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美国霸权遇挫!中国反制拿捏美命脉,特朗普急寻对华和解
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 08:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant shift in the U.S.-China relationship, moving from extreme pressure to a more conciliatory approach, driven by economic realities and strategic necessities [1][12] - The U.S. agricultural sector, particularly soybean farmers, is under immense pressure due to a drastic decline in exports to China, which has historically been the largest buyer of U.S. soybeans [2][4] - The U.S. soybean export value was $24.58 billion in 2024, with China purchasing $12.64 billion, accounting for over half of total exports, but by 2025, China ceased all soybean purchases from the U.S. for the first time in 30 years [2][4] Group 2 - The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported a record high soybean inventory of 122 million tons, a 68% increase from the previous year, indicating a severe oversupply situation [4] - The price of soybean futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange dropped from $1,300 per ton in 2024 to below $600, leading to financial distress for over 40% of farmers unable to repay spring planting loans [4][11] - In response to the U.S. pressure, China implemented key countermeasures, including export controls on rare earth minerals and other critical technologies, effectively shifting the balance of power in the trade negotiations [6][11] Group 3 - China holds approximately 48% of the world's rare earth mineral reserves, with a dominant position in the supply of high-purity and high-value rare earth compounds, making it a critical player in high-end manufacturing [8][9] - The U.S. reliance on Chinese rare earths poses a significant challenge, as alternative suppliers lack the necessary refining capabilities to meet immediate demand [9][11] - The U.S. administration's acknowledgment of the need for cooperation on issues like fentanyl and the urgency expressed by the U.S. Soybean Association reflect a recognition of the shifting dynamics in the U.S.-China trade relationship [12][14]