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四环医药:医美爆发+创新药兑现,估值洼地正在被填平
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 01:09
Core Viewpoint - The influx of southbound capital has turned Hong Kong stocks into a "reservoir" for Asian capital, with significant investments flowing into the healthcare sector, particularly in companies like Four Seasons Pharmaceutical [1][3]. Group 1: Capital Inflow and Market Performance - As of September 3, 2025, southbound funds through the Hong Kong Stock Connect have totaled approximately 935.997 billion RMB, with the Hang Seng healthcare sector seeing a net inflow of 163.683 billion RMB [1]. - Four Seasons Pharmaceutical has experienced a substantial increase in stock holdings by southbound funds, rising from 528 million shares at the beginning of the year to 1.321 billion shares by September 3, representing an increase in ownership from 8.83% to 14.15% of total shares [1]. - The stock price of Four Seasons Pharmaceutical has surged over 140% year-to-date, reflecting strong market confidence [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Business Segments - Four Seasons Pharmaceutical has entered a profit turnaround phase, achieving a total revenue of approximately 1.146 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.7%, and a net profit of approximately 103 million RMB [4]. - The company's gross margin improved to 66.1%, up from 64.2% in the same period last year, indicating effective cost control and product optimization [4]. - The medical aesthetics segment is the primary revenue driver, generating approximately 580 million RMB in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 81.3%, with segment profit soaring by 215.3% [4]. - The innovative drug segment also showed significant growth, with revenue reaching 58 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 96.6%, primarily driven by the sales of diabetes medications [4]. Group 3: R&D and Product Development - Research and development expenditures decreased by 21.9% to 153 million RMB, reflecting a shift towards commercialization as core products enter the market [5]. - The company has established a comprehensive product line in the medical aesthetics sector, including various injectables and devices, with significant market penetration [7]. - Four Seasons Pharmaceutical is actively exploring AI applications in medical aesthetics, aiming to enhance product development and market competitiveness [7]. Group 4: Dividend Policy and Market Valuation - The company announced an interim cash dividend of 0.99 RMB per share, continuing its history of consistent dividends since its listing in 2010, which reflects management's confidence in future cash flows [6]. - As of September 3, 2025, the market capitalization of Four Seasons Pharmaceutical was 15.1 billion HKD, while the estimated valuation of its medical aesthetics business and cash reserves exceeds 17.3 billion HKD, indicating that the market has not assigned any value to its innovative drug segment [15][17]. - The management has demonstrated confidence in the company's future by executing 12 share buybacks in 2025, totaling approximately 94.867 million RMB [15].