Western countries are trying to reduce dependence on China’s rare-earths supplies. There are options besides simply trying to replicate its supply chain. One possibility is recycling https://t.co/detAFB1m2Z ...

China’s exports of rare earth products extend their recovery, months after Beijing threatened a disruptive global shortage by crimping supplies https://t.co/jpdHSC043h ...

原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 晨报 铁矿石 铁矿石：宏观预期偏向于积极 短期矿价区间运行 整理 投资咨询业务资格： 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 成 材：武秋婷 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 逻辑：上周中美关税政策落地，国内短期宏观进入空窗期，市场更多关注美联储降息预期。 黑色系受终端需求走弱影响（螺纹表需超预期下滑）整体较为弱势，叠加交易所对焦煤投机氛 围再度抑制（限仓并提高手续费），铁矿石价格跟随回落。但当前高炉高利润以及短流程谷电 再度陷入亏损，预计短期国内需求维持保持相对高位水平，且供给端回升压力并不大，铁矿石 供需阶段性平衡，港口库存趋向于平稳。 证监许可【2011】1452 号 负责人 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Mining and Commodities - **Region**: China Core Insights 1. **China's Commodity Demand**: - Commodity demand indicators in China showed broad weakness in July, with industrial production growth missing expectations at +5.7% y/y compared to +6.8% prior, and retail sales significantly weaker at +3.7% y/y versus consensus of +4.6% [1][3] - The overall economic weakness raises the risk of stimulus measures, which could positively impact sentiment and commodity prices if implemented meaningfully [1][6] 2. **Iron Ore Market**: - The property market in China remains weak, with new starts and sales down -19% and -5% y/y respectively. The real estate climate index is deteriorating [2] - A recent policy announcement of Rmb300 billion for inventory purchases is a positive step, but more support is needed to stabilize iron ore prices, which are expected to remain in the US$90-100/t range [2] - Crude steel output decreased by -4% y/y in June, indicating domestic demand weakness, consistent with reduced construction activity [2] 3. **Base Metals**: - Industrial production growth has lost momentum, and retail sales are below expectations, suggesting that stimulus efforts are losing effectiveness [3] - Despite the bearish indicators, there is a constructive outlook if further stimulus is introduced [3] 4. **Coal Sector**: - Coal production in China fell by -4% y/y, while coke production increased by +1% y/y. The introduction of the 276-Working Day Rule may ease oversupply in the coal market [4] - Spot met coal prices have risen by +12% over the past month to approximately US$192/t [4] 5. **Battery Raw Materials and EV Market**: - Electric vehicle (EV) output and sales remain strong, with a +19% y/y increase in output. Exports of EVs have reached new highs [5] - Continued robust domestic EV sales and open trade relationships are expected to support demand for battery raw materials [5] Additional Insights 1. **Investment Outlook**: - UBS remains cautious about large-scale stimulus but acknowledges potential upside risks for commodity prices if meaningful stimulus occurs [6] - Companies most leveraged to potential upside scenarios include MIN and FMG, while RIO and BHP are seen as neutrals that would also benefit [6] 2. **Economic Indicators**: - Key economic indicators from China show a mixed picture, with manufacturing PMI at 49.2, indicating contraction, and retail sales growth slowing significantly [8] - The overall economic environment suggests a need for careful monitoring of trade developments and potential policy responses [6][8] 3. **Risks in the Mining Sector**: - The mining sector faces inherent risks, including volatility in commodity prices and currencies, as well as political, financial, and operational risks that could impact performance [51] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the mining industry and its outlook in China.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Economics** sector, particularly addressing the **deflationary trends** and economic growth challenges in China as of August 2025 [1][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Growth Slowdown**: There was a sharper-than-expected growth dip in July, with real GDP growth projected to slow to **4.5% YoY** in Q3, down from **5.2% YoY** in Q2. This slowdown is attributed to a decline in infrastructure capital expenditure by **7.3 percentage points** and a drop in durable goods sales due to weather disruptions and a pause in consumption trade-in subsidies [2][3][7]. - **Future Projections**: While a mild rebound in year-over-year growth is anticipated for August, driven by fading weather disruptions and resumed trade-in subsidies, a further slowdown is expected in September due to the payback of export front-loading and a higher fiscal spending base [3][7]. - **Policy Measures**: Incremental policy moves are expected to provide a floor for the economy. The Chinese government is implementing a measured anti-involution push and accelerating consumption support, which is seen as a constructive response to the "3D" challenges facing the economy. A supplementary budget of **Rmb0.5-1 trillion** is anticipated to mitigate the growth slowdown [4][7]. Important Data Points - **July Activity Indicators**: - Industrial Production (IP) growth was **5.7%** in July, down from **6.8%** in June. - Manufacturing sector growth decreased to **6.2%** from **7.4%** in June. - Fixed Asset Investment (FAI) showed a year-to-date growth of **1.6%**, with a year-over-year decline of **5.2%** in July [6]. - **Retail Sales**: Nominal retail sales growth was **3.7%** in July, down from **4.8%** in June, with auto sales declining by **1.5%** [6]. Other Noteworthy Content - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the **property sector**, which continues to face challenges, with sales down **7.2%** and new starts down **9.1%** in July [6]. - The analysis suggests that while the economic outlook remains cautious, the government's proactive measures could help stabilize the market narrative and support growth in the medium term [4][7].

Confronted with a ban on the vital resources, other countries will find ways around shortages. We explain why China’s grip on rare earths might not be as strong as you think https://t.co/aXfboLSxR6 ...

Core Concept - The article discusses investment strategies focusing on identifying companies with strong potential for growth while avoiding those likely to decline, particularly in the context of the basic materials sector and the impact of the AI revolution. Group 1: Investment Strategies - The concept of avoiding poorly rated companies can lead to better investment returns, as evidenced by the performance of S&P 500 companies rated by Moody's in 2020 [3][10]. - Eric Fry's presentation emphasizes the importance of selecting stocks that are expected to rise while avoiding those that are likely to fall, particularly in an era characterized by rapid changes in the market [4][31]. Group 2: Basic Materials Sector Analysis - Tronox Holdings PLC (TROX) is highlighted as a key player in the titanium dioxide market, which is cyclical and dependent on demand from industries like automotive and construction [7][8]. - Despite current low trading prices for Tronox shares, there is optimism for recovery due to ongoing demand for titanium dioxide, supported by recent insider buying [9][12][13]. - The article contrasts Tronox with Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP), which is facing challenges due to high extraction costs in the coal industry and declining earnings [22][25][29]. Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The demand for lithium-ion batteries is expected to rise significantly due to advancements in AI technology and the shift from traditional energy sources [18][21]. - Albemarle Corp. is positioned to benefit from this trend, with a strong balance sheet and low-cost assets, while ARLP is likely to struggle against cheaper competitors and market dynamics [21][30].

Company Overview - Proactive is a financial news publisher that provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company has a team of experienced news journalists who produce independent content across various financial markets [2] Market Focus - Proactive specializes in medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - The content includes insights across sectors such as biotech and pharma, mining and natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging digital and EV technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is recognized for its forward-looking approach and enthusiastic adoption of technology to enhance workflows [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring that all content is edited and authored by humans [5]

Trump’s Trade War Mints An Unlikely New American Mining Billionaire https://t.co/3YxrR4m2Lg https://t.co/3YxrR4m2Lg ...

Core Points - Leading Edge Materials Corp. has successfully closed a non-brokered private placement financing, initially announced on June 10, 2025, raising gross proceeds of C$2,838,160 by issuing 17,738,500 units at a price of C$0.16 per unit [2][4]. Group 1: Private Placement Details - Each unit consists of one common share and one common share purchase warrant, with the warrant allowing the purchase of one common share at a price of C$0.32 until four years from the closing date [3]. - The net proceeds from the private placement will be utilized for the company's projects in Sweden and Romania, as well as for general working capital and corporate purposes [4]. - A finder's fee of 6% was paid to a third party on a portion of the private placement, which is subject to final approval from the TSX Venture Exchange [4]. Group 2: Insider Participation - Insiders of the company purchased a total of 10,666,000 units in the private placement, which is classified as a "related party transaction" under Multilateral Instrument 61-101 [6]. - Mr. Eric Krafft, a director of the company, acquired 10,666,000 common shares, increasing his total holdings to approximately 38.30% of the issued and outstanding common shares on a non-diluted basis and 48.28% on a partially diluted basis [7]. Group 3: Company Overview - Leading Edge Materials is focused on developing critical raw material projects in the European Union, including the Woxna Graphite mine in Sweden and the Norra Kärr Heavy Rare Earth Elements project [12]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for critical raw materials linked to high-growth technologies such as lithium-ion batteries and permanent magnets [12].