Yun补充表示，在相对可负担的地区，如中西部，购房者面临的购房压力较小。数据显示，该地区的典 型房价约为31.3万美元，比全美中位房价低约25%。此外，全国范围内的房屋库存目前已达到近五年来 的最高水平，这使得各地的买家在谈判过程中拥有更大的主动权，更容易争取到有利条款。 尽管市场上房源充足，买家在议价方面的空间增大，持续偏高的贷款利率仍限制了购房需求的释放。多 数专家认为，只有在抵押贷款利率出现明显回落的前提下，美国房地产市场的销售活跃度才有望真正回 暖。对于潜在购房者而言，此时可密切关注各地房价走势和贷款政策变化，寻找合适的入市时机。 NAR首席经济学家Lawrence Yun指出，目前房市处于关键时期，而抵押贷款利率成为影响购房决策的核 心因素。他表示："尽管房屋库存有所增加，我们并未看到房屋销售同步增长。要想吸引更多买家回归 市场，降低抵押贷款利率是不可或缺的。" 具体来看，东北部的PHSI在4月录得62.1点，环比下降0.6%，同比下降3.0%；中西部地区指数下降 5.0%，至73.5点，但与去年同期相比增长了2.2%；南部市场指数下降7.7%，至85.9点，同比下降3.0%； 而西部市场则表现最差 ...

Core Insights - The April pending home sales index in the U.S. fell by 6.3% month-over-month, marking the largest decline since September 2022, with expectations of a 1% decrease and a previous increase of 6.1% [2] - Year-over-year, the pending home sales index dropped by 3.5%, contrary to expectations of a 2.7% increase and a previous decline of 0.1% [2] Regional Performance - The pending home sales in the Western region decreased by 8.9%, the largest drop in two and a half years [3] - The South, the largest housing market in the U.S., saw a 7.7% decline in pending sales [3] - The Midwest region experienced a 5% decrease in pending home sales [3] Market Analysis - The decline in the pending home sales index indicates a disappointing performance for the spring selling season in the U.S. secondary housing market, as potential buyers are deterred by high home prices and mortgage costs [4] - NAR's chief economist, Lawrence Yun, highlighted that the core issue is the high mortgage rates, currently around 7%, which are beyond the affordability range for buyers. He suggested that only a reduction to around 6% could revitalize the market [4] - Despite an increase in housing supply, it has not led to a rise in transaction volumes, with Yun stating that lower mortgage rates are essential to attract buyers back to the market [4] - Economists noted that the pending home sales, a leading indicator, have become less reliable due to unstable conversion rates from contracts to final sales [4] - The cancellation rate for pending home sales rose to 7% from January to April 2024, the highest level this year [4]

Core Insights - The pending home sales in the U.S. experienced the largest decline since September 2022, indicating a sluggish spring sales season due to high prices and borrowing costs [1] - The current housing market is heavily influenced by mortgage rates, with a need for rates to decrease from around 7% to closer to 6% to attract buyers back [1] - Although more homeowners are listing their properties, many are waiting for more affordable financing options before selling [1] Summary by Category Market Performance - Pending home sales fell significantly, marking the largest drop in nearly two years, reflecting a weak performance in the spring selling season [1] - The decline in sales is attributed to potential buyers being deterred by high asking prices and borrowing costs [1] Economic Indicators - The National Association of Realtors (NAR) chief economist, Lawrence Yun, emphasized that the market is currently "completely dominated by mortgage rates" [1] - An increase in housing inventory has not translated into higher sales, indicating a disconnect between supply and demand [1] Future Outlook - The housing market is expected to remain subdued until home prices decrease from record levels and mortgage rates become more favorable [1] - Lower mortgage rates are identified as a critical factor for enticing buyers back into the market [1]

美国4月成屋签约销售指数环比下降6.3%，至71.3点，预期下降1%，前值上升6.1%。 4月成屋签约销售指数同比下降3.5%，预期上升2.7%，前值下降0.1%。 数据凸显出，在房价脱离历史高位、按揭贷款利率/抵押贷款利率更加接近6%之前，美国二手房市场将 继续处境艰难。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising popularity of "west-facing apartments" among young urban dwellers, highlighting their affordability and unique appeal despite traditional perceptions of their drawbacks [3][6][10]. Group 1: Characteristics of West-Facing Apartments - West-facing apartments receive sunlight in the afternoon, allowing residents to enjoy sunsets after work, which aligns with their schedules [6][7]. - These apartments are often seen as a cost-effective alternative to more traditional south-facing units, with some examples showing price differences of up to 400,000 yuan [10][12]. - In regions like Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai, the long sunlight exposure in west-facing apartments helps combat humidity during the rainy season, making them less prone to mold [15][16]. Group 2: Perceptions and Preferences - Many young people have shifted their preferences from traditional south-facing apartments to west-facing ones due to the latter's affordability and the quality of life improvements they offer [21][25]. - The article notes that the stigma around west-facing apartments is diminishing as more individuals recognize their benefits, such as better sunlight exposure during the hours they are home [22][28]. - Residents report improved mental well-being and a more relaxed lifestyle after moving into west-facing apartments, as they can enjoy the evening light without the harsh morning sun [29][30]. Group 3: Practical Considerations - The article suggests that the perceived disadvantages of west-facing apartments, such as potential heat during summer afternoons, can be mitigated with modern solutions like window films [22][29]. - Young professionals, especially those with irregular work hours, find west-facing apartments more suitable for their lifestyles, allowing them to sleep in without being disturbed by morning light [28][30]. - The overall sentiment is that the quality of life in a home is determined more by individual needs and design choices than by the apartment's orientation [29].

Group 1 - The article discusses the rising popularity of "west-facing" apartments among young people in urban areas, highlighting their affordability and unique appeal despite traditional negative perceptions [1][4][8] - West-facing apartments receive sunlight in the afternoon, allowing residents to enjoy sunsets after work, which aligns with their schedules [5][20] - Young renters are increasingly prioritizing cost savings over traditional housing preferences, with some finding west-facing units to be significantly cheaper, sometimes by as much as 400,000 yuan [8][11][22] Group 2 - The article notes that the perception of west-facing apartments has shifted, with many young people now viewing them as a viable alternative to more expensive south-facing units [22][23] - Residents of west-facing apartments report improved mental well-being due to increased exposure to sunlight, which is linked to better mood and energy levels [36][37] - The article emphasizes that the quality of living in a home is determined more by individual needs and preferences rather than the direction the apartment faces [33][35]

Core Insights - The article highlights the increasing value of balconies in the Australian apartment market, particularly in cities like Sydney and Brisbane, where having a balcony can significantly raise property prices [3][4]. Price Premium Analysis - In Brisbane, apartments with balconies sell for an average of AUD 1.24 million, a premium of AUD 391,000 or 46.4% compared to those without balconies, which average AUD 849,000 [3][4]. - In Sydney, the average price for apartments with balconies is AUD 2.26 million, reflecting a premium of AUD 360,000 or 19.2% over the average price of AUD 1.89 million for those without balconies [4]. - Melbourne shows a more modest balcony premium of AUD 47,000, or 7.5%, with average prices of AUD 670,000 for balcony apartments and AUD 624,000 for those without [4]. - Adelaide and Perth exhibit smaller premiums, with Adelaide at 16.0% and Perth showing a negative premium of -4.85% for apartments with balconies [4]. Market Trends - The trend indicates a shift in buyer preferences, with outdoor spaces becoming a top priority for many, as seen in the case of a couple who prioritized having a balcony and outdoor area for entertaining [3][8]. - The demand for balconies is partly driven by the desire for outdoor access in urban living environments, where traditional backyards are often unavailable [4][5]. Regional Variations - Perth is noted as an exception, where apartments without balconies are priced higher by AUD 33,000, likely due to more available land and a preference for larger outdoor spaces [7]. - The value of balconies is also influenced by their views and surroundings; balconies facing attractive landscapes or greenery are more desirable than those facing less appealing views [7][8].

Core Insights - A 30-something professional woman purchased a Georgian-style home in South Yarra, Melbourne for AUD 1.875 million after it initially failed to sell at auction with a reserve price of AUD 1.85 million [1][3] - The property features three bedrooms, a luxurious bathroom, and a small backyard, and was listed between AUD 1.7 million and AUD 1.9 million [1][3] - In a separate auction in Footscray, a dilapidated three-bedroom house sold for AUD 720,000, with four bidders competing for the property, which had been vacant for years [5][8] Auction Details - The auction for the South Yarra property started at AUD 1.7 million, with the only registered bidder making a single bid of AUD 1.725 million before it was declared unsold [3] - The buyer, who recently moved from New Zealand, had been in contact with the real estate agent since the previous sales activity [3] - The Footscray property was listed with a price range of AUD 600,000 to AUD 660,000, with a reserve price of AUD 660,000 [5][8] Market Sentiment - The recent interest rate cut has restored confidence in the market, leading to increased consultation levels and positive market sentiment [10] - The first rate cut had initially sparked some activity, but subsequent elections distracted buyers; however, the second cut has prompted buyers to act quickly to avoid missing opportunities [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the domestic economy, highlighting three main lines: export under trade friction, investment and consumption driven by policy stimulus, and the real endogenous power of the economy. It notes a temporary phase of "grabbing exports 2.0" due to easing US-China trade tensions, with a focus on the resilience of the economy in the second quarter [2]. Group 1: Consumption Trends - There is a divergence in the growth rates of subsidized and non-subsidized consumption, with service consumption growth gradually declining, indicating little change in endogenous consumption momentum. From January to April, retail sales grew by 4.7% year-on-year, with "trade-in" consumption contributing 1.1 percentage points to this growth [3]. - The growth rate of service consumption has decreased from 20% in 2023 to 6.2% in 2024 and 5.1% in April 2025, suggesting a plateau after a rebound [3]. - The consumption subsidy policy is expected to support retail sales growth in the second quarter, with an anticipated increase of 4.5%-5% in retail sales and a final consumption growth of 4.3% [28]. Group 2: Real Estate Market - The 924 policy in real estate has shown a diminishing effect, with sales facing adjustment pressures. From January to April, the cumulative year-on-year change in domestic commercial housing sales area was -2.8%, a significant improvement from -17.1% in 2024 [12]. - The second-hand housing market has performed better, with a year-on-year increase of 21.1% in transaction area from October 2024 to March 2025, raising the proportion of second-hand housing sales [12]. - However, by April, second-hand housing sales began to cool down, with a year-on-year decrease of 22.6% in 11 sample cities, indicating a potential downturn in the market [12]. Group 3: Investment and Economic Growth - Despite little change in endogenous economic momentum, consumption subsidies and export initiatives are expected to significantly support the economy in the second quarter, with a projected GDP growth rate of 5.2% for the quarter [28]. - Fixed asset investment growth is expected to stabilize around 4%, supported by "equipment updates" and related projects, with manufacturing and infrastructure investments showing year-on-year increases of 8.8% and 10.9%, respectively [28]. - The article anticipates a 3%-5% growth in exports in the second quarter, despite facing high base effects [30].

Core Insights - The U.S. housing market is experiencing a downturn, with April existing home sales declining by 0.5% month-over-month, significantly below the expected 2% increase [1] - The annualized sales total reached only 4 million units, marking the worst April performance since the 2009 financial crisis [1] Group 1: Market Performance - April existing home sales fell 3.1% year-over-year, with total inventory increasing by 21% to 1.45 million units, the highest April inventory since 2020 [5] - Despite an increase in listings, sales did not improve, leading to a downward revision of the annual sales forecast by NAR [5] Group 2: Interest Rates and Buyer Sentiment - The primary reason for the sluggish market is rising mortgage rates, with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate reaching 6.92%, the highest in nearly three months [5] - Consumer sentiment regarding home buying is at a historical low, with many Americans feeling it is not a good time to purchase a home [5] Group 3: Pricing Trends - The median price of existing homes in April was $414,000, a 1.8% increase year-over-year, but the smallest increase since mid-2023 [6] - The market shows regional variations, with the Midwest seeing a slight increase in sales, while the West and Northeast continue to decline [6] Group 4: Buyer Demographics - First-time homebuyers accounted for 34% of transactions, the highest level since July 2020, while cash transactions made up 25% of sales [6] - Investment and vacation buyers represented 15% of the market, remaining stable from the previous month [6]