Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Jinxin Fertility with a target price of HK$3.06, down 17.3% from previous estimates [2][6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 1H25 was RMB 1.29 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 10.7%. Domestic business revenue was RMB 0.99 billion, down 13.4%, primarily due to a high base effect and the adaptation period to new medical insurance policies [3][12]. - The overseas business remained flat at RMB 0.30 billion, impacted by disruptions from California wildfires and delays in the implementation of the SB-729 policy, which mandates IVF coverage in large-group health plans [4][13]. - The gross margin decreased to 30.4%, down 10.0 percentage points, due to the zero-mark-up drug policy in Chengdu and other operational challenges. The company reported a net loss of RMB 1.04 billion, compared to a profit of RMB 0.19 billion in 1H24 [5][14]. - Adjusted net profit for 1H25 was RMB 82.3 million, a decrease of 68.3%, with an adjusted net margin of 6.4% [5][15]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised to RMB 2.83 billion and RMB 3.04 billion, reflecting slower-than-expected uptake of domestic IVF services and ongoing operational challenges [6][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 was RMB 1.29 billion, down 10.7% year-on-year. Domestic revenue was RMB 0.99 billion, down 13.4%, while overseas revenue was flat at RMB 0.30 billion [3][12][13]. - The company reported a net loss of RMB 1.04 billion, primarily due to impairments and operational challenges [5][15]. Earnings Forecast - The revenue forecast for 2025 is RMB 2.83 billion, reflecting a growth of 0.7%, and for 2026, it is RMB 3.04 billion, reflecting a growth of 7.2% [6][16]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to be RMB 0.18 billion in 2025 and RMB 0.31 billion in 2026, with significant adjustments made due to various operational impacts [6][16]. Valuation - The target price has been adjusted to HK$3.06 based on a 25x price-to-earnings ratio for 2026, indicating a potential recovery in margins on a low base [6][16].