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国泰海通|策略:城市更新重存量,重大工程拓增量
Core Insights - The article highlights a resurgence in thematic trading, with optical communication and innovative pharmaceuticals leading the charge, while traditional sectors are expected to show price elasticity under significant policy or event catalysts [1] Thematic Summaries Theme 1: Urban Renewal - The Central Urban Work Conference emphasizes urban renewal as a key strategy for building modern, livable cities, with urbanization rates projected to rise from 53.1% in 2012 to 67% by 2024, increasing urban population from 720 million to 940 million [2] - Recommendations include investments in water and electricity infrastructure benefiting from the renovation of old neighborhoods and smart city developments [2] Theme 2: Yarlung Tsangpo Hydropower - The Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower project has officially commenced, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, aiming to construct five tiered power stations [3] - The project is expected to stimulate investments in regional engineering, transportation, and power industries [3] Theme 3: Production Limits and Price Stabilization - The State Council is taking measures to regulate competition in the new energy vehicle sector and address low-price disorder in the photovoltaic industry, which is expected to stabilize price expectations in cyclical industries like steel, chemicals, and pig farming [4] - Recommendations focus on new energy vehicles and photovoltaic supply chains facing low-price competition, as well as cyclical industries benefiting from supply-side improvements [4] Theme 4: AI New Infrastructure - Nvidia's founder Huang Renxun's visit to China and the approval of H20 chip exports signal positive developments in the chip trade between China and the US, potentially accelerating capital expenditures in domestic internet companies [4] - Recommendations include investments in optical modules and domestic computing power supply chains benefiting from increased demand [4]