《暗黑破坏神 IV》
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网易-S(09999):经典游戏表现亮眼,后续储备丰富有望贡献增量
CMS· 2025-11-25 06:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.4 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing an 8.2% year-on-year increase, with a gross profit of 18.2 billion yuan, up 10.3% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.6 billion yuan, which is a 31.8% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The company has a strong cash position with net cash of 153.2 billion yuan and operating cash flow of 12.9 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a 21.7% year-on-year growth [1]. - The classic games segment performed well, contributing to a revenue of 23.3 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, driven by self-developed games and several agency games [6][8]. - The company has a rich pipeline of upcoming games, including titles that have already gained traction in both domestic and international markets [6][8]. - The report anticipates that the company's net profit attributable to shareholders will reach 35.1 billion yuan, 38.5 billion yuan, and 42.5 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6][8]. Financial Data and Valuation - The total revenue forecast for the company is projected to grow from 103.5 billion yuan in 2023 to 130.1 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7% [2][9]. - The net profit is expected to grow from 29.4 billion yuan in 2023 to 42.5 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 10% [2][9]. - The report highlights a decrease in the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio from 20.6 in 2023 to 14.2 in 2027, indicating an attractive valuation over the forecast period [2][9]. Shareholder Information - The company has a total share capital of 3.168 billion shares, with a market capitalization of 67.35 billion Hong Kong dollars [3][6]. - The major shareholder, Shining Globe International Limited, holds a 45.17% stake in the company [3].
网易-S(09999):——(9999.HK)2025Q3财报点评:网易-S(09999):游戏长线运营能力突出,递延收入高增为后续业绩释放奠定基础
Guohai Securities· 2025-11-23 07:02
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][9] Core Insights - The company demonstrates strong long-term operational capabilities in the gaming sector, with a significant increase in deferred revenue laying a solid foundation for future performance releases [2][6] - The Q3 2025 financial results show revenue of 28.359 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is 8.616 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.2% [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 28.359 billion yuan (YoY +8.2%, QoQ +1.7%) and a net profit of 8.616 billion yuan (YoY +31.8%, QoQ +0.2%). The non-GAAP net profit was 9.502 billion yuan (YoY +26.7%, QoQ -0.3%) [5][6] - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin improved to 64.1% (YoY +2.0 percentage points, QoQ -1.0 percentage points) [6] - **Expense Ratios**: The sales expense ratio was 15.7% (YoY +8.3 percentage points, QoQ +22.5 percentage points), R&D expense ratio was 16.0% (YoY -5.1 percentage points, QoQ +2.5 percentage points), and management expense ratio was 4.1% (YoY -2.2 percentage points, QoQ +8.4 percentage points) [6] Business Segment Performance - **Gaming Business**: The gaming and value-added services generated revenue of 22.3 billion yuan (YoY +11.8%, QoQ +2.3%). The gaming sector shows strong resilience and growth momentum, with classic IPs performing well [6] - **Youdao**: In Q3 2025, Youdao achieved revenue of 1.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9% [6] - **NetEase Cloud Music**: Revenue for Q3 2025 was 2 billion yuan (YoY -1.8%, QoQ flat). The introduction of AI features has enhanced user experience significantly [6] - **Innovative and Other Businesses**: Revenue decreased to 1.4 billion yuan (YoY -18.9%, QoQ -15.3%). The company is focusing on brand rejuvenation and leveraging AI technology [6] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 114.8 billion yuan, 126.5 billion yuan, and 136.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. Adjusted net profits are expected to be 39.1 billion yuan, 44.1 billion yuan, and 49.1 billion yuan for the same years [8][9] - The target price for 2026 is set at 265 HKD, maintaining the "Accumulate" rating [6][9]