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Oracle and the AI trade, plus how to play the software sector
Youtube· 2025-09-22 17:32
Market Overview - The Dow is down over 150 points, approximately a third of 1%, while the NASDAQ has shown slight gains [2][3] - The Russell 2000 index is experiencing a pullback of about half a percent after recently reaching record levels [3] - Bond market yields have decreased slightly, with a notable downward trend leading up to the Federal Reserve's rate cuts [4][5] H1B Visa Fee Impact - President Trump has announced a one-time $100,000 fee on H1B visas, which could significantly impact American tech companies and trade relations with India and China [9][12] - The H1B visa program is crucial for the tech industry, with approximately 83,000 workers receiving these visas annually, predominantly from India [12][13] - Initial confusion regarding the fee structure has been clarified, indicating it is a one-time charge rather than an annual fee [10][11] Semiconductor Sector Insights - Micron is set to report earnings, with expectations high due to its recent performance and its role in the AI market through high bandwidth memory chips [42][51] - The semiconductor sector is mixed, with some companies like Nvidia and Broadcom trading lower, while others like TSMC and ASML are performing better [7] - The overall semiconductor market is experiencing a shift, with AI demand potentially softening traditional cyclical trends [46][48] Oracle Leadership Changes - Oracle has announced the departure of CEO Saffer Katz, who will be replaced by co-CEOs Clay McGu and Mike Siccilia, while Katz transitions to executive vice chair [34][36] - The leadership change comes amid Oracle's involvement in the TikTok deal, which is expected to enhance its role in data security and cloud services [38][61] Economic and Trade Relations - The U.S.-India trade situation remains tense, with ongoing tariff discussions and the recent H1B visa fee announcement adding to the strain [14][15] - The administration's approach to tariffs and trade negotiations is causing a disconnect between market performance and job losses in sectors like manufacturing and agriculture [20][21][22] - The political implications of tariffs are significant, with a majority of Americans expressing concerns over rising costs associated with these trade policies [25][27]
Forbes Daily: The Trump Family’s White House Windfall
Forbes· 2025-09-22 12:03
Group 1: Savannah Bananas and Banana Ball - The Savannah Bananas have created a unique and entertaining version of baseball called Banana Ball, which includes backflips and choreographed dance breaks, leading to a strong fan engagement [1] - The Bananas have sold out all 115 games on their 2025 schedule and have a larger online social audience than any Major League Baseball franchise [1] - Forbes estimates that the Banana Ball organization will generate over $100 million in revenue this year, with the Bananas valued at approximately $500 million, comparable to the least valuable MLB team, the Miami Marlins [2] Group 2: H-1B Visa Changes and Impact on Indian IT Firms - President Trump announced a significant increase in fees for H-1B visa applications, imposing an annual fee of $100,000, which is a dramatic rise from the previous fees of $215 for lottery registration and $780 for the petition [3] - Following this announcement, shares of major Indian tech services firms fell sharply, and U.S. tech giants like Google, Meta, and Microsoft also experienced declines in premarket trading [4] - Approximately 73% of H-1B workers approved in fiscal year 2023 were Indian-born, highlighting the heavy reliance of U.S. tech firms on Indian talent [4] Group 3: CoreWeave and AI Cloud Computing - CoreWeave has rapidly grown into a leading AI cloud compute provider, achieving a market capitalization of $50 billion and generating $1.9 billion in revenue in 2024 [13][15] - The company has built a data center empire and has secured marquee customers such as OpenAI, Microsoft, and Meta, driven by the surging demand for GPUs [16][17] - Despite its success, CoreWeave faces challenges due to its reliance on debt, having borrowed $29 billion, and concerns about a potential AI bubble as the market for AI cloud computing is projected to grow from $230 billion in 2024 to $400 billion by 2028 [14][16][18]
Stock Market Today: Dow, Nasdaq 100 Futures Slip After A Stellar Week—Fox, Oracle, Dell In Focus On TikTok Investment
Benzinga· 2025-09-22 09:43
Group 1: Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Monday after a positive performance on Friday, with major indices showing lower futures [1] - The Dow Jones index closed 173 points or 0.37% higher at 46,315.27, while the S&P 500 rose 0.49% to 6,664.36 and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.72% to 22,631.48 [6][7] - The S&P 500 gained 1.2% for the week, with the Dow adding 1% and the Nasdaq surging 2.2% [4] Group 2: Key Company Movements - Apple Inc. saw a 3.2% increase in shares due to strong demand for the new iPhone 17, with preorders in China surpassing those of the iPhone 16 within one minute [5] - Fox Corp. rose 4.20% as President Trump considered Lachlan Murdoch as an investor in the proposed deal to transfer TikTok's U.S. operations to American ownership [16] - Oracle Corp. and Dell Technologies also experienced stock increases of 0.72% and 1.11%, respectively, as Larry Ellison and Michael Dell are involved in the TikTok transfer deal [16] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.12%, while the two-year bond was at 3.57%, with a 91.9% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in the upcoming October meeting [3] - The Baker Hughes oil rig count increased by 2 to 418 in the latest week, indicating a slight uptick in oil production activity [5] Group 4: Analyst Insights - Economist Justin Wolfers highlighted a significant policy dilemma for the Federal Reserve due to President Trump's trade actions, noting the conflicting signals of rising inflation and slowing economic growth [9] - Wolfers suggested that the Fed's monetary policy is limited in addressing structural issues caused by trade policy, advocating for the removal of tariffs as a solution [10]
Is News Corp. Stock Outperforming the S&P 500?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-22 07:42
Core Insights - News Corporation (NWS) is valued at approximately $19.2 billion and operates as a global media and information services company, distributing content across various platforms including newspapers, digital media, book publishing, and subscription video services [1] - NWS is categorized as a "large-cap stock" due to its market capitalization exceeding $10 billion, indicating its substantial size and influence in the communication services sector [2] Stock Performance - NWS reached an all-time high of $35.58 on August 6 and is currently trading 4.7% below that peak, with a nearly 5% gain over the past three months, which is significantly lower than the S&P 500 Index's 11.4% increase during the same period [3] - Year-to-date, NWS stock has gained 11.5% and has increased 21.7% over the past 52 weeks, although it has underperformed compared to the S&P 500's 13.3% gains in 2025, while outperforming the S&P's 16.6% returns over the past year [4] Financial Results - Following the release of better-than-expected Q4 results on August 5, NWS stock prices saw a 1.1% increase. The company's revenues from book publishing and news media segments experienced a notable decline, while revenues from Dow Jones and digital real estate services showed significant growth [5] - NWS reported total sales of $2.1 billion, reflecting an 81 basis points year-over-year increase, slightly above market expectations. Total segment EBITDA rose by 5% to $322 million, and adjusted EPS was $0.19, down 5% year-over-year but exceeding consensus estimates by 5.6% [5] Comparative Analysis - Despite solid performance, NWS has lagged behind Fox Corporation (FOXA), which saw a 24.8% increase in 2025 and 49.8% gains over the past year [6] - Among analysts covering NWS, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with a mean price target of $39.67, indicating a potential upside of 17% [6]
Fox's Lachlan Murdoch may be part of TikTok deal, Trump says
New York Post· 2025-09-21 23:02
Group 1 - President Trump indicated that Lachlan Murdoch, head of Fox Corp. and News Corp, may join a group of US investors, including Larry Ellison and Michael Dell, to acquire a controlling stake in TikTok's US operations [1][2] - Trump mentioned that Rupert Murdoch could also be involved in the TikTok deal, highlighting the prominence and patriotism of the potential investors [2] - A source revealed that Lachlan Murdoch's role would be on the Fox side, while Oracle, led by Ellison, is set to manage TikTok's data and security [4][9] Group 2 - The deal's specifics remain uncertain, with a deadline for US and Chinese officials to finalize details by December 16 [6] - Trump has postponed the enforcement of a law requiring TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, to divest from the app or face a ban in the US due to national security concerns on four occasions [7]
Comcast (CMCSA) Faces Broadband Competition Despite Strong Performance, Says RBC Capital
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-21 07:59
Group 1 - Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:CMCSA) is recognized as one of the top communication services stocks to buy, with RBC Capital Markets initiating coverage with a Sector Perform rating and a $38 price target [1] - The company has adjusted its pricing strategy to maintain its market position, but faces significant challenges from competitors as promotional offers end and customers explore alternatives [2] - RBC Capital Markets acknowledges Comcast's strong network approach but highlights long-term risks associated with its reliance on the DOCSIS upgrade path and potential need for costly fiber projects amid increasing competition [2] Group 2 - The risk-reward profile for Comcast appears favorable, but there are limited near-term catalysts for growth, and the lack of visibility into subscriber trends may hinder re-rating in the near future [3] - Comcast operates through three main business units: Cable Communications, NBCUniversal, and Sky, and is expanding its broadband offerings and enhancing network infrastructure to meet rising customer demand [4]
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-09-19 21:30
More details about a possible deal in the media industry contributed to another leg up for Paramount and Warner Bros Discovery, while a report from a short seller sent shares of DexCom sharply lower. https://t.co/xgsZLfYoPx ...
S&P 500 Gains and Losses Today: Paramount Surges Amid Deal Buzz, Apple Rises as iPhone 17 Goes on Sale
Investopedia· 2025-09-19 21:30
The buzz reheated Friday around a possible media mega-merger, helping lift shares of the companies involved, while a report from a short seller sent shares of a medical device manufacturer sharply low... ...
X @Forbes
Forbes· 2025-09-19 17:40
What To Know About Nexstar And Founder Perry Sook—After Local Media Giant Pulls Kimmel Showhttps://t.co/cwWapqaa2c https://t.co/UmwLIOnF77 ...
Trump's War on Media Expands After Kimmel Suspension
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-19 15:08
President Trump continues to attack the media, the president threatening the licenses of US broadcast networks if they are too critical of him. This comes after Walt Disney put Jimmy Kimmel's show on indefinite hiatus over the monologue he delivered. Joining us now with more is Bloomberg Wall Street Week host David Westin.You also are a lawyer, have a history working with Supreme Court justice. And, of course, you ran ABC News. So what do you think about this.The main thought I had when I heard was, I'm gla ...