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工业富联(601138):云计算业务量价齐升,高速交换机成为新增长引擎
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-03-11 05:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation for future price appreciation [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 902.87 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.22%, and a net profit of 35.29 billion RMB, up 51.98% year-on-year [2]. - In Q4 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 298.96 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 73.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.94% [2]. - The company's gross margin in Q4 2025 was 7.41%, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.4 percentage points, indicating ongoing scale effects [2]. Business Analysis - The company's cloud computing business saw a significant revenue increase of 89% year-on-year, reaching 602.7 billion RMB, which now accounts for 67% of total revenue [3]. - AI server revenue grew over threefold, with rapid growth in GPU and ASIC-related products, contributing positively to the overall gross margin of the cloud computing segment, which increased by 0.74 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The demand for high-speed switches surged, with revenues from switches above 800G increasing by 13 times year-on-year, solidifying the company's market leadership [3]. - The precision component business also showed strong performance, achieving double-digit growth compared to the previous year, driven by stable shipments of high-end smartphones and the upgrade of consumer electronics [3]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are estimated at 1,520.66 billion RMB, 2,253.44 billion RMB, and 2,835.41 billion RMB, respectively [4]. - Corresponding net profit forecasts for the same years are 59.62 billion RMB, 75.11 billion RMB, and 95.71 billion RMB [4]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 18.11, 14.37, and 11.28 for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively [4].