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美丽田园医疗健康(02373):内生扎实、外延提份额,上调目标价
HTSC· 2025-06-27 06:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 37.00 HKD [8][9]. Core Insights - The company's core competitive advantage lies in high-quality membership and comprehensive lifecycle management, with traditional beauty services as the foundation, complemented by medical beauty and sub-health services to extend customer lifecycles and enhance customer stickiness [1]. - The company is actively increasing its dividend payout ratio, optimizing its shareholder structure, and implementing long-term incentive mechanisms, which may improve liquidity and indicate potential for PE valuation recovery [1]. - The company is expected to continue industry consolidation and business acquisitions to enhance market share and strengthen economies of scale [2]. Financial Performance - The beauty and health services revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 1.443 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 20.9%, and the company plans to increase the number of direct and franchise stores [2]. - Medical beauty and sub-health services revenue for 2024 is expected to reach 928 million RMB and 201 million RMB, respectively, with significant growth rates of 9.1% and 98.9% year-on-year [3]. - The company anticipates net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 315.33 million RMB, 367.89 million RMB, and 418.15 million RMB, respectively, indicating a robust growth trajectory [5][20]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has outlined three strategic initiatives aimed at maximizing shareholder value: establishing a long-term shareholder return mechanism, attracting quality long-term institutional investors, and implementing a core management equity incentive plan [4]. - The company aims to allocate no less than 50% of annual net profit attributable to shareholders for dividends from 2025 to 2027, barring special circumstances [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report assigns a PE ratio of 25x for 2025, reflecting the company's position as a leading brand in beauty and health, with a target price of 37.00 HKD based on this valuation [5]. - The company’s cash position is strong, with nearly 1.4 billion RMB at the end of 2024, supporting its stable business development and ongoing market share enhancement [5].