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高盛:分析显示美国首次申请失业救济人数小幅升至22.4万人
智通财经网· 2025-10-03 15:41
Group 1: Employment Market Overview - The initial jobless claims rose slightly to approximately 224,000, up from 218,000 the previous week, while the number of continuing claims decreased to 1.91 million, indicating some unemployed individuals are gradually returning to work [1] - The market expected a non-farm payroll increase of about 50,000 jobs in September, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.3% [1] - Job growth has significantly slowed compared to the previous year, with only 240,000 jobs added in September 2024, while the average monthly job growth over the last three months is just 29,000 [1] Group 2: Labor Market Dynamics - The stability of the unemployment rate despite reduced job additions is attributed to demographic changes, including more workers retiring or exiting the labor market, along with decreased immigration and increased deportations [2] - The construction industry faced a significant drop in job vacancies, with a decrease of 115,000 positions in August, reflecting challenges from high interest rates and housing affordability issues [2] - Healthcare remains a key growth sector, driven by an aging population, with approximately 10,000 individuals reaching retirement age daily, equating to 4 million new retirees annually [2] Group 3: Regional and Sectoral Insights - The Chicago Fed's real-time unemployment rate forecast indicates a slight increase to 4.34% in September, while the San Francisco Fed's labor market pressure index shows limited states experiencing significant unemployment rate increases [3] - Despite the overall weak employment data, most businesses plan to increase hiring in the next 12 months, indicating a stable labor market [3] - The labor market is characterized by "low growth and structural differentiation," with the healthcare sector expanding while construction and some service industries face challenges, alongside a growing concern over long-term unemployment [3]
香港馆亮相2025年服贸会:持续发挥内联外通优势
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-10 23:32
Core Points - The Hong Kong Pavilion officially opened at the 2025 China International Service Trade Fair, emphasizing its role as a "super connector" for mainland enterprises seeking to expand globally [1][3] - The theme of the Hong Kong Pavilion is "Hong Kong Channel, Connecting the World," showcasing its unique advantages in facilitating trade and cooperation between Hong Kong and mainland China [1][3] Summary by Categories Event Overview - The 2025 China International Service Trade Fair opened in Beijing on September 10, with the Hong Kong Pavilion participating for the 12th consecutive year [3] - The pavilion features various innovative products, including AI devices for the visually impaired and wooden watches made from recycled materials [1] Economic Insights - In 2024, China's service trade is projected to exceed $1 trillion for the first time, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4%, marking a historical high [3] - Hong Kong's service industry accounts for over 90% of its GDP, positioning it as a leading economy in global service chains and market resource allocation [3] Collaboration Opportunities - The Hong Kong Trade Development Council aims to enhance cooperation in sectors such as finance, professional services, technology innovation, healthcare, education, and cultural creativity between Hong Kong and mainland China [3] - The Hong Kong Economic and Trade Association expressed the intention to serve as a bridge for exporting mainland professional services to international markets [3]