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每日投行/机构观点梳理(2025-05-27)
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-28 02:17
Group 1: Interest Rates and Bonds - HSBC suggests that without support from the Bank of Japan, the Japanese government bond yield curve may continue to steepen due to unfavorable factors leading to a prolonged steep curve [1] - The clarity of Japan's fiscal policy trajectory and the Bank of Japan's bond purchasing plan will be crucial for stabilizing the long-term yield curve in the coming weeks [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices - ANZ analysts report that a weaker US dollar and tight market supply are expected to drive up base metal prices, with copper rising 1.2% to $9,614 per ton [2] - Concerns about the economic backdrop are limiting the price increases of other base metals, although aluminum market supply growth is slowing, which may keep the overall market tight [2] Group 3: Trade and Travel - The Royal Bank of Canada indicates that trade tensions are reshaping Canadian travel plans, potentially boosting domestic consumption while widening the US trade deficit [3] - A notable decline in Canadians returning from the US was observed, with a 20% drop in air travel and a 26% drop in car travel in April [3] Group 4: US Fiscal Policy - CICC reports that the "one big beautiful bill" passed in the House is likely to significantly increase the US fiscal deficit over the next decade, with a debt issuance wave expected between July and September [4] - The report highlights that the US may not have the conditions to effectively reduce the deficit due to structural issues and global competition [4] Group 5: Market Trends - Zhongyuan Securities suggests focusing on sectors like power equipment, grid equipment, and cultural media, as the market is expected to steadily trend upwards [5] - CITIC Securities notes that the trade war is causing structural changes in the global stock market, with a shift in capital allocation towards financial and technology sectors [6] Group 6: Nuclear Industry - CITIC Securities indicates that the controllable nuclear fusion industry is expected to accelerate due to favorable policies, increased financing, and technological advancements [7] - Huatai Securities sees opportunities in the nuclear power equipment sector as uranium prices recover and global nuclear energy policies strengthen [8]
【LME注册及注销仓单日报】金十期货5月23日讯,伦敦金属交易所(LME)有色金属注册及注销仓单如下:1. 铜注册仓单92650吨,注销仓单72075吨,增加3425吨。2. 铝注册仓单322725吨,注销仓单61850吨,减少2325吨。3. 镍注册仓单178794吨,注销仓单19842吨,减少2274吨。4. 锌注册仓单80175吨,注销仓单73325吨,减少2725吨。5. 铅注册仓单233725吨,注销仓单60300吨,减少1525吨。6. 锡注册仓单2285吨,注销仓单380吨,持平。
news flash· 2025-05-23 08:04
LME注册及注销仓单日报 金十期货5月23日讯,伦敦金属交易所(LME)有色金属注册及注销仓单如下: 1. 铜注册仓单92650吨,注销仓单72075吨,增加3425吨。 2. 铝注册仓单322725吨,注销仓单61850吨,减少2325吨。 3. 镍注册仓单178794吨,注销仓单19842吨,减少2274吨。 4. 锌注册仓单80175吨,注销仓单73325吨,减少2725吨。 5. 铅注册仓单233725吨,注销仓单60300吨,减少1525吨。 6. 锡注册仓单2285吨,注销仓单380吨,持平。 ...
【LME有色金属库存日报】金十期货5月22日讯,伦敦金属交易所(LME)有色金属库存及变化如下:1. 铜库存166525吨,减少2300吨。2. 铝库存386900吨,减少2000吨。3. 镍库存200910吨,减少876吨。4. 锌库存156225吨,减少1650吨。5. 铅库存295825吨,增加13700吨。6. 锡库存2665吨,减少5吨。
news flash· 2025-05-22 09:06
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The London Metal Exchange (LME) reports a decrease in the inventory of several base metals, indicating potential supply tightening in the market [1]. Inventory Changes - Copper inventory stands at 166,525 tons, a decrease of 2,300 tons [1] - Aluminum inventory is at 386,900 tons, down by 2,000 tons [1] - Nickel inventory is recorded at 200,910 tons, with a reduction of 876 tons [1] - Zinc inventory is at 156,225 tons, decreasing by 1,650 tons [1] - Lead inventory has increased to 295,825 tons, up by 13,700 tons [1] - Tin inventory is at 2,665 tons, with a slight decrease of 5 tons [1]
伦敦金属交易所(LME):铝库存减少2000吨,锌库存减少1650吨,镍库存减少876吨,铅库存增加13700吨,锡库存减少5吨,铜库存减少2300吨。
news flash· 2025-05-22 08:12
伦敦金属交易所(LME):铝库存减少2000吨,锌库存减少1650吨,镍库存减少876吨,铅库存增加13700 吨,锡库存减少5吨,铜库存减少2300吨。 ...
LME:仍有仓库营运商拟把版图扩展至香港 未有第三批仓库认可时间表
智通财经网· 2025-05-22 02:41
智通财经APP获悉,港交所(00388)旗下伦敦金属交易所(LME)已批准在香港增设三家仓储设施,令香港 的仓储设施总数达到7家。首批四家仓储设施将于7月开始运营。LME行政总裁张柏廉(Matthew Chamberlain)昨天表示,仍有LME认证的仓库营运商正跟本地业者洽谈合作,打算把版图扩展至香 港,但港交所未能给予第三批申请获批的时间表,因为部分涉及改建或重新兴建一个仓库,以应对地面 承重问题,所以需要较长时间,预期香港认可仓库增加的速度会放慢。 他指在港仓库可面向高价值的铜、镍及锌等,在中国有更大需求的高价值金属运作,料便利实物交收及 满足与内地市场之间的套戥所需。现时和LME合作的营运商有25家。他认为未来在港增设仓库的需求 会由市场驱动。至于内地市场,因为内地未有批准外国交易所设仓,所以仍然聚焦于亚太区市场。该所 实物市场主管Georgina Hallett称,LME对在港增加更多仓库持开放态度。 张柏廉提到香港当前金属储放仓库面积并不如其他已建设地点,相对东南亚金属仓库具备低廉租金的特 点,香港仓库网络成本也可能最高,但因为存仓期短,香港物流服务又优质,可快速运送金属,有助交 付期压缩,抵销高 ...
5月22日电,CME据称商谈设立香港仓库,此前伦敦金属交易所批准在香港的仓储设施。
news flash· 2025-05-21 16:34
智通财经5月22日电,CME据称商谈设立香港仓库,此前伦敦金属交易所批准在香港的仓储设施。 ...
美国芝加哥商品交易所(CME)效仿伦敦金属交易所(LME)的做法,也洽谈在中国香港成立仓库。
news flash· 2025-05-21 16:28
美国芝加哥商品交易所(CME)效仿伦敦金属交易所(LME)的做法,也洽谈在中国香港成立仓库。 ...
【LME注册及注销仓单日报】金十期货5月21日讯,伦敦金属交易所(LME)有色金属注册及注销仓单如下:1. 铜注册仓单102825吨。注销仓单66000吨,减少450吨。2. 铝注册仓单322725吨。注销仓单66175吨,减少2025吨。3. 镍注册仓单179028吨。注销仓单22758吨,增加1680吨。4. 锌注册仓单81200吨。注销仓单76675吨,减少2800吨。5. 铅注册仓单216175吨。注销仓单65950吨,减少55900吨。6. 锡注册仓单2300吨。注销仓单370吨,减少5吨。
news flash· 2025-05-21 08:09
LME注册及注销仓单日报 金十期货5月21日讯,伦敦金属交易所(LME)有色金属注册及注销仓单如下: 1. 铜注册仓单102825吨。注销仓单66000吨,减少450吨。 2. 铝注册仓单322725吨。注销仓单66175吨,减少2025吨。 3. 镍注册仓单179028吨。注销仓单22758吨,增加1680吨。 4. 锌注册仓单81200吨。注销仓单76675吨,减少2800吨。 5. 铅注册仓单216175吨。注销仓单65950吨,减少55900吨。 6. 锡注册仓单2300吨。注销仓单370吨,减少5吨。 ...
伦敦金属交易所(LME):锌库存增加1150吨,铝库存减少2025吨,铜库存减少1925吨,铅库存增加36375吨,锡库存增加15吨,镍库存减少312吨。
news flash· 2025-05-21 08:05
伦敦金属交易所(LME):锌库存增加1150吨,铝库存减少2025吨,铜库存减少1925吨,铅库存增加 36375吨,锡库存增加15吨,镍库存减少312吨。 ...
伦敦金属交易所(LME):铜库存170750吨,减少3575吨。铝库存390925吨,减少2525吨。镍库存202098吨,增加90吨。锌库存156725吨,减少4075吨。铅库存245750吨,减少600吨。锡库存2655吨,减少85吨。
news flash· 2025-05-20 08:09
Group 1 - The London Metal Exchange (LME) reported a decrease in copper inventory by 3,575 tons, totaling 170,750 tons [1] - Aluminum inventory decreased by 2,525 tons, bringing the total to 390,925 tons [1] - Nickel inventory increased by 90 tons, reaching 202,098 tons [1] Group 2 - Zinc inventory saw a reduction of 4,075 tons, now at 156,725 tons [1] - Lead inventory decreased by 600 tons, totaling 245,750 tons [1] - Tin inventory also decreased by 85 tons, now at 2,655 tons [1]