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交银国际:内地新能源反内卷下多晶硅初见曙光 看好协鑫科技 目标价1.54港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 02:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company GCL-Poly Energy (03800) has a significant profit advantage in granular silicon, with low electricity consumption aligning with policy directions, and the industry's "anti-involution" is driving a substantial increase in polysilicon prices, with potential further price increases if capacity storage is realized, setting a target price of HKD 1.54 [1] Group 2 - The company is rated as a leader in the domestic renewable energy and public utility sector, with expectations for a historical high in total installed capacity for the year despite a moderate peak season in the first half of 2025 due to policy-driven installations [1] - For 2026, the company anticipates that domestic photovoltaic installations may continue to maintain a high level of 280 GW, while wind power installations are expected to grow by approximately 11% year-on-year to reach 110 GW, supported by a robust bidding volume [1] - The company's preferred order of sub-industries covered is: polysilicon > inverters/storage > operators > photovoltaic glass > battery cells [1]
交银国际:内地新能源反内卷下多晶硅初见曙光 看好协鑫科技(03800) 目标价1.54港元
智通财经网· 2025-12-08 02:42
Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International expresses optimism about GCL-Poly Energy (03800) due to its significant profitability in granular silicon, low energy consumption aligning with policy directions, and the industry's "anti-involution" leading to a surge in polysilicon prices, with a target price set at HKD 1.54 [1] Industry Summary - The report maintains a leading rating for the domestic new energy and public utility sector, predicting a historical high in total installed capacity for the year despite a moderate peak season for wind and solar installations in the first half of 2025 driven by policy incentives [1] - For 2026, the expectation is that domestic photovoltaic installations will continue to remain at a high level of 280 GW, while wind power installations are projected to grow by approximately 11% year-on-year to reach 110 GW, supported by robust bidding volumes in the past [1] - The preferred order of sub-industries covered by the report is: polysilicon > inverters/storage > operators > photovoltaic glass > battery cells [1]