Company Overview - Stack Capital Group Inc. reported its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, with all amounts in Canadian Dollars [1] - The Company aims to invest in growth-to-late-stage private businesses, providing shareholders with exposure to a diversified private investment portfolio [7] Financial Performance - As of June 30, 2025, the Book Value of the Company was $157.6 million, and the Book Value per Share was $14.34, an increase from $12.06 as of March 31, 2025 [3][5] - The Company marked up its investment in CoreWeave by US$25.7 million, reflecting a closing price of US$163.06 [5] - An additional US$3 million was invested in SpaceX during Q2-2025, with SpaceX's valuation increasing from US$350 billion to US$400 billion post-quarter [5] Investment Portfolio - The breakdown of Book Value per Share as of June 30, 2025, includes significant investments in various companies: - CoreWeave, Inc. (AI hyper-scaler): $4.25 - SpaceX: $2.47 - Locus Robotics, Inc. (autonomous robots): $1.26 - Canva, Inc. (graphic design): $1.23 - Omio, Inc. (travel & leisure): $1.05 - Hopper, Inc. (travel & leisure): $1.03 - Newfront Insurance, Inc. (insurance & benefits): $1.02 - Prove Identity, Inc. (cyber-security): $0.98 - Bolt Financial, Inc. (e-commerce): $0.48 - Shield AI, Inc. (military defense): $0.39 - Varo Money, Inc. (neo-banking): $0.13 - Cash: $0.50 - Net other assets: $(0.45) [4] Market Environment - The CEO of Stack Capital noted a robust IPO environment and strong momentum in private markets, particularly among disruptive companies in AI, LLMs, and robotics [3] - The Company remains focused on backing category-leading businesses that can deliver long-term value for shareholders [3]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL) driven by higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected on July 23, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.67, reflecting a +9.9% year-over-year change, and revenues projected at $1.01 billion, up 2.6% from the previous year [3][2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.12% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Travel Leisure Co. is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.21%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Travel Leisure Co. exceeded the expected EPS of $1.1 by delivering $1.11, resulting in a +0.91% surprise [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While the company may not be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Consumer sentiment toward the economy and household finances has stabilized amid ongoing tariff concerns, with inflation remaining the primary concern for consumers [1][7] - The report indicates a slight decline in consumer confidence regarding the economic outlook, with 37% expecting improvement and 47% anticipating deterioration, resulting in a NET score of -10% [7][61] - Concerns over tariffs remain elevated but stable, with 39% of consumers very concerned, down from 43% in April [7][14] - The spending outlook remains stable, with 32% of consumers planning to spend more in the next month, yielding a NET of +15% [19][84] - Travel intentions are strong, with approximately 60% of consumers planning to travel in the next six months, reflecting optimism in leisure travel [117] Consumer Sentiment - Inflation is the top concern for consumers at 57%, down from 59% last month, while political concerns have risen to 43% [8][37] - Geopolitical conflict concerns increased to 31% this month from 21% last month [7][8] - Low-income consumers are more worried about paying rent/mortgage and debts, while upper-income consumers focus on investment concerns [9][42] Macro Outlook - Consumer confidence in the U.S. economy is slightly down, with 37% expecting improvement and 47% expecting deterioration, leading to a NET score of -10% [61][71] - The outlook for household finances remains positive, with 43% expecting improvement and a NET score of +16% [64][70] Tariff Impact - 39% of consumers report being very concerned about tariffs, with 33% planning to cut back on spending in response [14][19] - The level of concern about tariffs varies significantly by political affiliation, with 63% of liberals very concerned compared to 23% of conservatives [14][50] Spending Intentions - The short-term spending outlook is stable, with 32% of consumers expecting to spend more next month, yielding a NET of +15% [84][88] - 30% of consumers reported making a major purchase in the past three months, with 58% planning a major purchase in the next three months [97][98] Travel Intentions - Approximately 60% of consumers plan to travel in the next six months, with visiting friends and family being the most common reason [117][119]

Macau Gaming Revenue Resurgence - Macau's gambling sector is experiencing a post-pandemic recovery, with June gross gaming revenue showing a 19% year-over-year improvement [1] - June gambling revenue reached $26 billion [2] - Gaming revenue jump may be a result of promotional spending [3] - Macau has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, making future earnings reports crucial for insight [4] Stock Market Impact - Casino stocks with Macau exposure are rising, including Wind (up 8%), Las Vegas Sands (up 8%), Melco (up 11%), and MGM Resorts (up 6%) [2] - Melco has seen gains of 52% over the last 3 months [3] Diversification Efforts - Macau is attempting to diversify its economy beyond gambling, focusing on shows and events like NBA exhibition games [5][6] - The success of attracting non-gambling spending is yet to be determined [6] Economic Factors - The Chinese macro backdrop remains a key consideration for Macau casinos [4] - There can be a divergence between the Chinese economy and gambling activity in Macau, as it is fueled by serious gamblers [5]

Carnival Corporation beat fiscal second-quarter profit and sales forecasts, and increased its outlook on more passengers and lower costs. https://t.co/uHiBkb9zFn ...

Group 1 - Huawei officially launched its Harmony OS computers, with the first foldable model priced at 23,999 yuan and the MateBook Pro starting at 7,999 yuan, marking a significant expansion into the desktop ecosystem [1] - The Harmony OS 5 aims to deepen the integration between mobile and desktop environments, showcasing a foldable design with an 18-inch display that folds to 13 inches, weighing only 1.16 kg [1] Group 2 - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange reported a positive trend in foreign investment in RMB assets, with foreign investors increasing their holdings of domestic bonds by 10.9 billion USD in April [2] - In late April, foreign investment in domestic stocks turned into net purchases, indicating a growing confidence in the Chinese market [2][3] Group 3 - Xinhua Insurance has been approved to participate in the third batch of long-term investment reform pilot programs, planning to establish the Honghu Fund Phase III, which has received regulatory approval [4] - This marks the third consecutive phase of the Honghu Fund initiated by Xinhua Insurance, reflecting a commitment to long-term investment strategies [4] Group 4 - Despite triggering "serious abnormal fluctuations," Chengfei Integration has seen its stock price rise for nine consecutive trading days, with a cumulative increase of 135.8% since May 7 [6] - The company has a low revenue contribution from its core aviation parts business, indicating that its recent stock performance may be driven more by market speculation than fundamental business strength [6][7] Group 5 - At least six rare earth material companies have received export licenses from the Ministry of Commerce, amid ongoing export control measures on certain rare earth elements [7] - The supply of rare earths may face short-term reductions due to various factors, although industry experts predict that prices will not experience significant fluctuations this year [7] Group 6 - The U.S. stock market experienced a collective decline, with major indices falling due to Moody's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating, impacting technology stocks significantly [8] - Notable declines were observed in major tech stocks, with Tesla dropping over 3% and other companies like Nvidia and TSMC also experiencing losses [8] Group 7 - The UK is expected to agree to restart trade and defense cooperation with the EU, marking a significant shift in relations since Brexit [9] - This move aims to boost economic growth and enhance security in the European region [9] Group 8 - The U.S. Congress is reviewing President Trump's comprehensive tax reduction bill, which has passed a key committee, but still faces challenges ahead [10][11] - The House Rules Committee is set to review the bill, with a potential vote expected later in the week [11][12] Group 9 - Ctrip's report indicates a strong recovery in the tourism sector for the upcoming Dragon Boat Festival, with domestic and inbound travel showing significant growth [14] - The report highlights a 100% increase in hotel search interest for inbound travel, suggesting a robust rebound in the tourism industry [14]

Core Viewpoint - Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation (VAC) reported first-quarter 2025 results with earnings exceeding expectations while revenues fell short, leading to an 8.1% increase in share price after hours due to a positive earnings outlook for 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 2025 were $1.66, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.56 by 6.4%, but down from $1.80 in the same quarter last year [2]. - Quarterly revenues reached $1.2 billion, missing the consensus estimate of $1.22 billion by 1.9%, but reflecting a year-over-year increase of 0.4% [2]. Segmental Performance - The Vacation Ownership segment generated revenues of $757 million, up from $730 million in the prior-year quarter [3]. - Total contract sales in the Vacation Ownership segment fell 2% year over year to $420 million, primarily due to a lower volume per guest, with first-time buyers contributing to the decline [4]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the Vacation Ownership segment was $221 million, a 4% increase from $213 million in the previous year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.2%, unchanged year over year [5]. - The Exchange & Third-Party Management segment saw revenues decline 9% year over year to $56 million [5]. Membership and Revenue Metrics - Total active interval international members decreased by 2% year over year to 1.54 million, with average revenue per member declining 4% to $39.94 [6]. - Adjusted EBITDA for this segment was $28 million, down 13% year over year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin contracting by 230 basis points to 49% [6]. Corporate Results - General and administrative expenses for Q1 totaled $61 million, down from $63 million in the prior-year quarter [7]. - Total expenses increased by 1.2% year over year to $1.07 billion [7]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the company was $192 million, up 3% from $187 million in the previous year [7]. Balance Sheet - As of March 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $196 million, slightly down from $197 million at the end of 2024 [8]. - The company had $3 billion in corporate debt and $2 billion in non-recourse debt related to securitized notes receivable [9]. 2025 Outlook - Management revised the contract sales expectation for 2025 to a range of $1.74-$1.83 billion, down from the previous estimate of $1.85-$1.925 billion [10]. - Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $750 million and $780 million, with adjusted income anticipated in the range of $250 to $280 million [10]. - Adjusted EPS is projected to be between $6.40 and $7.10, an increase from the prior expectation of $6.30 and $7.00 [10]. - Adjusted free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $270-$330 million, down from the previous estimate of $290-$350 million [11].