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金力永磁(300748):产销量高增,新兴领域需求带动下公司未来业绩可期
HTSC· 2025-03-31 09:49
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.763 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.13%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was 291 million RMB, down 48.37% year-on-year, which was below expectations [1][4] - The company is expected to see significant demand growth in emerging fields such as humanoid robots, with a potential surge in product demand anticipated in 2025-2026 [1][3] - The company has actively expanded into new downstream applications, with the electric vehicle sector generating 3.314 billion RMB in revenue in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 38.62%, accounting for 49% of total revenue [3] Revenue and Profitability - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.749 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 6.82% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.85%, with a net profit of approximately 94.16 million RMB, up 35.62% year-on-year and 21.96% quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The company's high-performance NdFeB production and sales volumes reached 21,600 tons and 20,900 tons respectively in 2024, representing year-on-year increases of 42.40% and 37.88% [2] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 11.13%, down 4.94 percentage points year-on-year, while Q4 2024 gross margin improved to 14.28%, up 1.46 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Forecast and Valuation - The company’s EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.57 RMB, 0.79 RMB, and 0.81 RMB respectively, with a downward adjustment of 16.18% and 7.06% for 2025 and 2026 [4] - The target price for the company is set at 24.29 RMB, with a corresponding target price of 15.90 HKD for H shares, reflecting a 64.37% premium based on the average A/H premium over the last 30 days [4][7]