Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector in Hong Kong is experiencing significant volatility, particularly with the stock price of SMIC (00981) facing intense fluctuations around the 75 HKD mark, indicating a unique trading opportunity for short-term traders [1] Technical Analysis - SMIC is currently at a critical point in a triangular consolidation pattern, oscillating between 71 HKD and 79.5 HKD, with a mid-term support level lowered to 65.6 HKD and a resistance level at 85.6 HKD [1] - The moving average system shows a tangled state, with the stock price barely above the MA10 at 74 HKD but still below the MA30 at 77.7 HKD, suggesting that the mid-term trend has not fully strengthened [1] - Notably, the momentum oscillation indicator has issued a "potential bottom formation" buy signal, contrasting with the sell signal from the MACD, reflecting market divergence regarding SMIC's outlook [1] Derivative Products - Investors anticipating a breakthrough for SMIC should consider the Bank of China call warrant (18977) with a strike price of 88.88 HKD, offering a leverage of 5.3 times and a relatively reasonable premium [6] - The BNP Paribas call warrant (19088) is also noteworthy, with a strike price of 88.93 HKD and a leverage of 6.3 times, featuring the lowest premium among similar products [6] Bull and Bear Certificates - For bullish investors, the UBS bull certificate (60513) is recommended, with a redemption price set at 63 HKD and an actual leverage of 5.4 times, having the lowest premium among similar products [11] - HSBC's bull certificate (60800) offers a leverage of 5.1 times with a redemption price of 62 HKD, providing a competitive advantage in leverage [11] - For bearish investors, HSBC's bear certificate (60096) has a redemption price of 88 HKD and an actual leverage of 6.1 times, while UBS's bear certificate (59839) also has a redemption price of 88 HKD but offers a higher leverage of 6.5 times [11] Investor Strategy - Investors are encouraged to consider whether to position themselves with bull certificates at the lower end of the range or wait for a clear breakout signal before entering call warrants [14] - Key factors that may catalyze SMIC's breakthrough from the current consolidation range are open for discussion among investors [14]