Market Overview - Stocks experienced a decline on Tuesday, with a notable rotation out of technology stocks being cited as a contributing factor. The Nasdaq fell by 1.43% to 23,255, while the S&P 500 decreased by 0.84% to 6,917. The Dow Jones closed at 49,230, down 0.43%, and the Russell 2000 was the only index to gain, closing up 0.31% at 2,648 [1]. Treasury Bonds - Treasury yields were mixed, with buyers favoring bonds with maturities of 5 to 30 years. The 30-year bond closed at 4.90%, and the benchmark 10-year note ended at 4.27%. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for January 2026 was reported at 52.6, indicating economic expansion [1]. Oil and Gas - Oil prices rose due to renewed geopolitical tensions and optimism regarding a new trade deal with India. Brent Crude finished at $67.89, up 2.4%, and West Texas Intermediate closed at $63.80, also up 2.4%. Natural gas prices increased by 4.17% to $3.37 [1]. Gold and Silver - Gold prices rebounded significantly, closing at $4,945, up 6.6%. Silver also saw gains, closing at $85.65, up 7.47%. This rebound followed a period of rapid selling, with many investors encouraged to "Buy the Dip" [1]. Cryptocurrency - The cryptocurrency market faced high volatility, with Bitcoin dropping to levels not seen since November 2024, falling to between $72,800 and $73,000, a decrease of over 6% at its lowest point. This sell-off was attributed to over $2.5 billion in leveraged position liquidations [1]. Analyst Upgrades - PayPal Holdings Inc. was upgraded to Neutral from Sell, with a target price reduced to $51 from $55 [1]. - Lumentum Holdings Inc. was raised to Buy from Neutral, with a target price increased to $526 from $147 [1]. - Devon Energy Corp. was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight, with a target price raised to $50 from $42 [1]. - Cloudflare Inc. was upgraded to Buy from Neutral, with a target price of $199 [1]. - Airbnb Inc. was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform, with a target price of $160 [1]. Analyst Downgrades - Webster Financial Corp. was downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform, with a target price adjusted to $75 from $72 [1]. - Transdigm Group Inc. was cut to Neutral from Outperform, with a target price reduced to $1,400 from $1,650 [1]. - Himax Inc. was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight, with a target price of $8 [1]. - Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. was cut to Neutral from Buy, with a target price of $203 [1]. - AES Corp. was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight, with a target price of $15 [1]. Analyst Initiations - Verastem Inc. was initiated with a Buy rating and a target price of $18 [2]. - SEI Investments Co. was started with a Buy rating and a target price of $115 [2]. - Levi Strauss & Co. was initiated with a Buy rating and a target price of $25 [2]. - Kontoor Brands Inc. was initiated with a Hold rating and a target price of $65 [2]. - CTO Realty Growth Inc. was initiated with an Overweight rating and a target price of $20 [2].

从"金融中心"走向"配置中心"。 在上海国际金融中心建设迈入"提升能级"的关键阶段，如何在全球金融格局重塑、科技创新周期拉长的 背景下，重构金融基础设施与制度供给，成为今年上海市政协委员们建言的重要议题。 在2日4日举行的上海市政协十四届四次会议大会发言以及多个专题会议上，多位委员围绕人民币资产全 球配置、科技金融全周期支持、未来产业风险分担、离岸金融与金融科技生态建设等议题建言献策。 构建吸引全球买方的"投研交易新基建" "上海国际金融中心建设已迈入提升能级的关键期。"市政协委员张谦在发言中表示。 张谦提出，应对标国际标准，构建吸引全球买方的"投研交易新基建"。其中，首要任务是构建国际化的 投研话语体系。他建议，鼓励本土券商对标国际投行研究范式，向全球买方以及国际经济数据平台持续 输出高质量研究成果。 在交易层面，张谦特别强调机构级交易与避险工具的完善。他建议称，要借鉴国际成熟经验，支持本土 券商建设场外交易信息平台。 冯旭光表示，离岸金融业务类型多样、风险差异显著，应"分类推进、稳妥试点"，并建议在具备条件的 区域，专门划设离岸金融（经济）功能区，集中探索制度创新。 在张谦看来，人民币资产全球配置能力的提 ...

Group 1: Core Trends in Private Banking - In 2025, private transactional banking is undergoing a significant transition driven by regulatory changes, evolving client needs, and the integration of digital infrastructure into financial services [1][3] - Clients now expect more than just execution; they demand integrated systems, compliance clarity, and infrastructure that supports seamless financial activities across borders [1][3] - Financial institutions that embed compliance, data automation, and service precision are becoming more relevant to clients, with real-time liquidity insights and multi-currency operations being central to their value proposition [3] Group 2: Evolving Client Expectations - Today's investors are not only focused on performance but also seek alignment between their investments and long-term personal or institutional values [4] - There is a noticeable trend among family offices and sustainability-focused clients, leading to the emergence of structured products that prioritize environmental initiatives [5] - The demand for specialized payment infrastructure is increasing to facilitate capital movement from wealth centers to project-based geographies, highlighting the critical role of payment providers [5] Group 3: Digital Infrastructure and Asset Management - Digital expectations are reshaping the infrastructure supporting asset management, with clients increasingly expecting interoperability between digital and fiat finance [6] - Crypto-native institutions are acquiring regulated payment firms to enhance access to compliance tools and settlement capabilities, indicating a shift towards integrated systems for both digital and traditional financial assets [6]

Core Insights - A weaker dollar and increased imports of lower-priced goods could lead to lower-than-expected inflation, which may influence the European Central Bank to consider cutting interest rates [1] Group 1 - The depreciation of the dollar is expected to contribute to a decrease in inflation rates [1] - Increased imports of lower-priced goods are anticipated to further push inflation down [1] - The potential for lower inflation may prompt the European Central Bank to lower interest rates [1]

Core Viewpoint - Gold and silver prices have rebounded significantly after a recent selloff, with analysts indicating that future gains will depend on foreign exchange movements and interest rate expectations [2][3][8]. Price Movements - Spot gold increased by 2.4% to $5,054.6 per ounce, while gold futures rose by approximately 3.4% [2]. - Spot silver saw a rise of 5.8% to $90 per ounce, with silver futures up 8% at $90.16 [2]. Market Context - The rebound in precious metals follows a nearly 10% drop in gold and a 30% decline in silver prices, marking the worst one-day performance for silver since 1980 [2]. - Analysts suggest that the recent price movements are a result of dip buying after significant corrections in the market [3]. Mining Companies Performance - London-listed mining companies experienced gains, with Rio Tinto up 1% and Anglo American up 0.7%, while Antofagasta saw a slight decline of 0.2% [4]. - The FTSE 350 Precious Metals and Mining Total Return Index rose by 2% to approximately 34,963 [4]. Investor Sentiment - UBS CEO noted that clients are becoming more cautious, seeking protection and moving away from the tech sector [4]. - There is a trend of excess cash being redeployed into capital markets, including precious metals [5]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that further gains in precious metals may be muted, with volatility expected to persist [7]. - The pace and sustainability of future price increases will be influenced by the U.S. dollar, interest rate expectations, and overall risk sentiment [8]. - Goldman Sachs has set a price target of $5,400 for gold by the end of 2026, while BofA Securities has a more bullish target of $6,000 [9]. Market Fundamentals - The physical market fundamentals are described as somewhat shaky but still supportive [10]. - Political uncertainty surrounding the upcoming mid-term elections and the direction of U.S. interest rates under the potential new Federal Reserve chair could impact forecasts [10][11].

转自：新华财经 【重点关注】 •财政部将于2月在香港发行140亿元人民币国债 •清理拖欠中小企业账款 2025年各地法院执行到位311.42亿元 •金银持续走高 现货黄金高点重回5050美元／盎司上方 【国内要闻】 •4日是春运第三天，记者从国铁集团获悉，当日全国铁路预计发送旅客1120万人次，计划加开旅客列车957列。当日开始发售2月18日（大年初二）的火车 票。深圳至香港，广州至武汉、重庆，北京至哈尔滨等热门区间客流相对集中。 旅客在西安 •根据有关工作安排，财政部将于2月11日在香港特别行政区发行2026年第一期人民币国债，发行规模为140亿元，具体发行安排将在香港金融管理局债务工 具中央结算系统（CMU）公布。 •2025年，各地法院大力推进清理政府机关、事业单位拖欠中小企业账款工作，结案9166件，执行到位311.42亿元。各地法院严格落实"背靠背"条款司法解释 （《关于大型企业与中小企业约定以第三方支付款项为付款前提条款效力问题的批复》），防止大型企业凭借优势地位"以大欺小"。全国法院直接适用该司 法解释审结709件案件，帮助中小企业收回账款19亿元。 高铁北客站候车大厅候车 图片来源：中国图片社 ...

Market Overview - The market is experiencing a shift with a new Fed chair nominee and a turn towards risk-off trading in certain sectors [1][2] - Interest rates have been stable recently, contributing to a resilient economy and strong corporate earnings [3][4] Fixed Income Performance - Emerging markets have been the best-performing area in fixed income year-to-date, indicating opportunities outside the US [6] - The yield curve is steepening, suggesting normalization in interest rates, with long-term rates higher than short-term rates [5] Investment Strategies - Investors are diversifying away from US-centric assets towards emerging markets, driven by attractive risk-return profiles [11] - Flows into option income ETFs have outpaced those into traditional dividend ETFs, reflecting a shift in income generation strategies [14] Bond Market Insights - Investment-grade credit, particularly in the triple B range, is recommended for its yield advantage with similar default risk [19] - Private credit is gaining attention, offering yields close to 7% with low duration, appealing to investors transitioning from money market funds [22] Economic Outlook - Credit fundamentals remain strong, with tight spreads indicating a robust economy [44] - The potential for volatility exists due to the new Fed chair and midterm elections, but the overall outlook for fixed income remains positive [38][41] Risks and Considerations - Attention is needed on private capital stocks, which may face stress, particularly in less liquid vehicles [27] - Investors should be cautious about extending duration too quickly and ensure a balanced portfolio to mitigate risks [50]

The US government's move to cut tariffs on Indian goods is likely to benefit several sectors especially gems & jewellery, textiles, and marine products, which faced drop in exports to the US in the first eight months of this fiscal year.Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump announced that US tariffs on Indian goods would be lowered to 18% from 50%. While the US cut a 25% reciprocal tariff to 18%, it removed a 25% penal tariff for India's purchases of Russian oil. The tariffs, imposed l ...

Core Viewpoint - The Small Business Administration (SBA) has announced that effective March 1, green card holders will no longer be eligible to apply for SBA loans, tightening loan restrictions further to support U.S. citizens and lawful permanent residents [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The SBA has increased the ownership requirement for businesses applying for loans from 51% to 100% ownership by U.S. citizens, U.S. nationals, or lawful permanent residents [1]. - A previous policy allowing up to 5% non-citizen ownership has been rescinded, making lawful permanent residents ineligible for SBA loans as well [2]. Group 2: SBA's Rationale - The SBA emphasizes its commitment to driving economic growth and job creation for American citizens, stating that taxpayer dollars should support U.S. job creators and innovators [3]. Group 3: Industry Response - The Small Business Majority, an advocacy group, argues that the SBA's decision will hinder the growth of small businesses and job creation in the U.S., noting that immigrants are twice as likely to start a business compared to native-born citizens [4].

Core Viewpoint - FedEx shares have continued to rise in the new year following upgrades from analysts, indicating positive market sentiment ahead of the company's upcoming investor day [1] Group 1: Analyst Upgrades - Wells Fargo upgraded FedEx from hold to buy and significantly raised the price target from $295 to $380, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future performance [1] - Analysts expect FedEx to announce "solid" multiyear financial targets during its investor day scheduled for February 12 [1] Group 2: Market Context - The overall market is experiencing fluctuations, with futures falling and various sectors, including technology and delivery stocks, being closely monitored [1] - FedEx's stock performance is highlighted as it achieves an 80-plus relative strength rating benchmark, indicating strong relative performance compared to peers [1]