Core Viewpoint - The threat of a 25% tariff on Indian goods by President Trump is expected to significantly impact India's stock market and export-dependent industries, amidst ongoing trade negotiations between the US and India [1][3]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The Indian stock market experienced heightened risk aversion, with the SENSEX30 index opening nearly 1% lower before a slight rebound [2][4]. - Foreign investors have accelerated their withdrawal from the Indian stock market, with over $2 billion pulled out this month, shifting investments to markets like Hong Kong and South Korea [8]. Group 2: Affected Industries - The pharmaceutical industry, which exports approximately $8 billion annually to the US, is at high risk, with major companies like Sun Pharma and Dr. Reddy's deriving at least 30% of their revenue from the US market [3][10]. - The electronics sector, particularly with Apple's increased assembly in India, may face significant setbacks if tariffs rise to 25%, undermining Apple's strategy to source iPhones from India [10]. - The textile and apparel industry, crucial for US retailers like Gap and Walmart, will lose competitive advantages against countries like Vietnam due to new tariffs [10]. - The gems and jewelry sector, valued at over $10 billion in exports to the US, is concerned about potential disruptions to supply chains and livelihoods [10]. - The refining sector, particularly companies like Reliance Industries, may face additional pressure due to potential penalties for purchasing energy from Russia, as nearly 37% of India's oil imports come from there [10]. Group 3: Financing Trends - The Indian market is experiencing a surge in financing activities, with IPOs and large transactions exceeding $6 billion for three consecutive months, indicating a shift in market dynamics amid high valuations and slowing profits [11].