丨证券研究报告丨 战略数据研究丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 近期小微盘成交热度有所回升——W136 市场 观察 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 当周是 2026 年春节假期后第一个交易周，A 股市场整体表现向好，周期和科技成长风格齐涨。 伴随市场成交活跃整体回暖，近期小微盘成交热度有所回升；行业层面，油气石化、金属、非 金属材料等成交活跃度居前。小微盘表现向好下，量化基金重仓周度表现居前；北向重仓系列 中，当周沪股通重仓指数领涨。行业板块层面，原材料、能源板块周度领涨。风格内部，创业 板成长周度领涨，中小盘表现较佳。主题热点中，中部崛起及专精特新系列指数周度表现较佳。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈洁敏 SAC：S0490518120005 SFC：BUT348 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 近期小微盘成交热度有所回升 2] ——W136 市场 观察 [Table_Summary2] 度量市场情绪：近期小微盘成交热度有所回升 机构赚钱效应：量化基金重仓周度表现居前 行业板块：原材料 ...

证券研究报告 策略 PPI 上行如何影响 AH 权益？ 需求拉动型通胀：由于内生需求回暖推动价格上行，全产业链利润扩张，风 险偏好提升，行业轮动呈现明显的上游->大金融->消费的顺序，回测上看， 非金属材料、能源金属、乘用车、光伏设备、其他电源设备、玻璃玻纤等板 块主要受益，消费电子、专业服务、一般零售、厨卫电器、通信服务等板块 可能受损。 2026 年 3 月 02 日│中国内地 专题研究 宏观视角，PPI 同比有望于 5-6 月转正 考虑到 PPI 中石油化工相关商品价格、CPI 中运输和与能源相关性较高的分 项或表现强于此前预期。此外，随着 AI 投资相关需求以及外需走强，叠加 国内"反内卷"政策的稳步推进，对 PPI 波动率贡献较为显著的黑色系、有 色系上游商品价格有望延续温和回升态势，中下游（光伏设备、汽车等）价 格亦有望企稳，共同推动 PPI 指标同比降幅收窄。华泰宏观团队预测中国 PPI 或将在今年 5-6 月转正，为 2022 年 10 月来首次；2026 全年平均 PPI 或将从去年的-2.6 回升至+0.1%，而今年年底 PPI 可能达到 1%左右（《PPI 何时转正?》2026 年 3 ...

[Table_StockNameRptType] 策略研究 月度报告 外部扰动与内部支撑的对决，波动加剧 [Table_RptDate] 报告日期： 2026-3-1 [Table_Author] 分析师：郑小霞 执业证书号：S0010520080007 电话：13391921291 邮箱：zhengxx@hazq.com 分析师：刘超 执业证书号：S0010520090001 电话：13269985073 邮箱：liuchao@hazq.com 分析师：张运智 执业证书号：S0010523070001 电话：13699270398 邮箱： zhangyz@hazq.com 分析师：陈博 执业证书号：S0010525070002 电话：18811134382 邮箱：chenbo@hazq.com 相关报告 1.策略月报《藏锋守拙—2026 年 2 月 A 股市场研判及配置机会》2026-02-01 2.策略月报《春风送暖—2026 年 1 月 A 股市场研判及配置机会》2026-01-04 3.策略季报《万境皆含春意—2026 年 一季度 A 股投资策略》2025-12-28 主要观点： 内需尚待提振。春节数 ...

| 序号 | 板块 | 涨跌幅(%)▼ | | 总成交量(万手) ■ 总成交额(亿元) ▼ | 净流入(亿元) ▼ | 上涨家数 | 下跌家数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 小金属 | 5.81 | 1212.85 | 554.60 | 51.25 | 27 | 0 | | 2 | 通信服务 | 2.74 | 1560.11 | 342.11 | 40.26 | 40 | 4 | | 3 | 电力 | 2.30 | 6635.82 | 388.89 | 38.43 | 97 | ଚ | | 4 | IT服务 | 2.28 | 3599.95 | 769.86 | 76.20 | 105 | 21 | | 5 | 多元金融 | 1.76 | 668.56 | 69.68 | 9.41 | 22 | 4 | | 6 | 煤炭开采加工 | 1.75 | 898.80 | 68.98 | 8.94 | 33 | 0 | | 7 | 软件开发 | 1.70 | 1584.54 | 385.81 | 16.07 | 110 | 52 | ...

Group 1: AI Chip Market and Diamond Heat Sinks - The potential market space for diamond heat sinks in the AI chip sector is vast, with estimates suggesting a market range of 7.5 billion to 150 billion RMB by 2030, depending on penetration rates and value share [1][2] - Huanghe Xuanfeng has successfully developed an 8-inch diamond heat sink, marking a significant milestone in the commercialization of functional diamonds for high-end chip cooling applications [1] - The production workshop for diamond heat sinks is set to commence mass production in February 2023, indicating a shift from laboratory development to large-scale commercial application [1] Group 2: Related Companies in Diamond Technology - Guoji Jinggong has been focusing on diamond functional applications since 2015, with expected revenue from heat sinks and optical windows projected to exceed 10 million RMB by 2025 [3] - World has extensive R&D in CVD diamond preparation and is one of the few companies mastering the entire CVD diamond growth technology [3] - Sifangda is a leading CVD diamond manufacturer in China, capable of mass-producing large-sized diamond substrates and films [3] - Power Diamond has launched semiconductor heat sink materials with applications in AI chips and new energy sectors [3] - Huifeng Diamond's products are still in the research phase and have not yet generated revenue [3] Group 3: Transformer Market Dynamics - The transformer sector is experiencing a surge in demand due to the rapid growth of AI and data centers, with many factories operating at full capacity and orders extending to 2027 [5] - China has become the world's largest transformer producer, accounting for approximately 60% of global production capacity [5] - The U.S. market is facing a projected 30% supply gap for power transformers by 2025, indicating a significant opportunity for companies with strong distribution channels and quick delivery capabilities [5] Group 4: Glass Fiber Price Increases - Glass fiber manufacturers are expected to initiate a second round of price increases of 10% to 15% due to rising costs and supply constraints, potentially doubling prices by the end of the year [6][7] - The shift in production focus from traditional electronic cloth to specialty glass fiber cloth is causing a supply shortage in the traditional electronic cloth market [6] Group 5: Optical Fiber Market Growth - The demand for high-performance optical fibers is increasing significantly due to the AI wave, with G.652.D single-mode optical fiber prices reaching a near seven-year high of 35 RMB per core kilometer [9] - The industry is experiencing a confirmed upward price trend, with expectations for continued price increases as demand from telecom operators rises [9] Group 6: Coal Market Trends - The coal sector is seeing positive trends with a significant reduction in inventory and a favorable supply outlook, leading to optimistic coal price forecasts post-holiday [10] - The domestic coal supply has been at a low operational rate, while import volumes remain low, contributing to a favorable market environment [10]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a new round of upward momentum after the Spring Festival, driven by improving macroeconomic fundamentals and positive market sentiment [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Trends and Historical Data - Historical data from 2006 to 2025 shows a significant "Spring Festival effect," with the Shanghai Composite Index having an 80% probability of rising in the first five days and a 75% probability in the following five days after the festival [2]. - Research from multiple brokerages indicates that the market typically sees a surge in risk appetite and a transition from emotional-driven rallies to trend continuation in the weeks following the Spring Festival [3][4]. Group 2: Sector Focus and Investment Opportunities - Brokerages recommend focusing on high-quality blue-chip stocks and low-volatility sectors before the festival, while suggesting a shift towards technology growth, small-cap stocks, and policy beneficiaries (such as TMT and consumer sectors) after the festival [6][7]. - The semiconductor and AI-related sectors are highlighted as key areas of interest, with expectations of continued performance due to favorable industry trends [4][8]. Group 3: Economic Indicators and Policy Impact - The upcoming Two Sessions are expected to catalyze policy changes that will positively impact market performance post-festival [4]. - The first two months of the year are typically a data vacuum period, but current trends indicate a positive outlook for performance improvements in various industries [4][5]. Group 4: Risks and Market Dynamics - While there are short-term risks such as overseas market fluctuations and sector rotation, these are viewed as temporary disturbances that are unlikely to alter the overall positive trend for February [5][6]. - The white liquor sector is anticipated to see a valuation recovery as consumer demand rebounds, supported by favorable policies and improving fundamentals [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - Lianrui New Materials (688300) has shown a positive performance with a stock price increase of 4.96% over the past week, closing at 62.8 yuan, and is set to release its 2025 annual report soon, indicating strong growth in key financial metrics [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 292.6 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.42% [2][4]. - Total operating revenue reached 1.115 billion yuan, marking a 16.15% increase compared to the previous year [3][4]. - Operating profit was reported at 335.5 million yuan, which is a 17.59% increase year-on-year [3]. - Total profit amounted to 334.2 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 16.79% [3]. - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were approximately 2.26 billion yuan, up 14.63% from the beginning of the period [3]. - Shareholders' equity attributable to the parent company increased by 13.13% to approximately 1.71 billion yuan [3]. - The company's share capital grew by 30% due to the conversion of capital reserves into share capital [3].

Core Viewpoint - The city of Yangjiang is experiencing significant growth in investment attraction, with a total of 124 signed projects and an investment amount of 756.32 billion yuan in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 103.4% [1][5]. Group 1: Investment Performance - In 2025, Yangjiang's total investment reached 190.5 billion yuan, ranking first in the regions of East, West, and North Guangdong [1]. - The city successfully attracted major projects, including those from industry leaders such as Baowu Clean Energy and Alibaba Cloud, contributing to a vibrant economic landscape [5][7]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The city has implemented a "1+4+X" collaborative combat model to enhance investment attraction, with top leadership directly involved in negotiations and project discussions [7]. - Yangjiang has received recognition from the provincial level, including a 5 million yuan investment promotion reward and accolades for its contributions to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [7]. Group 3: Industry Focus - The city is focusing on developing a modern industrial system centered around green energy, advanced materials, and equipment manufacturing, with four key industries projected to reach a scale of 100 billion yuan [10]. - A significant project in the aerospace basalt fiber non-metallic materials sector is expected to diversify the advanced materials industry and empower the marine economy and aerospace industry [6][7]. Group 4: Future Plans - Yangjiang plans to deepen enterprise engagement and target key projects while continuing to innovate its investment attraction strategies, including diversified approaches and industry chain recruitment [12].

Group 1 - The report highlights that most provinces in China have either maintained or lowered their economic growth targets for 2026, indicating a stable policy stance compared to 2025, with a focus on structural policies in sectors like artificial intelligence, service consumption, commercial aerospace, and robotics [3][12][13] - The current period is identified as the optimal entry point for the strongest seasonal construction market, with a significant probability of entering the first benign adjustment phase in the growth industry cycle [4][14] - The report suggests that representative stocks typically experience a maximum adjustment range of 15-30% during the first benign adjustment phase, with a pattern of "decline → rebound → decline" observed historically [15][17] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on stable and certain investment opportunities, particularly in sectors with regular construction opportunities, highlighting ten key sub-sectors and a portfolio of 18 advantageous stocks [29][30] - It notes that the AI industry chain remains a core focus for 2026, although it is currently entering the first benign adjustment phase, with expectations of a 15-20% adjustment in growth style [30][31] - The report indicates that traditional consumer goods and defensive dividend stocks are experiencing a short-term rotation, which aligns with historical patterns observed during the initial phase of benign adjustments [29][30]

Market Performance - The non-metal materials sector increased by 2.57% compared to the previous trading day, with Kuncai Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] Stock Performance - Kuncai Technology (603826) closed at 17.69, up 10.01% with a trading volume of 124,900 shares and a turnover of 214 million yuan [1] - Suotong Development (603612) closed at 30.58, up 4.51% with a trading volume of 525,100 shares [1] - Quartz Co. (603688) closed at 42.20, up 3.58% with a trading volume of 218,900 shares [1] - Other notable stocks include Qilu Huaxin (920832) with a slight increase of 0.66% and Power Diamond (301071) with a marginal increase of 0.17% [1] Capital Flow - The non-metal materials sector experienced a net outflow of 21.6042 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 165 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Kuncai Technology had a net inflow of 57.5842 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 42.4681 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Quartz Co. saw a net inflow of 51.9168 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a small net inflow of 787.64 thousand yuan [3] - Longgao Co. (605086) experienced a net outflow of 4.7573 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 794.53 thousand yuan from retail investors [3]