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2026年美股展望:高处如何布局?
HTSC· 2025-11-04 07:42
Group 1 - The report anticipates that liquidity easing will continue until the first half of 2026, with a shift towards cyclical economic recovery in the second half of the year [2][5][67] - The current technology market is compared to the late 1990s, with a concentration in high-quality large-cap stocks, raising concerns about potential market bubble [4][28][47] - The K-shaped economic recovery is expected to persist in 2026, but the driving factors will be more balanced compared to previous years [5][58][67] Group 2 - The MAG7 companies (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia) represent over 30% of the S&P 500's total market capitalization and contributed nearly 50% of the market expansion since 2023 [3][11][14] - The report suggests focusing on profitable leading companies within the technology sector while gradually increasing exposure to cyclical sectors as the economy recovers [6][68][69] - It is noted that the capital expenditure (CAPEX) of MAG7 is at a historical high, but growth is expected to slow down in 2026 [59][66][67]