's earnings prospects, which is expected to positively impact its stock price [2]. - For the current quarter, Agco is projected to earn $1.20 per share, reflecting a 76.5% increase from the previous year's reported figure. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has risen by 7.94% over the last 30 days, with five estimates increasing and one decreasing [6]. - For the full year, Agco is expected to earn $4.78 per share, which is a 36.3% decrease from the prior year. However, the trend for estimate revisions is positive, with seven estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [7]. Zacks Rank - Agco currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates, which enhances the consensus estimates for the upcoming quarter and full year [3][8]. - The Zacks Rank system has a proven track record, with Zacks 1 Ranked stocks averaging a 25% annual return since 2008, suggesting that Agco's strong performance may continue [3][8]. Stock Performance - Agco shares have increased by 6.4% over the past four weeks, indicating investor confidence in the company's earnings growth prospects due to favorable estimate revisions [9].
What Makes Agco (AGCO) a New Strong Buy Stock
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Agco (AGCO) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook for its earnings estimates, which are a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which have a strong correlation with stock price movements [4][6]. - Agco's earnings estimate for the fiscal year ending December 2025 is projected at $4.78 per share, showing no year-over-year change, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 15.8% over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - Agco's upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for higher stock prices in the near term [10]. Investor Sentiment - Rising earnings estimates and the corresponding rating upgrade for Agco reflect an improvement in the company's underlying business, which could lead to increased investor interest and stock price appreciation [5].
Fast-paced Momentum Stock Agco (AGCO) Is Still Trading at a Bargain
ZACKS· 2025-08-19 13:51
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher," contrasting with traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investing can be risky as stocks may lose momentum when their valuations exceed future growth potential [1] - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, identified through the Zacks Momentum Style Score [2] Group 2: AGCO Stock Analysis - AGCO (AGCO) has shown a price increase of 6.4% over the past four weeks, indicating growing investor interest [3] - Over the past 12 weeks, AGCO's stock gained 12.6%, demonstrating its ability to deliver positive returns over a longer timeframe [4] - AGCO has a beta of 1.21, suggesting it moves 21% higher than the market in either direction, indicating fast-paced momentum [4] - AGCO holds a Momentum Score of B, suggesting it is an opportune time to invest in the stock [5] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which attract more investors [6] - AGCO is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.83, indicating it is reasonably valued at 83 cents for each dollar of sales [6] Group 3: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides AGCO, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [7] - Zacks offers over 45 Premium Screens tailored to different investing styles, aiding in identifying potential winning stocks [8]
Deere Q3 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates, Dip Y/Y on Lower Volume
ZACKS· 2025-08-14 16:31
Core Insights - Deere & Company reported Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings of $4.75 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.62, but reflecting a 24% decline year-over-year due to lower shipment volumes [1][9] Financial Performance - Net sales from equipment operations were $10.36 billion, down 9% year-over-year, but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.26 billion. Total net sales, including financial services, were $12.02 billion, down 8.6% year-over-year [2][9] - The cost of sales decreased by 3.5% year-over-year to $7.57 billion, while total gross profit fell 21.2% to $2.79 billion. Total operating profit, including financial services, dropped 31.7% year-over-year to $1.57 billion [3] Segment Performance - Production & Precision Agriculture segment sales fell 16% year-over-year to $4.27 billion, missing estimates. Operating profit decreased 50% to $580 million due to lower shipment volumes [4] - Small Agriculture & Turf sales decreased 1% to $3.03 billion, exceeding projections. Operating profit fell 2% to $485 million, impacted by lower shipment volumes and higher warranty expenses [5] - Construction & Forestry sales were $3.06 billion, down 5% year-over-year, with operating profit decreasing 47% to $237 million due to unfavorable price realization and higher production costs [6] Financial Services - Revenues in the Financial Services division were $1.42 billion, down 4% year-over-year, while net income increased to $205 million from $153 million in the prior-year quarter, attributed to lower provision for credit losses [7] Cash and Debt Position - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $8.58 billion, up from $7.32 billion at the end of fiscal 2024. Cash flow from operating activities was $3.46 billion in the first nine months of fiscal 2025, down from $4.14 billion in the prior-year period. Long-term borrowing increased to $44.43 billion from $43.23 billion year-over-year [8] Guidance - Deere narrowed its fiscal 2025 net income forecast to between $4.75 billion and $5.25 billion. Expected sales declines include 15-20% for Production & Precision Agriculture, 10% for Small Agriculture & Turf, and 10-15% for Construction & Forestry [10] Stock Performance - DE shares have increased by 39.5% over the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 37.4% [11]
Oppenheimer's Kristen Owen gives her read on Deere post-earnings
CNBC Television· 2025-08-14 16:01
Deere's Outlook and Visibility - Deere is taking a cautiously optimistic outlook for the fourth quarter, with good visibility due to full order books for the next four to five months [1][2] - Uncertainty remains regarding the demand in 2026, considering the less favorable commodities backdrop and trade uncertainty [2][3] - Deere is observing incremental demand in Europe and a potential recovery in South America [4] Pricing and Inventory - Negative pricing was implemented in the large agriculture business to reduce excess inventory in North America, which was unexpected [4] - Early order program commentary was somewhat negative, but anticipated due to short positioning [5] Innovation and Technology - Innovation, particularly technologies like See & Spray, is contributing to higher yields (USDA expects 188 bushels per acre of corn) and driving pricing power for Deere [6][7] - Farmers are willing to pay for technologies that lower input costs while protecting yields [7] Cost Considerations - Tariffs pose incremental cost challenges that need to be factored into pricing [7]
John Deere pledges to pour $20B into its US operations to ‘continue building and investing in America'
New York Post· 2025-08-09 09:25
Core Viewpoint - John Deere is committing to invest nearly $20 billion over the next decade to enhance its US operations and support American manufacturing [1][5]. Investment Focus - The investment will focus on developing new products, advanced technology, and improved manufacturing capabilities [2]. Recent Developments - John Deere is constructing a $70 million factory in Kernersville, North Carolina, dedicated to manufacturing excavators [3]. - A $40 million expansion has been completed at the Des Moines, Iowa factory to produce See & Spray sprayers, which utilize computer vision and AI for weed detection [4]. - The company has invested nearly $150 million to renovate its East Moline, Illinois factory for the production of new X9 combines, which increase harvesting capacity by approximately 45% [6]. Employment and Sales - Nearly 80% of John Deere's US sales and 25% of international sales come from domestically manufactured products [7]. - The company employs around 30,000 people across more than 60 US locations, with an additional 50,000 employed by its network of independent US dealerships [7].
Why Alamo Group (ALG) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Alamo Group (ALG) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, continuing a strong trend of surpassing expectations in recent quarters [1][6]. Earnings Performance - Alamo Group has consistently exceeded earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 10.45% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, the company achieved earnings of $2.65 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.33 per share by 13.73% [3]. - For the previous quarter, Alamo Group's earnings were $2.39 per share against an expected $2.23 per share, resulting in a surprise of 7.17% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - The company's earnings estimates have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [6]. - Alamo Group currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +2.05%, indicating increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a strong likelihood of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [9]. Earnings ESP Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions prior to earnings releases [8].
CNH Industrial (CNH) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-25 15:01
Core Viewpoint - CNH Industrial (CNH) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant impact on its near-term stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $0.16 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 57.9% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $4.53 billion, down 17.6% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.31% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for CNH is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.59%, suggesting a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - CNH currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CNH was expected to post earnings of $0.09 per share but exceeded expectations with earnings of $0.10, resulting in a surprise of +11.11% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, CNH has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Industry Comparison - Agco (AGCO), a competitor in the manufacturing - farm equipment industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.06 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -58.1% [18]. - Agco's revenues are projected to be $2.48 billion, down 23.6% from the previous year, with a consensus EPS estimate revised 1.3% upward in the last 30 days, but it has a negative Earnings ESP of -0.47% [19].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-01 21:22
Brazil has raised interest rates on farm equipment financing, threatening to constrain a much-needed recovery in tractor sales https://t.co/8p5Pr7cNQn ...