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一文拆解金星啤酒招股书:“金”酿升级,成长新“星”
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-29 11:25
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry positively, highlighting the growth potential of the craft beer segment and the leading position of the company in this market. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in the Chinese craft beer market, benefiting from the expansion of the craft beer segment and innovative product offerings. It has shown significant revenue and profit growth, with a retail revenue CAGR of 23.7% from 2022 to 2024, and a remarkable increase in net profit by 928% year-on-year in 2024 [9][20]. Company Overview - The company, established in 1982, has evolved into a leading brand in the Chinese craft beer sector, with a diverse product portfolio that includes lager and wheat beers, as well as innovative tea-flavored craft beers [9][10]. - As of Q1-Q3 2025, the company ranked eighth in the Chinese beer industry and fifth among domestic brands, while being the third largest craft beer company in China [9]. Financial Performance - Revenue increased from 3.56 billion to 7.3 billion yuan from 2023 to 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 104.87%. For Q1-Q3 2025, revenue further surged to 11.1 billion yuan, marking a 191.16% increase year-on-year [20][23]. - Net profit rose from 0.12 billion to 1.25 billion yuan during the same period, with a staggering year-on-year growth of 1095.84% in Q1-Q3 2025, reaching 3.05 billion yuan [20][23]. Business Performance - The company focuses on the craft beer segment, with a product matrix that includes traditional and innovative offerings. The craft beer segment accounted for 78.1% of total revenue in Q1-Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 2331.97% [38][42]. - Traditional beer categories, such as the 1982 raw beer and new generation beer, have shown declining performance, indicating a shift in consumer preference towards craft beers [42]. Distribution Channels - The company primarily relies on offline distribution, which accounted for 81% of total revenue in 2024. The online direct sales channel has also seen significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 2172.17% in 2024 [49]. - The company has expanded its distribution network across various regions, with a focus on increasing its presence in the central and southern regions of China [49]. Future Strategy - The company plans to diversify its product offerings under the "Blue Horse" brand, introducing new products such as rice wine and non-alcoholic tea beer to capture a broader market [71]. - Marketing efforts will focus on enhancing brand visibility through collaborations with influencers and targeted campaigns on social media platforms [71]. Industry Situation - The overall beer market in China is expanding, with a projected market size growth from 604.3 billion yuan in 2019 to 734.7 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 4.0% [77]. - The craft beer segment is experiencing rapid growth, with a CAGR of 38.4% from 2019 to 2024, indicating a strong consumer shift towards premium and innovative beer products [77][78].