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Salesforce Stock's Low P/E Valuation: Discount Deal or Growth Trouble?
ZACKS· 2025-06-10 13:35
Group 1: Valuation and Market Position - Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) is currently trading at an attractive valuation, with a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.2, lower than the Zacks Computer – Software industry average of 32.8 [2] - Compared to major competitors like Microsoft (MSFT), Oracle (ORCL), and SAP, Salesforce's stock is cheaper on a P/E basis, with MSFT at 31.92X, ORCL at 26.53X, and SAP at 41.78X [4][6] - Despite a decline in stock price of 18.5% year to date, Salesforce remains the leader in the global customer relationship management (CRM) software market, holding the largest market share according to Gartner [9][12] Group 2: Growth Challenges - Salesforce is facing slowing sales growth, with revenues rising only 7.7% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, a significant drop from previous double-digit growth rates [4][5] - Analysts expect mid-to-high single-digit growth for fiscal 2026 and 2027, with EPS growth projected at a CAGR of 12.9% over the next five years, down from 27.8% in the previous five years [5][6] Group 3: Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - Salesforce's strategy includes a strong focus on AI, with the launch of its Einstein GPT product in 2023, which powers generative AI features across its platform [14] - The enterprise software segment, crucial for Salesforce, is projected to grow significantly, with a 93.9% increase expected, indicating steady demand for Salesforce's solutions despite short-term economic challenges [15] - Strategic acquisitions, such as Slack and Own Company, reflect Salesforce's long-term growth strategy in collaboration tools, cybersecurity, and AI automation [13]
Salesforce Plunges 21% YTD: Is CRM Stock Worth Retaining?
ZACKS· 2025-04-10 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) has experienced a significant stock decline of 20.7% year to date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer – Software industry which fell 8.8% during the same period, raising questions about whether investors should exit or hold onto their investments [1] Group 1: Recent Performance and Market Conditions - The recent slump in Salesforce's stock is attributed to a broader tech pullback driven by fears of an escalating tariff war and slowing economic growth, compounded by disappointing fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results [2] - Salesforce's revenue grew 7.5% year over year to $9.99 billion, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with guidance indicating a potential slowdown in first-quarter and full-fiscal 2026 revenue growth to 6-8% [3] - Enterprise customers are tightening IT budgets due to economic uncertainty, which is expected to persist, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate predicting year-over-year revenue growth of 7.6% in fiscal 2026 and 9.3% in fiscal 2027 [4] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Potential - Despite slower growth, Salesforce remains the leader in enterprise customer relationship management (CRM) software, holding the largest market share and outpacing competitors like Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP [6] - The company has developed an extensive ecosystem that integrates across enterprise applications, with acquisitions like Slack and Own Company reflecting a strategy to expand into collaboration, data security, and AI-driven automation [7] - AI is a crucial component of Salesforce's growth strategy, with the launch of Einstein GPT in 2023 embedding generative AI capabilities across its platform, positioning the company to benefit from the accelerating adoption of generative AI [9] Group 3: Valuation and Investment Outlook - Salesforce's stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 23.31x, below the industry average of 27.82x, indicating that much of the near-term pessimism is already priced in [11] - Compared to industry peers, Salesforce's P/E multiple is lower than Microsoft (27.25x), ANSYS (25.93x), and SAP (37.42x), suggesting a more attractive valuation [14] - Given its dominant market position, ongoing AI initiatives, and strong long-term growth potential, the recent stock pullback does not warrant an exit from Salesforce [15][16]
Microsoft Avoids Historic Losing Streak: What's Ahead for ETFs?
ZACKS· 2025-03-26 13:01
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft experienced a late rally in its stock price, avoiding an eight-week losing streak, but remains down 7% for the year as of March 21, 2025 [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Trends - Microsoft stock rose 0.7% for the week ending March 25, 2025, and has increased 2.5% over the past five days [1]. - The last significant slump for Microsoft occurred between January and February 2008, during the financial crisis, when the stock declined for nine consecutive weeks [2]. - Since reaching a high of $467.56 in July 2024, Microsoft's stock has fallen approximately 16%, reducing its market capitalization to about $2.9 trillion [5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Microsoft is facing increased competition in the AI and cloud sectors, particularly from Chinese tech companies like DeepSeek and Alibaba, which are offering cheaper AI innovations [4]. - Major competitors such as Amazon and Google are expanding their market presence, with Google recently announcing plans to acquire cloud security startup Wiz for $32 billion [6]. Group 3: Financial Metrics and Valuation - Microsoft has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 9.61, a price-to-cash flow (P/CF) ratio of 26.34, and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.50, all of which are higher than the respective industry averages [10]. - The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a three-year average revenue growth of 13.5% compared to 9.8% for the S&P 500, and an annual revenue growth of 15.0% from $228 billion to $262 billion [11]. Group 4: Analyst Recommendations - Microsoft has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.18, indicating a majority of recommendations are Strong Buy [7][8]. - The average price target for Microsoft, based on forecasts from 40 analysts, is $510.35, representing a potential increase of 29.15% from the last closing price of $395.16 [9]. Group 5: ETF Exposure - Microsoft stock has significant exposure to various exchange-traded funds (ETFs), including iShares U.S. Technology ETF (14.50% exposure) and Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF (13.64% exposure) [12].
Salesforce Sinks 15% in a Month: Should You Hold or Exit the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-03-11 16:35
Core Viewpoint - Salesforce, Inc. has experienced a significant decline of over 15% in the past month, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer – Software industry, which fell by 9% during the same period [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Performance and Market Context - The recent drop in Salesforce's stock price raises questions about whether investors should exit or hold onto the stock, with long-term growth prospects still considered intact [3]. - The decline is attributed to broader market weakness and company-specific issues, including a sell-off in tech stocks due to fears of trade tensions and slowing economic growth [4]. - Salesforce's fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results showed a revenue growth of 7.5% year over year to $9.99 billion, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with guidance indicating further revenue growth slowdown to 6-8% for fiscal 2026 [5]. Group 2: Market Position and Competitive Landscape - Despite recent struggles, Salesforce remains the leader in the customer relationship management (CRM) space, outpacing competitors like Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP, and holding the largest market share according to Gartner [7]. - The company has built a robust ecosystem that integrates across enterprise applications, with strategic acquisitions like Slack and Own Company aimed at expanding its reach beyond CRM [8][9]. Group 3: Growth Drivers and Future Outlook - AI is a crucial component of Salesforce's growth strategy, with the launch of Einstein GPT in 2023 embedding AI capabilities across its platform, enhancing customer interactions and decision-making [10]. - Global IT spending is projected to reach $5.61 trillion in 2025, with enterprise software expected to grow by 14.2%, indicating steady demand for Salesforce's solutions despite short-term economic uncertainties [11]. - Salesforce's current valuation at a forward P/E of 24.21 is below the industry average of 27.71, suggesting that much of the recent pessimism is already reflected in the stock price [12]. Group 4: Investment Recommendation - Given Salesforce's dominant market position, ongoing AI initiatives, and strong long-term growth potential, the recent stock pullback does not warrant an exit, making it a stock worth holding [13][14]. - While near-term growth may be slower, the long-term investment case for Salesforce remains robust, supporting a hold strategy for investors with a long-term view [15].
Salesforce Q4 Earnings Beat: Will Dim Outlook Drag Down the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-02-27 16:40
Core Insights - Salesforce (CRM) reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 non-GAAP earnings of $2.78 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.9% and reflecting a 21.4% increase from the previous year's earnings of $2.29 per share [1][2] - The company's fiscal fourth-quarter revenues were $9.99 billion, slightly missing the consensus mark by 0.3%, but showing a year-over-year growth of 7.5% [2][3] - Salesforce's shares declined by 5.5% in after-hours trading due to a mixed performance and a weak outlook for the upcoming fiscal periods [4] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP operating income for the fourth quarter was $3.30 billion, up 13.1% from $2.92 billion in the same quarter last year, with an operating margin expansion of 170 basis points to 33.1% [8] - The company ended the fourth quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $14 billion, an increase from $12.76 billion at the end of the previous quarter [9] - Operating cash flow for the fourth quarter was $3.97 billion, while free cash flow reached $3.81 billion [9] Revenue Breakdown - Subscription and Support revenues, which account for 94.6% of total revenues, increased by 8% year over year to $9.45 billion [5] - Professional Services and Other revenues rose by 0.6% to $542 million [5] - Sales Cloud revenues grew by 9% to $2.13 billion, Service Cloud revenues also increased by 9% to $2.33 billion, and Marketing & Commerce Cloud revenues rose by 8% to $1.36 billion [6] Geographic Performance - Revenues from the Americas, which represent 66.6% of total revenues, grew by 8% year over year to $6.66 billion [7] - EMEA revenues increased by 7% to $2.33 billion, while Asia Pacific revenues rose by 14% to $999 million [7] Guidance and Outlook - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Salesforce projects total sales between $9.71 billion and $9.76 billion, indicating a growth of 6-7% year over year [12] - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $2.53-$2.55 for the first quarter, with a consensus estimate of $2.60 [13] - For fiscal 2026, Salesforce expects revenues between $40.5 billion and $40.9 billion, with a consensus estimate of $41.27 billion [13]