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【安泰科】工业硅周评—市场情绪悲观 价格小幅下跌(2025年3月19日)
中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会· 2025-03-19 09:20
Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon market is experiencing a slight decline in prices due to a combination of increased supply and reduced demand, leading to a pessimistic market sentiment [1][2]. Price Trends - The main contract price fluctuated from 9945 CNY/ton to 9785 CNY/ton, with a decrease of 1.61% [1]. - The national average price is 10676 CNY/ton, down by 135 CNY/ton [1]. - Specific prices for different grades are as follows: 553 at 10002 CNY/ton, 441 at 10471 CNY/ton, and 421 at 10875 CNY/ton [1]. - Regional prices include Xinjiang at 10133 CNY/ton, Yunnan at 10883 CNY/ton, Fujian at 15640 CNY/ton, and Sichuan at 11000 CNY/ton [1]. - FOB prices remain stable [1]. Market Dynamics - The industrial silicon market is seeing weak transactions, with downstream purchases primarily driven by immediate needs [1]. - Supply remains stable with minimal changes in national production, except for major northern manufacturers resuming operations as planned [1]. - There is no significant willingness for other manufacturers to resume production, leading to an overall increase in supply [1]. - Demand is expected to decrease due to the implementation of production cuts by organic silicon monomer plants, which may further reduce demand for industrial silicon [1][2]. - The production of polysilicon remains stable, maintaining demand for industrial silicon, while aluminum alloy manufacturers are purchasing based on their needs [1]. Future Outlook - The supply of industrial silicon is expected to increase, while demand is anticipated to decrease, indicating no significant improvement in the supply-demand fundamentals [2]. - Inventory pressure remains high, and prices are expected to continue fluctuating within a bottom range [2].
【安泰科】工业硅周评—市场情绪悲观 价格持稳(2025年3月5日)
中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会· 2025-03-05 13:39
Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon market remains stable with a slight decline in prices, reflecting a balance between supply and demand, but with upward pressure on prices due to increased supply and existing inventory levels [1] Price Trends - The main contract price fluctuated from 10,330 CNY/ton to 10,190 CNY/ton, a decrease of 1.36% over the past week [1] - FOB prices decreased by 10-20 USD/ton [1] Market Performance - The industrial silicon market showed a lack of activity with pessimistic market sentiment, where downstream purchases were primarily based on immediate needs [1] - Buyers exhibited a willingness to negotiate prices down, while sellers were reluctant to lower prices, leading to a stalemate [1] Supply Dynamics - In the southern regions, production levels remain low with minimal changes in output [1] - Northern large manufacturers are resuming production as planned, alongside new capacity being introduced, resulting in an overall increase in production [1] Demand Factors - Organic silicon monomer plants continue to reduce or halt production, leading to stable demand for industrial silicon [1] - Polysilicon plants maintain stable operations, contributing to steady demand for industrial silicon [1] - Aluminum alloy plants have resumed operations post-holiday, slightly increasing demand for industrial silicon [1] Future Outlook - The market is expected to experience a scenario of increasing supply and demand, but the increase in supply is anticipated to outpace demand growth [1] - With over 300,000 tons of inventory, there is significant upward pressure on prices, although cost support exists at lower price levels, suggesting prices will likely remain stable at low levels [1]