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康龙化成(300759):业绩符合预期,新签订单呈现加速趋势、略微上修25年收入指引
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-12 14:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2025 met market expectations, with a significant acceleration in new orders. The revenue for Q1-Q3 2025 reached 10.086 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.38%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.141 billion yuan, a decrease of 19.76% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company expects a revenue growth guidance of 12% to 16% for 2025, supported by a strong order growth trend and ongoing cost reduction efforts [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.645 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.4%, and an adjusted profit of 471 million yuan, up 12.9% year-on-year. The new orders for Q1-Q3 2025 grew by over 13% year-on-year, showing an acceleration compared to the 10% growth in H1 2025 [2][3]. - The laboratory services segment generated 2.11 billion yuan in revenue in Q3 2025, growing 14.3% year-on-year, while the CMC business reported 900 million yuan, up 12.7% year-on-year [3]. Client Contributions - The top 20 global pharmaceutical clients contributed 616 million yuan in revenue in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.19%, indicating strong performance resilience [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from a global economic recovery, with adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 slightly modified to 13.995 billion yuan, 16.183 billion yuan, and 18.877 billion yuan respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) estimates were adjusted to 0.88 yuan, 1.10 yuan, and 1.38 yuan for the same period [4][10].
康龙化成(300759):收入符合市场预期,未来业绩有望逐渐呈现环比改善
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-29 15:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue of 3.099 billion yuan represents a year-on-year growth of 16.03%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 306 million yuan, up 32.54% year-on-year [1][2]. - The report indicates that the company's revenue is in line with market expectations, and future performance is expected to show gradual quarter-on-quarter improvement [2]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 14.077 billion yuan, 16.473 billion yuan, and 19.528 billion yuan, respectively [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the laboratory business generated 1.857 billion yuan in revenue, a 15.7% increase year-on-year, while the CMC business saw revenue of 693 million yuan, up 19.1% [2]. - The adjusted net profit for Q1 2025 was 349 million yuan, reflecting a 3.14% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margins for the laboratory and CMC businesses improved to 45.54% and 30.44%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 140 basis points and 254 basis points [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a continued upward trend in performance, supported by a rapid increase in new orders, which grew over 10% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [2]. - The company maintains its revenue guidance for 2025 at a growth rate of 10% to 15% [2]. Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.98 yuan, 1.22 yuan, and 1.54 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 24, 19, and 15 times based on the closing price of 23.52 yuan per share on April 29, 2025 [3][8].