Group 1 - The kitchen staple industry is a large and continuously growing market, exceeding one trillion yuan, with significant growth in categories like rice and corn, which are also in the hundred billion yuan range [1] - The market concentration is currently low, but it is expected to increase as pre-packaged products and premium products grow faster than the overall industry [1] - The company has a rich product matrix and a diversified sales network covering the entire country, with high repurchase rates for flagship brands on platforms like JD.com [1] Group 2 - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 6.994 billion yuan, 8.435 billion yuan, and 9.939 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 22%, 21%, and 18% respectively [1] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 603 million yuan, 717 million yuan, and 861 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 195%, 19%, and 20% respectively [1] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the kitchen staple food industry in China, with differentiated brands in the rice category and early-stage growth in the corn category, indicating potential for continued margin improvement [1]

公司深度研究 | 十月稻田 厨房主食中的新消费 十月稻田（09676.HK）首次覆盖报告 所处行业空间较大且持续增长，集中度有望提升。公司所处的厨房主食行业 为万亿以上规模的大行业，且近年来持续增长，公司重点布局的大米、玉米 等品类均为千亿级大行业且增长势头明显。行业中的预包装产品、优质产品 有较好的增长且增长势头显著快于行业整体。当前该行业市场集中度很低， 但预包装产品、优质产品、东北大米产品等的集中度显著高于行业整体，预 计随着上述关键品类的快速增长，行业集中度有望提升，公司作为重要的行 业龙头之一有望显著获益。 产品矩阵丰富，多元化渠道覆盖全国。公司旗舰品牌十月稻田、柴火大院已 在京东等平台复购率高于行业整体，并依托多品牌构建了全面且互补的产品 矩阵，满足不同类别消费者的个性化需求。公司建立多元化、涵盖线上线下 的销售网络，在新渠道保持领先，在线下渠道和经销商建立了深厚的合作关 系。公司通过在核心产区的五大生产基地，结合遍布多区域的区域仓，形成 辐射全国多数区域的供应链能力。 投资建议：我们预测 25-27 年公司营收分别为 69.94 亿元/84.35 亿元/99.39 亿元，同比+22%/+21%/ ...