合锻智能(603011) 报告日期：2025 年 09 月 24 日 证券研究报告 | 公司深度 | 专用设备 高端成形机床单项冠军，前瞻布局聚变堆核心部件 ——合锻智能深度报告 投资要点 一、 公司是高端成形机床单项冠军，色选机国内第二 公司主营高端成形机床和智能分选设备，2019-2024 年收入复合增速 24%， 2024 年收入占比分别为色选机约 57%、液压机 29%、机压机 13%。公司是高端 成形机床领军企业，在汽车热成形领域，与德国舒勒、瑞典 APT 并列全球三大 供应商，市占率在国内处于绝对领先地位。全资子公司中科光电为国内色选机头 部企业，其品牌"安美达"位列品牌排行榜第二。" 高端成形机床：预计 2024-2030 年行业规模 CAGR 约为 5~7% 2024 年中国机床需求约 10407 亿元，金属成形机床约为 930 亿元，预计 2030 年 市场规模约为 1590 亿 ~1960 亿元，6 年复合增速 5~7%，竞争格局呈现本土企业 与外资品牌并存、分散与集聚交织的特征，市场集中度处于中等偏低水平，头部 企业形成局部优势， 但尚未形成绝对垄断地位。 智能分选设备：预计 2024~ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [5][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.023 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.92%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 303 million yuan, up 11.34% year-on-year [1]. - The color sorting machine business showed strong growth, with revenue of 742 million yuan in the first half of 2025, an increase of 15.17% year-on-year [2]. - The company launched several new products and technologies in the color sorting machine and high-end medical imaging equipment sectors, enhancing its market leadership [4]. Financial Performance - The company's gross margin and net profit margin for the first half of 2025 were 52.14% and 29.61%, respectively, both showing improvements compared to the previous year [3]. - The company expects to achieve revenues of 2.596 billion yuan, 2.899 billion yuan, and 3.219 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits projected at 719 million yuan, 816 million yuan, and 924 million yuan [5][7]. Business Segments - The color sorting machine segment is performing well, while the medical equipment and X-ray industrial inspection machine segments experienced slight declines in revenue [2]. - The company has seen a significant increase in contract liabilities, up 116.73% from the beginning of the period, primarily due to growth in advance payments [2]. Innovation and Development - The company introduced the AI-powered sorting model and the new generation AI+ digital color sorting machine, enhancing its product offerings in the market [4].