证券研究报告 康龙化成 (3759 HK/300759 CH) 港股通 业绩符合预期，全年趋势向好 华泰研究 中报点评 2025 年 8 月 22 日│中国内地/中国香港 医疗服务 公司 1H25 实现收入 64.41 亿元（yoy+14.9%）、经调整 non-IFRS 归母净 利 7.56 亿元（yoy+9.5%），符合业绩预告预期；其中 2Q25 收入/经调整 non-IFRS 归母净利 yoy+13.9%/+15.6%，qoq+7.9%/+16.3%，公司整体保 持稳健增长势头。公司客户询单量持续向好，1H25 新签订单金额同比增长 超 10%。考虑行业需求持续回暖，叠加公司实验室服务核心业务能力过硬 且其它业务板块日趋成熟，看好公司 25 年实现向好发展。公司 A、H 股均 维持"买入"。 毛利率稳中有升，现金流持续改善 公司 1H25 毛利率为 34.0%（yoy+0.6pct），实验室服务、CMC 等核心业 务持续向好，带动整体毛利率稳中有升。公司 1H25 销售/管理/研发费用率 分别为 2.2%/12.5%/3.9%（yoy+0.03/-1.8/+0.2pct），公司研发投入持续强 化，进一 ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 920 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.48% [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities was 467 million yuan, an increase of 240.62% compared to the same period last year [3] - The gross profit margin has shown a slight improvement of 1.4 percentage points from Q1 to Q2, indicating a stabilization trend [3] Group 2: Strategic Focus and Business Development - The company is focusing on three key strategies: concentrating on strategic clients, enhancing technological innovation, and expanding new business growth areas [2] - There has been a 19.88% year-on-year increase in new orders for CDMO business [3] - Revenue from multinational pharmaceutical companies (MNCs) increased by 69.73% year-on-year, reflecting deepening collaborations [3] Group 3: Operational Efficiency and Cost Management - The company is maintaining a capacity utilization rate of 60%-70% in mature workshops, which is considered a reasonable industry level [4] - Cost control measures are being strengthened to balance between cost management and strategic development [3] - The company has implemented various cost-reduction and efficiency-enhancing measures since the second half of last year [5] Group 4: Future Outlook and Market Trends - The company anticipates continued revenue growth in the second half of the year, supported by a favorable order backlog and market demand recovery [4] - There is a plan to expand fixed asset investments to meet the growing demand for new molecular drugs [6] - The company is confident in stabilizing and gradually returning the gross profit margin to an ideal level [5] Group 5: AI and Technological Integration - The company has systematically integrated AI applications across multiple business areas, generating over 80 million novel molecular blocks [10] - AI tools are being utilized to enhance operational efficiency, particularly in project reporting and document processing [10] - Future plans include expanding AI investments and deploying automated laboratory and robotic equipment [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 revenue of 3.099 billion yuan represents a year-on-year growth of 16.03%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 306 million yuan, up 32.54% year-on-year [1][2]. - The report indicates that the company's revenue is in line with market expectations, and future performance is expected to show gradual quarter-on-quarter improvement [2]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 14.077 billion yuan, 16.473 billion yuan, and 19.528 billion yuan, respectively [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the laboratory business generated 1.857 billion yuan in revenue, a 15.7% increase year-on-year, while the CMC business saw revenue of 693 million yuan, up 19.1% [2]. - The adjusted net profit for Q1 2025 was 349 million yuan, reflecting a 3.14% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margins for the laboratory and CMC businesses improved to 45.54% and 30.44%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 140 basis points and 254 basis points [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates a continued upward trend in performance, supported by a rapid increase in new orders, which grew over 10% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [2]. - The company maintains its revenue guidance for 2025 at a growth rate of 10% to 15% [2]. Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.98 yuan, 1.22 yuan, and 1.54 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 24, 19, and 15 times based on the closing price of 23.52 yuan per share on April 29, 2025 [3][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown a steady recovery with revenue growth accelerating quarter by quarter, and new orders have increased robustly [3][4] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 12.276 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.793 billion yuan, up 12.0% year-on-year [3][7] - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 1.771 billion, 2.274 billion, and 2.782 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.00, 1.28, and 1.56 yuan [3][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024 Q4, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.459 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.7% [3] - The adjusted Non-IFRS net profit for 2024 Q4 was 500 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.8% [3] - The laboratory services segment generated revenue of 7.05 billion yuan in 2024, up 5.8% year-on-year, while the CMC business achieved revenue of 2.99 billion yuan, a 10.2% increase year-on-year [4] - The clinical research services segment reported revenue of 1.83 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [5] Order Growth and Market Position - The company experienced a robust growth in new orders, with a year-on-year increase of over 20% in 2024 [3] - The CMC segment saw a strong growth in new orders exceeding 35% in 2024 [4] - The company is positioned to benefit from the gradual recovery in the global biopharmaceutical industry [3]