PayPal is taking over a stake in German digital commerce company Shopware from a Carlyle fund, according to sources https://t.co/T759UT3CLK ...

Market Overview - U.S. equities experienced a significant rebound on October 13, 2025, recovering from substantial losses due to improved investor sentiment following President Trump's softened trade rhetoric towards China [1][3] - Major U.S. stock indexes, including the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, all posted robust gains in afternoon trading, with the S&P 500 up 1.6%, Nasdaq up 2.1%, and Dow up 1.3% [2] Sector Performance - The technology sector led the market recovery, with the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) showing significant gains, while other sectors such as Materials (XLB), Energy (XLE), Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Communication Services (XLC), Financial (XLF), and Industrial (XLI) also registered advances [4] - The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) was the only sector in negative territory, down approximately 0.22%, as investors shifted towards more cyclical sectors [5] Upcoming Market Events - The U.S. earnings season is set to begin, with major banks like JPMorgan Chase scheduled to report quarterly results, alongside other notable companies such as Johnson & Johnson and United Airlines [6] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown is delaying the release of key economic data, including inflation figures and retail sales data, which could introduce uncertainty for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions [7] Corporate Developments - Broadcom shares surged approximately 10% following a collaboration announcement with OpenAI to design custom AI accelerators, highlighting strong investor interest in the AI sector [12] - Other chipmakers, including Advanced Micro Devices and Micron Technology, also saw gains of 3.4% and 4.9% respectively, while Nvidia gained close to 3% [12] - Fastenal shares fell between 4.8% and 6.4% after reporting third-quarter profits that narrowly missed analysts' expectations [12] - HCL Technologies is set to announce its Q2 FY26 results, with investors focused on management's commentary regarding deal pipelines and demand outlook [12] - Avenue Supermarts reported a steady Q2 FY26 performance, with a nearly 4% year-on-year increase in consolidated net profit and a 15.5% rise in revenue [12] - Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited announced a strategic partnership with Reliance BP Mobility Ltd to expand its city gas distribution and compressed natural gas network [12]

Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve announced its first rate cut of 2025, lowering the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4% to 4.25%, indicating a shift in monetary policy amidst inflation risks and slowing employment [3][7]. - Chair Jerome Powell described the current economic environment as a "challenging situation," highlighting persistent inflation risks and rising downside risks to employment [3][7]. - The FOMC confirmed its intention to continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt, with one governor dissenting for a more aggressive 50 basis point cut [3]. Deutsche Bank Lending Rate Adjustment - Deutsche Bank announced a reduction in its prime lending rate by 0.25 percentage points to 7.25%, effective September 18, 2025, impacting its U.S. operations [4][7]. Puma Takeover Speculation - Puma's shares surged by as much as 16.7% due to reports of a potential takeover bid from private equity firm CVC Capital Partners and Authentic Brands Group, targeting the 29% stake held by the Pinault family's holding company, Artemis [5][7]. - Sources indicated that Artemis is willing to sell their stake at approximately 40 euros per share [5]. Google and PayPal Partnership - Google (Alphabet) and PayPal announced a multiyear strategic partnership aimed at advancing digital commerce solutions, focusing on AI-powered shopping experiences [6][7]. - PayPal's payment solutions will be more deeply integrated across various Google platforms, including Google Cloud, Google Ads, and Google Play [6][8]. Mexican Government Debt Issuance - The Mexican government issued $13.8 billion in new debt to strengthen the financial position of state-owned oil company Pemex, following a $12 billion bond buyback [9]. - The issuance included 5 billion euros in bonds and $8 billion in dollar bonds, with total demand reaching an equivalent of $50.6 billion [9].

Core Insights - The focus on steady earnings growth is essential for assessing a company's profitability, but rapid earnings growth can significantly drive stock prices higher [1] - Research indicates that stocks with accelerating earnings often see their prices increase subsequently [1] Earnings Acceleration - Earnings acceleration refers to the incremental growth in a company's earnings per share (EPS), characterized by an increase in quarter-over-quarter earnings growth rates [3] - This metric helps identify stocks that have not yet attracted investor attention, potentially leading to a price rally once recognized [4] Screening Parameters - The screening process involves identifying stocks where the last two quarter-over-quarter EPS growth rates exceed previous periods' growth rates, with projected EPS growth rates for the upcoming quarter expected to surpass prior periods [6][7][8] - Additional criteria include a current price of at least $5 and an average 20-day trading volume of 50,000 or more to ensure adequate liquidity [8] Identified Stocks - The screening narrowed down to three stocks: Yext, Agenus, and NCR Voyix, all showing strong earnings acceleration [9] - NCR Voyix leads with an expected EPS growth rate of 152.7%, followed by Agenus at 114.7% and Yext at 37.1% for the current year [9] Company Profiles - **Yext**: Provides a platform for consumer inquiries globally, with an expected earnings growth rate of 37.1% [10] - **Agenus**: A biotechnology firm focused on developing immune therapies for cancer and infections, with an expected earnings growth rate of 114.7% [11] - **NCR Voyix**: Offers digital commerce solutions for retail and dining, with an expected earnings growth rate of 152.7% [12]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating that the stock price is expected to outperform the benchmark by more than 15% [8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.745 billion RMB in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.11%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.010 billion RMB, a slight increase of 0.59% [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed significant improvement, with a revenue of 1.896 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.92%, and a net profit of 311 million RMB, up 25.16% year-on-year [1]. - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the internationalization of the RMB and the complexities of global trade, with a focus on comprehensive payment solutions [1]. - The overseas performance in 2024 was strong, with international revenue reaching 2.674 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, accounting for 34.52% of total revenue [1]. - The company is leveraging AI technology in its payment solutions, enhancing its product offerings and operational efficiency [1]. Financial Summary - The total revenue for 2023 was 8.250 billion RMB, with a projected increase to 8.500 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 9.7% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 1.010 billion RMB in 2024 to 1.227 billion RMB in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 21.5% [2]. - The gross margin is projected to improve from 36.5% in 2024 to 37.2% in 2025 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.98 RMB in 2024 to 1.19 RMB in 2025, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 27.31 and 22.47 respectively [2].