Core Conclusions - The construction sector has seen a cumulative increase of 10.83% from the beginning of 2025 to November 11, 2025, underperforming the broader market, while the building materials sector has increased by 22.32%, outperforming the market [7][18] - The overall construction market is experiencing a decline in scale, with significant business homogenization, necessitating a transformation within the industry, particularly among large state-owned construction enterprises [7][46] - The cement industry is under pressure, with a projected 6% decline in demand for the year, while supply-side policies aimed at capacity reduction and carbon emissions are expected to be key drivers for future adjustments [8][9] Industry Review - The construction and building materials sectors have shown varied performance, with the construction sector ranking 20th out of 30 industries in terms of cumulative growth, while the building materials sector ranks 10th [18][20] - The cement sector has faced declining sales volumes for most companies in 2025, with a significant increase in inventory levels due to poor peak staggering [8][9] - International engineering projects are seeing sustained growth, particularly in regions involved in the Belt and Road Initiative, with many state-owned construction companies reporting an increase in overseas orders [8][9] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on large construction blue-chip stocks such as China Railway and China Communications Construction, while also considering companies involved in international engineering and those with cyclical elasticity in domestic demand [9] - The report emphasizes the importance of high dividend yields from undervalued state-owned construction companies as a potential investment opportunity [8][9] Financial Performance Summary - The revenue decline in the construction sector has narrowed, while profit pressures continue, with significant improvements in cash flow noted [9][57] - For the cement industry, revenue declines have expanded, and profit growth has slowed, indicating ongoing challenges [9][57] - The eight major state-owned construction enterprises reported a total revenue of 4.81 trillion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 3.99% [61]

Group 1 - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) has introduced a series of nine policies to facilitate foreign exchange settlement for foreign trade enterprises, aiming to enhance the efficiency and convenience of cross-border trade [1][5] - The pilot program for cross-border trade has been expanded to 11 regions, processing approximately $1.7 trillion in current account pilot business, which is expected to significantly reduce operational costs for companies involved in international trade [2][5] - The new policies will allow for the offsetting of service fees related to goods trade, such as freight and customs fees, with payment for goods, thereby improving the efficiency of trade settlements [2][3] Group 2 - The rapid growth of cross-border e-commerce has become a crucial support for stabilizing and optimizing foreign trade, with imports and exports reaching approximately 2.06 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of this year, a 6.4% increase [3] - Banks are encouraged to leverage the credibility of cross-border e-commerce platforms to include more small and medium-sized enterprises in the category of quality enterprises, facilitating easier access to financial services [3] - The new policies will allow engineering companies to manage overseas funds more flexibly across different projects and countries, potentially reducing foreign financing needs and enhancing competitiveness in international markets [4] Group 3 - The service trade sector in China has seen rapid growth, ranking second globally, with service trade imports and exports totaling $509.1 billion in the first half of 2025, a 6% year-on-year increase [4] - The new regulations simplify the management of service trade advance payment businesses, allowing domestic enterprises to handle related fund transfers more conveniently through banks [4][5] - High-level openness in the foreign exchange sector is becoming a strong driving force for China's economic development, with more policies being introduced to facilitate cross-border trade and investment [5]