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国泰海通晨报-20250828
Haitong Securities· 2025-08-28 08:14
Group 1: Silver Capital Co., Ltd. (银都股份) - The company is experiencing phase-specific profit pressure due to tariffs and shipping costs, leading to a downward adjustment of EPS forecasts for 2025/2026/2027 to 1.02/1.20/1.35 CNY [3] - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.426 billion CNY (up 4.35% YoY) and a net profit of 347 million CNY (flat YoY), with a significant drop in non-recurring net profit by 20.60% YoY [3][4] - The company is focusing on brand autonomy and globalization strategies, expanding channels and upgrading production capacity, with notable improvements in the North American market [4] Group 2: New Oriental Energy Co., Ltd. (新奥股份) - The company maintains a stable performance with a well-integrated upstream and downstream natural gas layout, and after acquiring New Oriental Energy, future growth is expected [6] - In Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 33.73 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 1.40% YoY, while core profit grew by 0.09% YoY [8] - The company plans to privatize New Oriental Energy, which is expected to enhance its operational capabilities and dividend capacity [9] Group 3: Aviation Industry - The summer transportation season is characterized by low supply growth and a decline in business travel demand, leading to a subdued peak season, although significant profits are still anticipated [10] - Domestic air traffic is projected to grow by over 3% YoY in July-August, with a slight increase in passenger load factor [10] - Aircraft orders are expected to remain aligned with planned low growth, with the industry maintaining a rational approach to fleet expansion [12][13]