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长青游戏20250914
2025-09-15 01:49
Summary of Evergreen Games Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference focuses on the evergreen games sector, highlighting the potential for significant revenue growth through effective operations, as demonstrated by Tencent's Supercell game "Clash Royale," which achieved $140 million in revenue in Q2 2025, a 90% quarter-over-quarter increase and over 40% year-over-year growth [2][3] - Companies with evergreen game potential typically possess high Daily Active Users (DAU) and social gameplay attributes, or own classic native IPs that can be continuously iterated and updated, particularly in SLG (Simulation and Strategy Games) and MMO (Massively Multiplayer Online) genres, which have high player sunk costs and stronger user retention [2][5] Key Insights and Arguments - Evergreen game companies generally have valuations above the industry average, with companies like Nintendo, Take-Two, and Nexon showing strong forward Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios, indicating high market expectations for future earnings [2][6] - As of early 2025, Nintendo's forward PE was 36, TikTok's was 27, and Nexon's was 26, averaging 26, which is higher than the average valuation of the A-share and Hong Kong game sectors, which is below 20 [7] - The operational methodology for evergreen games includes simple content updates, seasonal updates, and continuous iteration of core gameplay and monetization strategies, creating a platform that encourages ongoing player engagement and spending [9][10] Company-Specific Strategies - Tencent's strategy for 2025 emphasizes the operation of headlining games while adjusting its organizational structure to enhance producer incentives, focusing on long-term development and middle-tier games like "Crossfire" and "League of Legends" [4][11] - Nintendo aims to maintain user engagement by expanding gameplay on its platforms, creating "infinite" products that encourage continuous player interaction and consumption [12][13] - Tencent's overseas game revenue accounts for approximately 30%, with Supercell, Riot Games, and Miniclip being significant contributors [14] Potential Companies for Evergreen Games - Companies with successful evergreen game potential typically have large DAU advantages and social gameplay attributes, such as Tencent and Giant Network's new title "Supernatural Action Team" [5] - Companies with classic native IPs that can be continuously updated, like Nintendo with its Mario and Pokémon franchises, and Nexon with its Dungeon Fighter Online (DNF) IP, also show strong potential [5][29] - SLG and MMO games are identified as having longer lifecycle potential due to their inherent player engagement characteristics [30] Valuation Insights - Evergreen game companies are generally valued significantly higher than the industry average, with stable and continuous revenue growth being a key factor supporting these high valuations [6] - The report highlights the importance of maintaining a balance between hardware and software revenue, with Nintendo's software revenue becoming a more significant contributor as hardware sales plateaued [18][19] Conclusion - The evergreen games sector is characterized by companies that can maintain player engagement through continuous updates and strong IPs, leading to sustained revenue growth and higher valuations compared to the broader gaming industry. The strategies employed by leading companies like Tencent and Nintendo serve as benchmarks for success in this evolving market.