Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the national capacity pricing policy for energy storage is expected to stabilize revenue expectations and stimulate investment enthusiasm among owners, which is significant for investment decisions by state-owned enterprises and other clients [1][7]. Group 1: Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The new capacity pricing mechanism categorizes and improves the pricing for coal, natural gas, pumped storage, and new energy storage, ensuring reasonable pricing for regulatory capacity [2][9]. - The document mandates that the proportion of fixed cost recovery through capacity pricing for coal power plants be raised to no less than 50% by 2026, with potential for further increases based on local market conditions [10]. - For new energy storage, local governments can provide capacity pricing for independent energy storage stations that do not participate in mandatory storage, which will be included in local system operating costs [2][12]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Growth Projections - The capacity pricing is expected to provide high revenue certainty, significantly boosting domestic energy storage installations, with projections indicating a growth rate of 84% year-on-year for new energy storage installations in 2025, reaching 183 GWh [5][6]. - The establishment of the capacity pricing mechanism is anticipated to enhance the investment return rate for projects, increasing from 4.1% to 6.3% with a capacity price of 55 yuan/kW [5][4]. - The capacity pricing policy is seen as a critical support for the independent development of energy storage, transitioning the industry from cost competition to value creation [1][7]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The introduction of a reliability capacity compensation mechanism will strengthen assessments and encourage owners to improve the quality of energy storage products, benefiting high-quality products and promoting industry consolidation [6][7]. - The policy changes are expected to lead to a rational return of investment in the pumped storage sector, with new projects relying more on actual market demand [11][13]. - The energy transition is supported by the development of regulatory power sources, which will help alleviate downward pressure on electricity prices and enhance the absorption of renewable energy [9][13].

智通财经APP获悉，东吴证券发布研报称，国家层面首次明确电网独立新型储能容量电价机制，实行清 单制管理、加速储能项目建设进度。该行预计后续多省将出台相关补贴，25年新型储能并网183GWh， 该行预计26年仍可实现50%增长至275GWh。全国性储能容量电价出台+碳酸锂价格回调，储能需求恢 复，并看好中游材料，推荐隔膜、电解液、负极、正极、铝箔、铜箔等相关产业标的。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 国家层面首次明确电网独立新型储能容量电价机制、战略意义大 1)容量电价计算规则：以当地煤电容量电价标准为基础(165-330元/kw*年)，根据顶峰能力按一定比例折 算(折算比例为满功率连续放电时长除以全年最长净负荷高峰持续时长，最高不超过1)，并考虑电力市 场建设进展、电力系统需求等因素确定。 实行清单制管理、加速储能项目建设进度 项目具体清单由省级能源主管部门会同价格主管部门制定，管理要求由国家能源局另行明确。该行预计 对储能电站的申报、考核、建设周期等明显要求，一定程度上推动一部分暂停项目的建设进度。 明确容量电价承担方、电费结算与市场参与 1)明确新型储能容量补偿费用，纳入当地系统运行费用，成为电价构成部分，由终端 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the improvements in the capacity mechanism for power generation, which promotes the development of adjustable power sources and facilitates the consumption of renewable energy [1] Group 1: Capacity Mechanism and Pricing - The capacity pricing for coal power is being enhanced while the long-term price floor is being relaxed, which may lead to downward pressure on comprehensive sales prices in regions with excess capacity [1] - The significant changes in the pumped storage pricing mechanism will result in new pumped storage projects relying more on the actual demand in the local electricity market for revenue generation [1] Group 2: Impact on Energy Sources - The introduction of capacity pricing policies is expected to be a crucial support for the independent development of energy storage [1] - The potential further decline in long-term electricity prices for thermal power in certain provinces may impact the nuclear power market prices in those areas [1] - The development of adjustable power sources is beneficial for enhancing the consumption of renewable energy and alleviating downward pressure on electricity prices [1]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of an independent new energy storage capacity pricing mechanism by the National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration is expected to stabilize revenue expectations for energy storage and stimulate investment enthusiasm among owners [1] Group 1: Policy Impact - The national-level capacity pricing policy is significant for investment decision-making among state-owned enterprises and other clients [1] - The cancellation of mandatory storage requirements shifts the energy storage industry from cost competition to value creation, gradually revealing investment value [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Domestic energy storage installations are expected to experience rapid growth by 2026, with a positive outlook for leading companies in the energy storage industry chain [1]

建议逢低布局。本次波动与美联储主席提名引发的美宽松预期变化有关，但更主要的可能是此前大宗商 品价格过快上行，交易拥挤度较高，一旦预期变化将引发头寸集中抛售。并且该行认为凯文·沃什的决 策可能受到较多制约，美联储难以像市场担忧彻底转为鹰派，市场短期可能已经提前计入较多悲观预 期。A股当前资金面充裕、业绩改善、产业趋势催化等积极因素并未发生改变，该行认为短期波动已开 始提供逢低布局机会。中期而言，该行在此前研报中指出，国际秩序重构与我国产业创新趋势共振是推 动本轮市场上涨、中国资产重估的核心驱动力；全球货币秩序重构带来的格局转换和资金流动的力量， 或远大于一时、一国和一市场的基本面力量。该行认为，这两大条件未发生改变，2026年将继续支持中 国资产表现。 A股今日表现偏弱，上证指数下跌2.5%。2026年初A股市场在乐观预期、产业事件性催化、流动性相对 充裕等因素影响下延续上行趋势，但换手率过高、情绪偏热后，市场自1月13日震荡调整。今日A股市 场主要指数普跌，上证指数跌2.5%，沪深300跌2.1%，偏成长风格的科创50和创业板指分别跌3.9%、 2.5%，中证红利跌3.1%。成交层面，今日成交额2.6万亿元， ...

Core Viewpoint - The global energy system is undergoing significant transformation, with energy storage becoming a crucial component in building a new power system, driven by dual forces of "dual carbon" goals and accelerated market reforms [1] Group 1: Company Initiatives - China Gas has strategically positioned itself as a "green city operator" and is actively implementing a comprehensive "source-network-load-storage" integration layout, providing practical examples for the sustainable evolution of energy storage business models [1] - The company has established a diverse project matrix in the energy storage sector, collaborating with various industries and regions, including a smart energy storage station developed with BASF, which can store a total capacity of 80 MWh, equivalent to the daily electricity consumption of approximately 10,000 households [1][2] - China Gas has successfully penetrated multiple high-energy-consuming industries, such as lithium batteries and chemicals, demonstrating the extensive application value of energy storage across different scenarios [2] Group 2: Technological and Economic Impact - The "source-network-load-storage" integrated model promoted by China Gas enhances the stability and economic efficiency of regional power grids, improving the acceptance of intermittent power sources like distributed photovoltaics and reducing voltage fluctuations [3] - The implementation of optimized energy dispatch strategies allows for balanced management of electricity loads, effectively controlling overall electricity costs and mitigating the impact of peak electricity prices [3] - The deployment of digital technologies in these projects accelerates the development of smart grids, enhancing automation and intelligence levels within the power grid [3] Group 3: Industry Perspective - Recent local policies, such as the "Sichuan Electric Power Market Settlement Rules V1.0," clarify the rules and value realization paths for energy storage participation in the electricity market, attracting more participants to the sector [4] - China Gas has established several competitive advantages to address potential revenue fluctuations, including large-scale procurement and refined design to lower initial investment and operational costs [4] - The company’s comprehensive service and safety control system covering the entire project lifecycle ensures reliable long-term operation, allowing it to maintain superior economic performance even amid market adjustments [4]

Core Insights - The global energy system is undergoing significant transformation, with energy storage becoming a crucial component in building a new power system driven by dual carbon goals and market reforms [1][2] - China Gas (00384) is positioning itself as a "green city operator" through an integrated "source-network-load-storage" strategy, actively participating in the sustainable evolution of energy storage business models [1][2] Group 1: Project Developments - China Gas has established a diverse project matrix in the energy storage sector, collaborating with various industries and regions [1][2] - A notable project includes a smart energy storage station developed with BASF and Shanshan, featuring 16 energy storage battery units and 8 power conversion systems, capable of storing 80 MWh of renewable energy, equivalent to the daily electricity consumption of 10,000 households [1] - The company has also implemented energy storage solutions in high-energy-consuming industries such as lithium batteries, non-ferrous metals, and precision manufacturing, demonstrating the broad application value of energy storage [2] Group 2: International Expansion - The Rosersberg energy storage station in Stockholm represents China Gas's first overseas project, providing frequency regulation services to the regional grid and showcasing its international competitiveness [2] - This project marks a significant step in exporting domestic "source-network-load-storage" collaborative experiences to global markets [2] Group 3: System Integration Benefits - The integrated "source-network-load-storage" model enhances the stability and economic efficiency of regional grids, improving the acceptance of intermittent power sources like distributed photovoltaics [3] - The model allows for balanced management of electricity loads, reducing costs associated with peak electricity prices and enhancing overall electricity cost control [3] - The deployment of digital technologies in these projects accelerates the development of smart grids, improving automation and intelligence levels [3] Group 4: Industry Perspective - Recent local policies, such as the "Sichuan Electric Power Market Settlement Rules V1.0," clarify the rules and value realization paths for energy storage participation in the electricity market [4] - China Gas has established several competitive advantages to address potential revenue fluctuations, including large-scale procurement and refined design to lower initial investment and operational costs [4] - The company’s comprehensive service and safety control system covering the entire project lifecycle ensures reliable long-term operation, allowing it to maintain economic advantages even in a changing market [4]

聚焦核心技术攻坚，筑牢创新产业链源头根基 "十四五"以来，我省新能源产业快速发展，2024年产业规模突破8000亿元，海上风电装机容量占全国 28%，拥有宁德时代（江苏）基地、天合光能等15家国家级技术领军企业。 然而，我省在关键核心技术自主可控能力、产业链协同效率、创新要素适配性等方面仍有提升空间，需 构建以技术创新为源头驱动、产业链协同为核心载体、要素保障为坚实支撑的新能源产业创新链协同生 态，系统提升整体竞争力。 我省在高效光伏电池、10MW级海上风机等领域"大而不强、全而不优"的问题依然存在，氢能储运等关 键设备依赖进口，成本占全产业链的60%以上。这些"卡脖子"环节威胁产业安全，制约国际议价能力。 因此，需要将关键核心技术掌握在自己手中，筑牢创新链的源头根基。 建强高能级创新平台体系。应主动融入国家战略科技力量布局，比如争取在江苏设立新能源（001258） 领域国家实验室分支机构，提升国家光伏技术重点实验室、国家海上风电装备创新中心等平台能级；围 绕固态电池、高效氢能等前沿方向，高标准建设省级新能源技术创新中心，推动高校、科研机构与华为 数字能源、国家电投等龙头企业共建联合实验室，打造核心技术攻关主 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's overall performance in 2025 showed a decline in revenue and net profit, with total revenue decreasing by 2.9% year-on-year to $94.83 billion and Non-GAAP net profit down by 26.4% to $5.86 billion [4] Group 1: Automotive Business Performance - In Q4 2025, Tesla's global delivery volume decreased by 15.6% year-on-year and 15.9% quarter-on-quarter to 418,000 units, with automotive revenue declining by 10.6% year-on-year and 16.6% quarter-on-quarter to $17.69 billion [5] - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles was approximately $41,000, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.6% [5] - The automotive gross margin, excluding regulatory credits, improved by 4.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter to 17.9%, primarily due to optimization in sales region structure [5] Group 2: Energy Business Performance - In Q4 2025, Tesla's energy storage installation volume increased by 29% year-on-year and 14% quarter-on-quarter to 14.2 GWh, with energy business revenue rising by 25.4% year-on-year and 12.4% quarter-on-quarter to $3.84 billion [5] - The gross margin for the energy business was 28.6%, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.4 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.8 percentage points [5] - The outlook for the energy business remains positive, driven by the launch of Megapack 3, Megablock, and the ramp-up of the Shanghai energy storage factory [5] Group 3: AI Transition and Future Outlook - Tesla is expected to focus on AI transformation across its business segments, with the rollout sequence anticipated to be Robo-series, Unsupervised FSD, and robotics [6] - The Robotaxi fleet has rapidly scaled to 500 vehicles as of January 29, 2026, with plans for the Cybercab to enter mass production in Q2 2026 [6] - The management has indicated that by the end of 2026, Robotaxi services will expand to several major cities in the U.S., supported by Tesla's comprehensive charging, service, and channel network [6]

证券研究报告 行业研究 / 行业点评 2026 年 02 月 02 日 汽车 徐姝婧 S0820124090004 021-32229888-25517 xushujing@ajzq.com 行业及产业 特斯拉高资本支出引领车企 AI 布局转型 资料来源：聚源数据，爱建证券研究所 相关研究 《2026 年汽车行业策略：智能化+全球化驱动， 把握结构性机会》2026-01-28 《智能汽车产业深度研究：L3 车型产品准入， 智能汽车发展加速》2025-12-31 《L3 准入落地，华为系景气度提升——智能汽 车系列报告（八）》2025-12-30 《首批 L3 级自动驾驶车型获准入——智能汽 车系列报告（七）》2025-12-23 《高阶智驾准入，Robotaxi 商业化提速—— Robotaxi 产业深度报告》2025-12-23 吴迪 S0820525010001 021-32229888-25523 wudi@ajzq.com 爱建证券有限责任公司 ——智能汽车系列报告（九） 一年内行业指数与沪深 300 指数对比走势： 强于大市 投资要点： 事件：1 月 29 日，特斯拉发布 2025 年度报告。公司短 ...