27 Jun 2025 17:07:58 ET │ 26 pages V i e w p o i n t | US Economics Weekly Summer of dove CITI'S TAKE Our base case for rate cuts to resume in September appears to have rapidly become the Fed official consensus. Two-year Treasury yields declined to reflect the likely upcoming cuts. We project the unemployment rate to rise from 4.2% to 4.4% next week, following continuing jobless claims higher. A sharper weakening in the job market (4.5% unemployment) could lead officials to bring forward the next cut to Jul ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in tourism and consumption during the "May Day" holiday, with a 30% year-on-year growth in cultural and tourism orders compared to 2023, marking the highest level in three years [1] - The top ten popular destinations in China during the holiday included cities like Nanjing, Xi'an, Chengdu, and Beijing, with a remarkable 189% increase in online dining transactions contributed by non-local tourists [1] - The "post-95" generation accounted for 45% of cultural and tourism orders, indicating a strong demand for personalized and in-depth travel experiences [3] Group 2 - In Hunan province, the service consumption scale for food, drink, and entertainment grew by over 30% year-on-year, with a nearly 80% increase compared to the week before the holiday [5] - County tourism has emerged as a new choice for the "post-00" generation, with Newhua County ranking among the top ten county destinations nationwide, and several counties in Hunan experiencing rapid growth in cultural tourism [5] - The night economy significantly boosted Hunan's tourism during the holiday, with a nearly 130% increase in night economy consumption [7]