Workflow
Predictive Markets
icon
Search documents
为何不满三十岁的白手起家亿万富豪集中涌现?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 09:35
在人工智能、预测市场和网络博彩行业的助推下,全球三十岁以下白手起家亿万富豪的数量创下历史新高,达到13人,远超此前7人的纪录。 从左至右:Alexandr Wang、布兰登·富迪、卢安娜·洛佩斯·拉拉。图片来源:Ethan Pines for Forbes; Cody Pickens for Forbes; Alexander Karnyukhin for Forbes 原文标题:《为何突然间涌现出这么多未满三十岁的白手起家亿万富豪?》 10月7日,纽约证券交易所母公司洲际交易所向预测市场平台Polymarket注资20亿美元,推动该平台估值飙升至90亿美元,27岁的创始人夏恩·科普兰由此 成为全球最年轻的白手起家亿万富豪。然而,他的这一头衔仅保持了20天,就被人工智能初创企业Mercor的三位联合创始人夺去。三个年轻人均为22岁, 是史上最年轻的白手起家亿万富豪,比17年前23岁就跻身亿万富豪行列的马克·扎克伯格还要早一年。 "这一切简直太疯狂了,"Mercor的富迪10月接受《福布斯》采访时表示,"感觉很不真实。两年前,我们无论如何也想不到会有今天的成绩。" 随后在11月至12月的短短一段时间里,又有七位 ...
万物皆可赌?“预测市场”Kalshi推出“Labubu”预测合约,押注热门运动鞋和收藏品的转售价格
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-20 06:18
Core Insights - Kalshi is expanding its business from political elections and sports events to the consumer goods sector, indicating a shift towards mainstream acceptance in the prediction market industry [1] - The company has partnered with StockX to launch event contracts based on resale prices of popular sneakers, trading cards, and collectible toys, allowing users to bet on whether certain products will exceed specific price thresholds [1][2] - This new business category targets the growing alternative asset market, including limited edition sneakers and trendy collectibles, which often resell for multiples of their retail prices [1][3] Event Contracts Covering Diverse Consumer Goods - Under the partnership, Kalshi will utilize StockX's data to create event contracts covering sneakers, trading cards, and collectibles, starting with high-demand products from major brands [2] - Initial contracts will include anticipated releases like Jordan sneakers, Supreme hoodies, and Labubu blind boxes, with trading on average resale prices beginning in November and December [2] - StockX's CEO highlighted this development as a natural evolution of a platform built on stock market mechanisms [2] Targeting the "Everything Exchange" Goal - Kalshi aims to create a "marketplace for everything," focusing on deep, liquid, and high-volume markets, aligning with the recent growth trends in alternative asset categories [3] - The expansion into sneakers and collectibles reflects the increasing interest in these markets, where resale prices can significantly exceed retail prices [3] Regulatory Uncertainty Persists - Despite the progress towards mainstream acceptance, the prediction market industry operates in a gray area between financial trading and gambling, facing regulatory uncertainties [4] - Kalshi's previous legal victory against U.S. regulators has led to explosive growth in the industry, with Kalshi and competitors like Polymarket Exchange actively seeking funding for expansion [4]