产后护理与修复服务

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圣贝拉(2508.HK):高端服务新典范 全周期护理平台迈步全球
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 17:51
Core Viewpoint - The company, Saint Bella, is positioned as the largest postpartum care and recovery brand group in Asia and China, with a strong growth trajectory and a target price of HKD 9.76, reflecting a 27X PE for 2026 [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Saint Bella operates 96 postpartum care centers across 30 cities globally as of June 2025, indicating a robust expansion strategy [1] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue and adjusted net profit CAGR of 28% and 94% respectively from 2025 to 2027, driven by stable same-store growth and rapid store expansion [1][3] Group 2: Competitive Advantage - The company has established a "brand-scale" positive cycle by creating a scarce high-end local brand that offers differentiated services, leading to strong brand recognition and premium pricing [2] - A unique supply chain innovation combines flexible hotel leasing with a proprietary nursing team, enhancing service quality and operational efficiency through a digital system [2] - The company focuses on customer lifetime value through repeat purchases and high conversion rates, leveraging brand strength to achieve scale [2] Group 3: Growth Strategy - In the short to medium term, the company aims for domestic and international scale expansion and single-store efficiency, with potential domestic store numbers reaching 267-316 [3] - The long-term vision includes transforming into a comprehensive family health management platform, with new business segments like postpartum recovery and health foods expected to grow over 30% annually [3] - The company plans to activate a broader demographic by developing standardized capabilities and AI solutions, potentially redefining the family care industry [3] Group 4: Market Positioning - Despite concerns about declining birth rates, the company believes that rising female self-care demands and changing family structures will mitigate these effects, as the penetration rate of postpartum care centers in China is only 6% compared to over 60% in Taiwan and South Korea [3] - The company's light-asset operational model enhances its risk resilience, allowing it to navigate industry cycles effectively [3] Group 5: Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve adjusted net profits of 121 million, 205 million, and 306 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding adjusted EPS of 0.19, 0.33, and 0.49 yuan [4] - The target price of HKD 9.76 is based on a 27X PE for 2026, reflecting the company's growth potential and premium positioning in the market [4]