证 券 研 究 报 告 谁卷？谁赢？——反内卷行业比较 2025年7月8日 证券分析师：姚 佩 执业编号：S0360522120004 邮箱：yaopei@hcyjs.com 证券分析师：丁炎晨 执业编号：S0360523070005 邮箱：dingyanchen@hcyjs.com 本报告由华创证券有限责任公司编制 卖的出价或询价。本报告所载信息均为个人观点，并不构成对所涉及证券的个人投资建议。 请仔细阅读PPT后部分的分析师声明及免责声明。 @2021 华创 版权所有 谁卷？谁赢？——反内卷行业比较 证 券 研 究 报 告 ┃ 摘要 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）1210 号 2 • 7/1中央财经委会议聚焦供给侧优化和"反内卷"竞争，参考2015-2016年供给侧改革经验，后续相关产业有望出台具体方案。 • "反内卷"重点行业：高库存、高CAPEX、低产能利用率、价格水平低。从库存、CAPEX、产能利用率、价格水平4个角度筛选当前"内卷" 程度更高的行业，也是下半年政策发力的重点领域。周期：化工（化学制品、橡胶、非金属材料），有色（能源金属等），煤炭，钢铁（普钢、 冶钢原 ...

较强 趋势方向 主力成本分析 47.37 元 联瑞新材688300 时间: 2025年7月7日星期一 63.24分综合得分 当日主力成本 45.86 60日主力成本 周期内涨跌停 过去一年内该股 元 5日主力成本 44.12 元 20日主力成本 42.08 元 涨停 0次 跌停 0 次 北向资金数据 | 持股量62.72万股 | 占流通比0.33% | | --- | --- | | 昨日净买入6.67万股 | 昨日增仓比0.036% | | 5日增仓比0.011% | 20日增仓比0.012% | 技术面分析 46.55 短期压力位 44.70 短期支撑位 46.55 中期压力位 41.10 中期支撑位 股价突破短期压力位，短线有望走强； 股价突破中期压力位，中线有望走强 K线形态 ★跳空缺口★ 注意向上还是向下跳空，出现向上跳空缺口，并伴有较大的成交量时，可积极参与；若出现向下 跳空缺口，说明市况已发生逆转，原来的升势已经结束，继续下跌的可能性很大 ★长上影★ 表明行情上档压力沉重,升势受阻 2025年07月07日的资金流向数据方面 | 主力资金净流入4872.78万元 | | --- | | 占总成交额 ...

兄弟科技：上半年净利润同比预增325%–431.25% 7月4日，兄弟科技（002562）发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预计2025年上半年实现归属于上市公司股东 的净利润6000万元至7500万元，比上年同期增长325.00%-431.25%。 资料显示，兄弟科技成立于2001年3月，主营业务是维生素、香料、皮革化学品、铬盐、催化剂等精细 化学品以及特色原料药、制剂等医药系列产品的研发、生产和销售。 所属行业：基础化工–化学制品–食品及饲料添加剂 中钢洛耐：股东拟减持0.5%公司股份 7月4日，索通发展（603612）发布公告称，公司控股股东、实际控制人郎光辉及其一致行动人玄元私募 基金投资管理（广东）有限公司-玄元科新182号私募证券投资基金计划自公告披露之日起15个交易日后 的3个月内（2025年7月28日至2025年10月27日），通过集中竞价和大宗交易方式减持其所持有的公司股 份合计不超过1098.72万股，占公司股份总数的2.21%。 资料显示，索通发展成立于2003年8月，主营业务是预焙阳极、锂电池负极材料、薄膜电容器的研发、 生产及销售。 所属行业：基础化工–非金属材料Ⅱ–非金属材料Ⅲ 7月4 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index has recently surpassed the annual high set on March 18, 2025, and is approaching the high from October 8, 2024, indicating a significant market movement [1] - There is a noticeable divergence among various sectors, with banking, agriculture, personal care, military, chemical, transportation, and petrochemical industries showing a higher proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 closing prices [1] - Conversely, sectors such as steel, electronics, home appliances, telecommunications, computers, and electrical equipment have a lower proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 levels [1] Group 2 - In the secondary industry analysis, financial (banking, insurance, diversified finance), military (naval equipment, ground weaponry), agriculture (animal health, agricultural products, planting, feed), precious metals, personal care products, and chemical pharmaceuticals show a higher proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 closing prices [4] - Sectors like home appliances, electrical equipment, TMT (television broadcasting, communication services, consumer electronics, semiconductors, optical electronics), general steel, and machinery (engineering machinery, automation equipment) have a lower proportion of stocks exceeding their March 18, 2025 levels [4] - Comparing to the October 8, 2024 closing prices, banking, motorcycles, military (ground weaponry, aerospace equipment), chemicals (plastics, non-metallic materials), and new consumption (entertainment products, personal care products, retail, accessories) show a higher proportion of stocks exceeding their previous levels [4]

建龙微纳688357 元 当日主力成本 趋势方向 主力成本分析 28.06 元 时间: 2025年6月25日星期三 58.03分综合得分 较强 26.79 5日主力成本 26.47 元 20日主力成本 25.37 元 60日主力成本 周期内涨跌停 过去一年内该股 涨停 0次 24.60 跌停 0 次 技术面分析 27.05 短期压力位 25.89 短期支撑位 28.00 中期压力位 中期支撑位 股价突破短期压力位，短线有望走强； 股价突破中期压力位，中线有望走强 K线形态 ★跳空缺口★ 注意向上还是向下跳空，出现向上跳空缺口，并伴有较大的成交量时，可积极参与；若出现向下 跳空缺口，说明市况已发生逆转，原来的升势已经结束，继续下跌的可能性很大 资金流数据 2025年06月25日的资金流向数据方面 | 主力资金净流入245.45万元 | | --- | | 占总成交额2% | | 超大单净流入560.60万元 | | 大单净流出315.15万元 | | 散户资金净流入24.75万 | 关联行业/概念板块 非金属材料 1.41%、新材料 1.10%、核污染防治 1.68%、尾气治理 1.25%等 财务数据 最近的财 ...

智通财经APP获悉，方正证券发布研报称，预计中国建材(03323)2025-2027年营收分别为 1912.2/1993.3/2070.0亿元，分别同比+5.5%/+4.2%/+3.8%，归母净利润分别为41.2/48.9/54.8亿，分别同 比+72.4%/18.7%/12.1%，对应PE分别为6.7/5.7/5.1x，首次覆盖，给予"推荐"评级。 基础建材板块2024年贡献经营性净现金流占比超38%，为新材料投入提供稳定资金支撑;同时，战新产 业投资占比从2021年34.8%跃升至2024年61.9%，公司投资重心实现根本性转移。集团年均超百亿研发 投入叠加150亿元产业基金，持续加速新材料技术产业化进程。 基础建材：行业错峰协同深化，公司降本增效+出海提速，2025年盈利有望筑底回升 非金属材料央企龙头，多项业务规模冠绝全球 中国建材是国务院国资委直属的大型央企，公司2006年港股上市，2018年完成与中材股份的换股吸收合 并。2024年公司获国资委批准，主业定位调整为"非金属材料制造及相关资本投资"，标志公司战略重心 从传统建材向新材料等领域转型。公司现为国内最大的非金属材料产业平台，旗下拥有多家境内 ...

Group 1 - The core index, the CN Materials Composite Index, reported at 3281.67 points, with a 2.51% increase over the past month, 1.68% over the past three months, and a 6.63% year-to-date increase [1] - The index is designed to reflect the overall performance of different industry securities from Chinese mainland enterprises, classified according to the China Securities Index industry classification standards [1] - The top ten holdings of the CN Materials Composite Index include Zijin Mining (6.39%), Wanhua Chemical (2.21%), and others, indicating a concentration in specific companies [1] Group 2 - The market distribution of the CN Materials Composite Index shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 49.23%, Shenzhen Stock Exchange for 42.38%, and Hong Kong Stock Exchange for 7.82% [2] - In terms of industry composition, non-ferrous metals represent 41.47%, chemicals 37.94%, and other sectors such as non-metallic materials and steel also contribute to the index [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December, and can also be adjusted under special circumstances [3] - Adjustments to the index samples occur when there are changes in industry classification due to special events or when companies are delisted [3]

北交所策略专题报告 2025 年 05 月 25 日 北交所排队企业整体高质量，关注 2025 打新机会 北交所研究团队 ——北交所策略专题报告 诸海滨（分析师） zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080007 专题：北交所排队企业整体高质量，关注 2025 北交所打新机会 上市节奏角度来看，2024 年全年北交所共上市 23 只新股。截至 2025 年 5 月 23 日，2025 年 1-5 月北交所共上市 4 家企业。从发审会节奏上来看，随着申报企业 补充 2024 年报数据的结束，下周 2 家公司上会审核，未来节奏或有提升。从首 发募集资金角度的中签率来看，募集资金较高的企业申购中签率同样较高，2024 至今北交所合计上市 27 家企业中签率均值达 0.09%，但其中首发募集资金超过 2 个亿企业的平均中签率在 0.14%，首发募集低于 2 个亿企业的平均中签率在 0.06%。从当前北交所排队企业看利润体量整体有所较高，截至 2025 年 5 月 23 日，94 家排队中企业 2024 年归母净利润均值达 8967.02 万元，高于 266 家北交 所企业 2024 年归母 ...

Group 1 - The core index of the commodity sector, the China Securities Commodity Stock Index, closed at 4799.89 points with a trading volume of 31.653 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.03% [1] - Over the past month, the index has risen by 1.75%, by 0.02% over the last three months, and by 0.82% year-to-date [1] - The index is composed of the top 100 commodity-related listed companies selected from the China Securities 800 Index, reflecting the overall performance of commodity securities [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (1.58%), Kaisa Biological (1.36%), and Yara International (1.33%) among others [1] - The index's holdings are primarily from the Shanghai Stock Exchange (54.56%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (45.44%) [1] - In terms of industry composition, non-ferrous metals account for 35.02%, chemicals for 20.58%, and energy for 17.67% of the index [2] Group 3 - The index is adjusted semi-annually, with sample adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - The weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with a maximum sample adjustment ratio of 10% [2] - Public funds tracking commodities include the China Merchants China Securities Commodity Fund [3]

Group 1: Company Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 11.36 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.43% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 2.83 billion yuan, up 11.82% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 2.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.71% [5] - The newly launched game "Wanjian Changsheng" contributed significantly to revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue of 3.63 billion yuan [6] Group 2: Industry Trends - The eye care industry is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with the company managing to maintain revenue growth despite external challenges, achieving a revenue of 60 billion yuan in Q1 2025, up 16% year-on-year [8][9] - The company is expanding its international presence, with significant revenue contributions from Europe and Southeast Asia, achieving a total revenue of 210 billion yuan in 2024 [10] - The chemical industry is seeing a substantial increase in revenue, with the company reporting a revenue of 8.59 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 91.68% [12][15] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 0.67 billion yuan in Q1 2025, which is a 10.46% increase year-on-year and a remarkable 902.93% increase quarter-on-quarter [12][15] - The net profit margin for the company improved significantly, with a sales net profit margin of 10.80% in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.1 percentage points [12] - The company is expected to see continued revenue growth, with projected revenues of 41.27 billion yuan, 48.48 billion yuan, and 55.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [17]