Core Insights - The company has reported a significant increase in low-voltage lithium battery sales, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 196% in the first half of the year [1] - The company confirmed that low-voltage lithium battery orders continued to increase in the third quarter, indicating strong demand [1] - The company has secured project approvals from multiple mainstream automotive manufacturers, maintaining a high capacity utilization rate [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [9]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic lead-acid battery industry, with a growing focus on low-voltage lithium batteries and international markets. The rapid growth of the low-voltage lithium battery business and the ongoing expansion into overseas markets present significant growth opportunities [6][8]. - The company reported steady revenue growth in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 8.9%, but faced a significant decline in net profit, down 49.8% year-on-year, primarily due to high base effects from foreign exchange gains in the previous year and increased competition in the recycled lead industry [6][8]. - The company’s low-voltage lithium battery business is entering a high-growth phase, with substantial project additions and partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, which will support future revenue growth [6][8]. Financial Summary - For 2023A, the company achieved a revenue of 14,079 million yuan, with a projected growth rate of 5% year-on-year. By 2025E, revenue is expected to reach 17,933 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 15% [2]. - The net profit for 2023A was 572 million yuan, with a significant projected increase to 934 million yuan by 2025E, indicating a growth rate of 52% [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 0.49 yuan in 2023A to 0.80 yuan in 2025E [2]. Market Position - The company maintains a strong position in the low-voltage lead-acid battery market, with a continuous increase in the proportion of high-value-added products like AGM batteries [6]. - The overseas business has shown a revenue increase of 21.3% year-on-year, indicating successful market penetration in Europe [6].

Core Viewpoint - Company reported strong performance in 1H25, exceeding market expectations with significant growth in net profit and improvements in various business segments [1][2] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue reached 7.995 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.22% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 532 million yuan, up 69.46% year-on-year - Non-recurring net profit was 404 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.94% - In 2Q25, revenue was 3.859 billion yuan, down 5.24% year-on-year and 6.72% quarter-on-quarter - 2Q25 net profit attributable to shareholders was 295 million yuan, up 86.80% year-on-year and 24.64% quarter-on-quarter [1] Business Segments - **Lead-Acid Battery Business**: - 1H25 shipment volume was 19.17 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 0.8% - Revenue from lead-acid batteries was 6.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3% - The gross margin for lead-acid batteries improved to 18.4%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points [2] - **Low-Voltage Lithium Battery Business**: - 1H25 revenue was 353 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 196% - The business is expected to reach a breakeven point as new models from European clients are set to launch in 2025 [3] Investment and Growth Strategies - Company benefited from stock and fund investments, generating approximately 90 million yuan in positive returns compared to the previous year - Debt restructuring contributed 98.41 million yuan to the company's performance in 1H25 - The company is actively exploring new technologies and applications, including partnerships with leading eVTOL manufacturers and collaborations on sodium battery products [2][3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 22% and 10% respectively, now projected at 1.032 billion yuan and 1.199 billion yuan - Target price increased by 27.8% to 11.5 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 16.2% based on current stock price [4]

Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 performance with revenue of 4.136 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 237 million yuan, up 51.9% year-on-year and up 87.1% quarter-on-quarter, meeting market expectations [1] Industry Trends - The lead-acid battery shipments continued to show steady growth, with an estimated shipment of nearly 10 GWh in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5-6%. The growth in both the original equipment and aftermarket segments remained stable, while overseas shipments benefited from the capacity and order releases from the Malaysia factory, showing a year-on-year increase of 20-25%. The overall revenue from lead-acid batteries is estimated to be between 3-3.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6-7%, with lead prices higher than the same period in 2024. The gross margin for lead-acid batteries is expected to recover, with an estimated gross margin of nearly 19% in Q1, an increase of 1-1.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The low-voltage lithium battery segment saw further volume growth, with shipments exceeding 200,000 units in Q1 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20-25%. Revenue is estimated to be between 150-160 million yuan, remaining stable quarter-on-quarter and showing a year-on-year increase of 260-270% [2] Profitability and Cost Management - The company benefited from scale effects, continuing the trend of reduced losses in lithium battery profitability. The period expense ratio improved significantly, with a decrease of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. Specific expenses such as sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses saw year-on-year changes of -0.8, -0.7, -0.4, and -0.5 percentage points respectively, and quarter-on-quarter changes of -1.1, -0.5, -0.2, and -0.4 percentage points respectively. Additionally, the company reported over 10 million yuan in stock/equity investment income in Q1 2025, an increase of nearly 40 million yuan compared to the same period in 2024 [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 remains unchanged at 845 million yuan and 1.092 billion yuan respectively. The target price is maintained at 9.0 yuan, with an outperform rating in the industry. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 11.7x for 2025 and 9.1x for 2026, while the target price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 12.5x for 2025 and 9.7x for 2026, indicating an upside potential of 6.4% [4]